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Climate change is expected to aggravate wildfire activity through the exacerbation of fire weather. Improving our capabilities to anticipate wildfires on a global scale is of uttermost importance for mitigating their negative effects. In…

Wildfires pose a significant threat to ecosystems, wildlife, and human communities, leading to habitat destruction, pollutant emissions, and biodiversity loss. Accurate wildfire risk prediction is crucial for mitigating these impacts and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-17 Zhengsen Xu , Jonathan Li , Sibo Cheng , Xue Rui , Yu Zhao , Hongjie He , Haiyan Guan , Aryan Sharma , Matthew Erxleben , Ryan Chang , Linlin Xu

Network theory has established itself as an appropriate tool for complex systems analysis and pattern recognition. In the context of spatiotemporal data analysis, correlation networks are used in the vast majority of works. However, the…

Wildfire risk prediction remains a critical yet challenging task due to the complex interactions among fuel conditions, meteorology, topography, and human activity. Despite growing interest in data-driven approaches, publicly available…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-01-01 Zhengsen Xu , Sibo Cheng , Lanying Wang , Hongjie He , Wentao Sun , Jonathan Li , Lincoln Linlin Xu

Rapid information access is vital during wildfires, yet traditional data sources are slow and costly. Social media offers real-time updates, but extracting relevant insights remains a challenge. In this work, we focus on multimodal wildfire…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-11-12 Braeden Sherritt , Isar Nejadgholi , Efstratios Aivaliotis , Khaled Mslmani , Marzieh Amini

Accurate prediction of wildfire spread is crucial for effective risk management, emergency response, and strategic resource allocation. In this study, we present a deep learning (DL)-based framework for forecasting the final extent of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-10 Nikolaos Anastasiou , Spyros Kondylatos , Ioannis Papoutsis

Wildfire forecasting has been one of the most critical tasks that humanities want to thrive. It plays a vital role in protecting human life. Wildfire prediction, on the other hand, is difficult because of its stochastic and chaotic…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-12-01 Thai-Nam Hoang , Sang Truong , Chris Schmidt

The increasing frequency of catastrophic natural events, such as wildfires, calls for the development of rapid and automated wildfire detection systems. In this paper, we propose a wildfire identification solution to improve the accuracy of…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-08 Angelica Urbanelli , Luca Barco , Edoardo Arnaudo , Claudio Rossi

Wildfire is one of the biggest disasters that frequently occurs on the west coast of the United States. Many efforts have been made to understand the causes of the increases in wildfire intensity and frequency in recent years. In this work,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-07 Tanqiu Jiang , Sidhant K. Bendre , Hanjia Lyu , Jiebo Luo

Predicting wildfire spread is critical for land management and disaster preparedness. To this end, we present `Next Day Wildfire Spread,' a curated, large-scale, multivariate data set of historical wildfires aggregating nearly a decade of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-10-05 Fantine Huot , R. Lily Hu , Nita Goyal , Tharun Sankar , Matthias Ihme , Yi-Fan Chen

Recent research has demonstrated the potential of deep neural networks (DNNs) to accurately predict wildfire spread on a given day based upon high-dimensional explanatory data from a single preceding day, or from a time series of T…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-11-13 Saad Lahrichi , Jake Bova , Jesse Johnson , Jordan Malof

Wildfire events have caused severe losses in many places around the world and are expected to increase with climate change. Throughout the years many technologies have been developed to identify fire events early on and to simulate fire…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-30 Eduardo Rodrigues , Bianca Zadrozny , Campbell Watson

Wildfires pose a severe threat to the ecosystem and economy, and risk assessment is typically based on fire danger indices such as the McArthur Forest Fire Danger Index (FFDI) used in Australia. Studying the joint tail dependence structure…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-09 Daniela Cisneros , Arnab Hazra , Raphaël Huser

As the role played by statistical and computational sciences in climate and environmental modelling and prediction becomes more important, Machine Learning researchers are becoming more aware of the relevance of their work to help tackle…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-23 Federico Amato , Fabian Guignard , Sylvain Robert , Mikhail Kanevski

Identifying regions that have high likelihood for wildfires is a key component of land and forestry management and disaster preparedness. We create a data set by aggregating nearly a decade of remote-sensing data and historical fire records…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-02-11 Fantine Huot , R. Lily Hu , Matthias Ihme , Qing Wang , John Burge , Tianjian Lu , Jason Hickey , Yi-Fan Chen , John Anderson

Accuracy and timeliness are indeed often conflicting goals in prediction tasks. Premature predictions may yield a higher rate of false alarms, whereas delaying predictions to gather more information can render them too late to be useful. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-19 Wei Shao , Yufan Kang , Ziyan Peng , Xiao Xiao , Lei Wang , Yuhui Yang , Flora D Salim

We address the problem of predicting spatio-temporal processes with temporal patterns that vary across spatial regions, when data is obtained as a stream. That is, when the training dataset is augmented sequentially. Specifically, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-25 Muhammad Osama , Dave Zachariah , Thomas B. Schön

Intense wildfires impact nature, humans, and society, causing catastrophic damage to property and the ecosystem, as well as the loss of life. Forecasting wildfire front propagation is essential in order to support fire fighting efforts and…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-28 Myungsoo Yoo , Christopher K. Wikle

Current state-of-the-art approaches to wildfire risk assessment often overlook operational needs, limiting their practical value for first responders and firefighting services. Effective wildfire management requires a multi-target analysis…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Nicolas Caron , Christophe Guyeux , Hassan Noura , Benjamin Aynes

Wildfires have significantly increased in the United States (U.S.), making certain areas harder to live in. This motivates us to jointly analyze active fires and population changes in the U.S. from July 2020 to June 2021. The available data…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-19 Shijie Zhou , Jonathan R. Bradley