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In many real-world problems, there is a limited set of training data, but an abundance of unlabeled data. We propose a new method, Generative Posterior Networks (GPNs), that uses unlabeled data to estimate epistemic uncertainty in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-01 Melrose Roderick , Felix Berkenkamp , Fatemeh Sheikholeslami , Zico Kolter

Optimization is widely used in statistics, and often efficiently delivers point estimates on useful spaces involving structural constraints or combinatorial structure. To quantify uncertainty, Gibbs posterior exponentiates the negative loss…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-23 Cheng Zeng , Eleni Dilma , Jason Xu , Leo L Duan

Deep learning models often struggle to maintain generalizability in medical imaging, particularly under domain-fracture scenarios where distribution shifts arise from varying imaging techniques, acquisition protocols, patient populations,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-15 Furkan Pala , Islem Rekik

We study different ways of determining the mean distance $ < r_n >$ between a reference point and its $n$-th neighbour among random points distributed with uniform density in a $D$-dimensional Euclidean space. First we present a heuristic…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Pratip Bhattacharyya , Bikas K. Chakrabarti

Geographic distribution shift arises when the distribution of locations on Earth in a training dataset is different from what is seen at inference time. Using standard empirical risk minimization (ERM) in this setting can lead to uneven…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-10 Ruth Crasto , Esther Rolf

We introduce semiparametric Bayesian networks that combine parametric and nonparametric conditional probability distributions. Their aim is to incorporate the advantages of both components: the bounded complexity of parametric models and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-08 David Atienza , Concha Bielza , Pedro Larrañaga

A classical problem in statistics is estimating the expected coverage of a sample, which has had applications in gene expression, microbial ecology, optimization, and even numismatics. Here we consider a related extension of this problem to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-11 Jerrad Hampton , Manuel E. Lladser

Neural networks have proven successful at learning from complex data distributions by acting as universal function approximators. However, they are often overconfident in their predictions, which leads to inaccurate and miscalibrated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-23 Jeffrey Willette , Juho Lee , Sung Ju Hwang

We propose Uncertainty Augmented Context Attention network (UACANet) for polyp segmentation which consider a uncertain area of the saliency map. We construct a modified version of U-Net shape network with additional encoder and decoder and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-07-23 Taehun Kim , Hyemin Lee , Daijin Kim

Each medical segmentation task should be considered with a specific AI algorithm based on its scenario so that the most accurate prediction model can be obtained. The most popular algorithms in medical segmentation, 3D U-Net and its…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-02-13 Shiyi Wang , Yang Nan , Felder Federico N , Sheng Zhang , Walsh Simon L F , Guang Yang

Classification and segmentation are crucial in medical image analysis as they enable accurate diagnosis and disease monitoring. However, current methods often prioritize the mutual learning features and shared model parameters, while…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-08-03 Kai Ren , Ke Zou , Xianjie Liu , Yidi Chen , Xuedong Yuan , Xiaojing Shen , Meng Wang , Huazhu Fu

We introduce a general framework for undirected graphical models. It generalizes Gaussian graphical models to a wide range of continuous, discrete, and combinations of different types of data. The models in the framework, called exponential…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-18 Rui Zhuang , Noah Simon , Johannes Lederer

Though deep neural networks have achieved impressive success on various vision tasks, obvious performance degradation still exists when models are tested in out-of-distribution scenarios. In addressing this limitation, we ponder that the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-01-18 Xiaotong Li , Zixuan Hu , Jun Liu , Yixiao Ge , Yongxing Dai , Ling-Yu Duan

If the prior probability distributions of all possible hypothetical true means and all possible observed means of a continuous variable are conditional on the universal set of all numbers (i.e., before the nature of a study is known and a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-05 Huw Llewelyn

Recently developed techniques have made it possible to quickly learn accurate probability density functions from data in low-dimensional continuous space. In particular, mixtures of Gaussians can be fitted to data very quickly using an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-18 Scott Davies , Andrew Moore

Understanding the space of probability measures on a metric space equipped with a Wasserstein distance is one of the fundamental questions in mathematical analysis. The Wasserstein metric has received a lot of attention in the machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-02 Arijit Sehanobish , Neal Ravindra , David van Dijk

Accurate skin lesion segmentation is vital for dermoscopic Computer-Aided Diagnosis. However, visual ambiguity and morphological irregularity often defeat spatial modeling, necessitating multi-domain architectures. Existing paradigms…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-12 Duwei Dai , Caixia Dong , Guowei Dai , Qingsen Yan , Qin Zhang , Fan Liu , Pengyu Ren , Guangyao Kong , Wei Zeng

Bayesian graphical modeling provides an appealing way to obtain uncertainty estimates when inferring network structures, and much recent progress has been made for Gaussian models. These models have been used extensively in applications to…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-06 Michael Finegold , Mathias Drton

The curse of dimensionality is a common phenomenon which affects analysis of datasets characterized by large numbers of variables associated with each point. Problematic scenarios of this type frequently arise in classification algorithms…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-11 Benjamin Thirey , Randal Hickman

This paper explores generalised probabilistic modelling and uncertainty estimation in comparative LLM-as-a-judge frameworks. We show that existing Product-of-Experts methods are specific cases of a broader framework, enabling diverse…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-05-22 Yassir Fathullah , Mark J. F. Gales
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