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In this paper we consider high-dimensional multiclass classification by sparse multinomial logistic regression. We propose first a feature selection procedure based on penalized maximum likelihood with a complexity penalty on the model size…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-20 Felix Abramovich , Vadim Grinshtein , Tomer Levy

This paper proves, in very general settings, that convex risk minimization is a procedure to select a unique conditional probability model determined by the classification problem. Unlike most previous work, we give results that are general…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-06-16 Matus Telgarsky , Miroslav Dudík , Robert Schapire

This paper considers the problem of matrix-variate logistic regression. It derives the fundamental error threshold on estimating low-rank coefficient matrices in the logistic regression problem by obtaining a lower bound on the minimax…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-10 Batoul Taki , Mohsen Ghassemi , Anand D. Sarwate , Waheed U. Bajwa

Subset selection in multiple linear regression aims to choose a subset of candidate explanatory variables that tradeoff fitting error (explanatory power) and model complexity (number of variables selected). We build mathematical programming…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-04 Young Woong Park , Diego Klabjan

Building classification models that predict a binary class label on the basis of high dimensional multi-omics datasets poses several challenges, due to the typically widely differing characteristics of the data layers in terms of number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-04 Alessandra Cabassi , Denis Seyres , Mattia Frontini , Paul D. W. Kirk

We study sequential testing for a binary disease outcome when risk follows an unknown logistic model. At each round, the decision maker may either pay for a test revealing the true label or predict the outcome based on patient features and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Tavor Z. Baharav , Spyros Dragazis , Aldo Pacchiano

Inspired by logistic regression, we introduce a regression model for data tuples consisting of a binary response and a set of covariates residing in a metric space without vector structures. Based on the proposed model we also develop a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-15 Yinan Lin , Zhenhua Lin

Unmeasured covariates constitute one of the important problems in causal inference. Even if there are some unmeasured covariates, some instrumental variable methods such as a two-stage residual inclusion (2SRI) estimator, or a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-30 Shunichiro Orihara

Most classification methods provide either a prediction of class membership or an assessment of class membership probability. In the case of two-group classification the predicted probability can be described as "risk" of belonging to a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-10-28 Yizhar Toren

We consider optimal designs for general multinomial logistic models, which cover baseline-category, cumulative, adjacent-categories, and continuation-ratio logit models, with proportional odds, non-proportional odds, or partial proportional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-19 Xianwei Bu , Dibyen Majumdar , Jie Yang

This article develops the theoretical framework needed to study the multinomial logistic regression model for complex sample design with pseudo minimum phi-divergence estimators. Through a numerical example and simulation study new…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-06 Elena Castilla , Nirian Martin , Leandro Pardo

Machine learning models are often used to inform real world risk assessment tasks: predicting consumer default risk, predicting whether a person suffers from a serious illness, or predicting a person's risk to appear in court. Given…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-27 Jamelle Watson-Daniels , David C. Parkes , Berk Ustun

In this paper, we propose a novel Mixed-Integer Non-Linear Optimization formulation to construct a risk score, where we optimize the logistic loss with sparsity constraints. Previous approaches are typically designed to handle binary…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-02-13 Cristina Molero-Río , Claudia D'Ambrosio

Recalibrating probabilistic classifiers is vital for enhancing the reliability and accuracy of predictive models. Despite the development of numerous recalibration algorithms, there is still a lack of a comprehensive theory that integrates…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-19 Zeyu Sun , Dogyoon Song , Alfred Hero

In machine learning, the selection of a promising model from a potentially large number of competing models and the assessment of its generalization performance are critical tasks that need careful consideration. Typically, model selection…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-06 Pascal Rink , Werner Brannath

The paper considers model selection in regression under the additional structural constraints on admissible models where the number of potential predictors might be even larger than the available sample size. We develop a Bayesian formalism…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-19 Felix Abramovich , Vadim Grinshtein

In this paper, we develop a simulation-based framework for regularized logistic regression, exploiting two novel results for scale mixtures of normals. By carefully choosing a hierarchical model for the likelihood by one type of mixture,…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-17 Robert B. Gramacy , Nicholas G. Polson

Logistic regression models are a popular and effective method to predict the probability of categorical response data. However inference for these models can become computationally prohibitive for large datasets. Here we adapt ideas from…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-25 Tom Whitaker , Boris Beranger , Scott A. Sisson

It is a common contention that it is an ``impossible mission'' to exactly determine the minimum sample size for the estimation of a binomial parameter with prescribed margin of error and confidence level. In this paper, we investigate such…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-08-02 Xinjia Chen

To design Bayesian studies, criteria for the operating characteristics of posterior analyses - such as power and the type I error rate - are often assessed by estimating sampling distributions of posterior probabilities via simulation. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-17 Luke Hagar , Nathaniel T. Stevens