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We study the estimation of the invariant density of additive fractional stochastic differential equations with Hurst parameter $H \in (0,1)$. We first focus on continuous observations and develop a kernel-based estimator achieving faster…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-23 Chiara Amorino , Eulalia Nualart , Fabien Panloup , Julian Sieber

In this paper, we derive the Onsager-Machlup functional for stochastic differential equations driven by time-varying fractional noise of the form X(t) = x0 + integral from 0 to t b_s(X(s)) ds + integral from 0 to t sigma_s dB^H(s), where…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-13 Yanbin Zhu , Xiaomeng Jiang , Yong Li

We propose a novel time-splitting scheme for a class of semilinear stochastic evolution equations driven by cylindrical fractional noise. The nonlinearity is decomposed as the sum of a one-sided, non-globally, Lipschitz continuous function,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-12-11 Xiao-Li Ding , Charles-Edouard Bréhier , Dehua Wang

This paper considers the problem of estimating a periodic function in a continuous time regression model with an additive stationary gaussian noise having unknown correlation function. A general model selection procedure on the basis of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-10 Victor Konev , Serguei Pergamenchtchikov

We present an analytical study of a nonlinear oscillator subject to an additive Ornstein-Uhlenbeck noise. Known results are mainly perturbative and are restricted to the large dissipation limit (obtained by neglecting the inertial term) or…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Kirone Mallick , Philippe Marcq

We obtain Fisher-Hartwig asymptotics with root and jump type singularities in space-time under the law of the stationary Hermitian Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process, which serve as a dynamical generalization of earlier static results obtained by…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-18 Ahmet Keles

We take into consideration generalization bounds for the problem of the estimation of the drift component for ergodic stochastic differential equations, when the estimator is a ReLU neural network and the estimation is non-parametric with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-02 Simone Di Gregorio , Francesco Iafrate

Fractional Brownian motion is a Gaussian process x(t) with zero mean and two-time correlations <x(t)x(s)> ~ t^{2H} + s^{2H} - |t-s|^{2H}, where H, with 0<H<1 is called the Hurst exponent. For H = 1/2, x(t) is a Brownian motion, while for H…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-05-29 Kay Jörg Wiese , Satya N. Majumdar , Alberto Rosso

The Rosenblatt process is a self-similar non-Gaussian process which lives in second Wiener chaos, and occurs as the limit of correlated random sequences in so-called \textquotedblleft non-central limit theorems\textquotedblright. It shares…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-09-17 Alexandra Chronopoulou , Ciprian Tudor , Frederi Viens

In this paper, we construct consistent statistical estimators of the Hurst index, volatility coefficient, and drift parameter for Bessel processes driven by fractional Brownian motion with $H<1/2$. As an auxiliary result, we also prove the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-25 Yuliya Mishura , Anton Yurchenko-Tytarenko

We consider a $d$-dimensional stochastic differential equation (SDE) of the form $d U_t = b(U_t) dt + \sigma\,d Z_t$, let $X_t$ be the solution if the driving noise $Z_t$ is a $d$-dimensional rotationally symmetric $\alpha$-stable process…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-25 Changsong Deng , Xiang Li , Rene L. Schilling , Lihu Xu

The paper considers the problem of estimating a $p\geq2$\ dimensional mean vector of a multivariate conditionally normal distribution under quadratic loss. The problem of this type arises when estimating the parameters in a continuous time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-05-27 Evgeny Pchelintsev

We deal with a complex-valued Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process with parameter $\lambda\in\mathbb{R}$starting from a point different from 0 and the way that it winds around the origin.The starting point of this paper is the skew product…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-24 Stavros Vakeroudis

Statistical early warning signs can be used to identify an approaching bifurcation in stochastic dynamical systems and are now regularly employed in applications concerned with the identification of potential rapid, non-linear change or…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-11-29 Lucia S. Layritz , Ilya Pavlyukevich , Anja Rammig , Christian Kuehn

We give new and explicitly computable examples of Gibbs-non-Gibbs transitions of mean-field type, using the large deviation approach introduced in [4]. These examples include Brownian motion with small variance and related diffusion…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-05 Frank Redig , Feijia Wang

We propose a transfer principle to study the adapted 2-Wasserstein distance between stochastic processes. First, we obtain an explicit formula for the distance between real-valued mean-square continuous Gaussian processes by introducing the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-09 Yifan Jiang , Fang Rui Lim

In this article, we study sequential change-point methods for discretely observed generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes with periodic drift. Two detection methods are proposed, and their respective performance is studied through…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-30 Yunhong Lyu , Bouchra R. Nasri , Bruno N. Rémillard

We investigate the problem of the rate of convergence to equilibrium for ergodic stochastic differential equations driven by fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H\in (1/3,1)$ and multiplicative noise component $\sigma$. When…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-05 Aurélien Deya , Fabien Panloup , Samy Tindel

We develop the generalized method of moments (GMM) estimation for the parameters of the finitely mixed multi-mixed fractional Ornstein--Uhlenbeck (mmfOU) processes, and analyze the consistency and asymptotic normality of this estimator. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-11 Hamidreza Maleki Almani , Tommi Sottinen

In this paper, we will evaluate integrals that define the conditional expectation, variance and characteristic function of stochastic processes with respect to fractional Brownian motion (fBm) for all relevant Hurst indices, i.e. $H \in…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-14 Fei Gao , Shuaiqiang Liu , Cornelis W. Oosterlee , Nico M. Temme