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We discuss the geometric foundation behind the use of stochastic processes in the frame bundle of a smooth manifold to build stochastic models with applications in statistical analysis of non-linear data. The transition densities for the…

Differential Geometry · Mathematics 2016-08-29 Stefan Sommer , Anne Marie Svane

Model-based offline reinforcement learning approaches generally rely on bounds of model error. Estimating these bounds is usually achieved through uncertainty estimation methods. In this work, we combine parametric and nonparametric methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-07 Guy Tennenholtz , Shie Mannor

A general approach to provide approximate parameterizations of the "small" scales by the "large" ones, is developed for stochastic partial differential equations driven by linear multiplicative noise. This is accomplished via the concept of…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2013-10-16 Mickael D. Chekroun , Honghu Liu , Shouhong Wang

We present a method to quantify uncertainty in the predictions made by simulations of mathematical models that can be applied to a broad class of stochastic, discrete, and differential equation models. Quantifying uncertainty is crucial for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-05 Kyle S. Hickmann , James M. Hyman , Sara Y. Del Valle

A promising approach to investigating high-dimensional problems is to identify their intrinsically low-dimensional features, which can be achieved through recently developed techniques for effective low-dimensional representation of…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-06-02 Zeyu Jin , Ruo Li

This paper introduces the generalized quaternionic Stiefel manifold and studies its geometry for Riemannian optimization. We clarify its relationships with existing manifolds, especially the real generalized Stiefel manifold and the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-17 Hiroyuki Sato

Reliable forward uncertainty quantification in engineering requires methods that account for aleatory and epistemic uncertainties. In many applications, epistemic effects arising from uncertain parameters and model form dominate prediction…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-12-18 Akash Yadav , Ruda Zhang

Bilevel optimization has gained prominence in various applications. In this study, we introduce a framework for solving bilevel optimization problems, where the variables in both the lower and upper levels are constrained on Riemannian…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-11-05 Andi Han , Bamdev Mishra , Pratik Jawanpuria , Akiko Takeda

We formulate stochastic partial differential equations on Riemannian manifolds, moving surfaces, general evolving Riemannian manifolds (with appropriate assumptions) and Riemannian manifolds with random metrics, in the variational setting…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2012-08-30 C. M. Elliott , M. Hairer , M. R. Scott

We introduce a nonlinear stochastic model reduction technique for high-dimensional stochastic dynamical systems that have a low-dimensional invariant effective manifold with slow dynamics, and high-dimensional, large fast modes. Given only…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-25 Felix X. -F. Ye , Sichen Yang , Mauro Maggioni

Graph diffusion models have made significant progress in learning structured graph data and have demonstrated strong potential for predictive tasks. Existing approaches typically embed node, edge, and graph-level features into a unified…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-12 Yisen Gao , Xingcheng Fu , Qingyun Sun , Jianxin Li , Xianxian Li

When we use simulation to assess the performance of stochastic systems, the input models used to drive simulation experiments are often estimated from finite real-world data. There exist both input model and simulation estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-10 Wei Xie , Cheng Li , Yuefeng Wu , Pu Zhang

Mirror Descent (MD) is a scalable first-order method widely used in large-scale optimization, with applications in image processing, policy optimization, and neural network training. This paper generalizes MD to optimization on Riemannian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-19 Jiaxin Jiang , Lei Shi , Jiyuan Tan

The rotating shallow water model is a simplification of oceanic and atmospheric general circulation models that are used in many applications such as surge prediction, tsunami tracking and ocean modelling. In this paper we introduce a class…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-03-22 Oana Lang , Dan Crisan , Etienne Mémin

Engineering simulations using boundary-value partial differential equations often implicitly assume that the uncertainty in the location of the boundary has a negligible impact on the output of the simulation. In this work, we develop a…

Tissues and Organs · Quantitative Biology 2024-06-11 S. Gerry Gralton , Farah Alkhatib , Ben Zwick , George Bourantas , Adam Wittek , Karol Miller

Mathematical models of physical systems are subject to many uncertainties such as measurement errors and uncertain initial and boundary conditions. After accounting for these uncertainties, it is often revealed that discrepancies between…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2018-05-23 Rebecca E Morrison , Todd A Oliver , Robert D Moser

This paper addresses the critical and challenging task of developing emulators for simulating human operational motions in industrial workplaces. We conceptualize human motion as a sequence of human body shapes and develop statistical…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-07 Yanliang Chen , Chiwoo Park , Anuj Srivastava

Riemannian geometry provides the fundamental framework for optimization on nonlinear spaces such as matrix manifolds, which arise in machine learning, signal processing, and robotics. While the underlying theory is classical, existing…

Differential Geometry · Mathematics 2026-05-05 Benyamin Ghojogh

Random orthogonal matrices play an important role in probability and statistics, arising in multivariate analysis, directional statistics, and models of physical systems, among other areas. Calculations involving random orthogonal matrices…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-09 Michael Jauch , Peter D. Hoff , David B. Dunson

The vast majority of stochastic simulation models are imperfect in that they fail to exactly emulate real system dynamics. The inexactness of the simulation model, or model discrepancy, can impact the predictive accuracy and usefulness of…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-21 Matthew Plumlee , Henry Lam