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We consider the problem of estimating the uncertainty in statistical inverse problems using Bayesian inference. When the probability density of the noise and the prior are Gaussian, the solution of such a statistical inverse problem is also…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-07-20 Peter Benner , Yue Qiu , Martin Stoll

Gaussian processes are popular and flexible models for spatial, temporal, and functional data, but they are computationally infeasible for large datasets. We discuss Gaussian-process approximations that use basis functions at multiple…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-22 Matthias Katzfuss , Wenlong Gong

Engineers widely use Gaussian process regression framework to construct surrogate models aimed to replace computationally expensive physical models while exploring design space. Thanks to Gaussian process properties we can use both samples…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-14 Evgeny Burnaev , Alexey Zaytsev

Optimization problems with rank constraints arise in many applications, including matrix regression, structured PCA, matrix completion and matrix decomposition problems. An attractive heuristic for solving such problems is to factorize the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-11 Yudong Chen , Martin J. Wainwright

Latent Gaussian models and boosting are widely used techniques in statistics and machine learning. Tree-boosting shows excellent prediction accuracy on many data sets, but potential drawbacks are that it assumes conditional independence of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-24 Fabio Sigrist

Gaussian process (GP) models provide a powerful tool for prediction but are computationally prohibitive using large data sets. In such scenarios, one has to resort to approximate methods. We derive an approximation based on a composite…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-02 Xiuming Liu , Dave Zachariah , Edith C. H. Ngai

Parameter-dependent models arise in many contexts such as uncertainty quantification, sensitivity analysis, inverse problems or optimization. Parametric or uncertainty analyses usually require the evaluation of an output of a model for many…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-10-22 Anthony Nouy

Engineering and applied sciences use models of increasing complexity to simulate the behaviour of manufactured and physical systems. Propagation of uncertainties from the input to a response quantity of interest through such models may…

Computation · Statistics 2016-06-29 K. Konakli , B. Sudret

Gaussian processes are a natural way of defining prior distributions over functions of one or more input variables. In a simple nonparametric regression problem, where such a function gives the mean of a Gaussian distribution for an…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-02-03 Radford M. Neal

Gaussian process regression is widely used because of its ability to provide well-calibrated uncertainty estimates and handle small or sparse datasets. However, it struggles with high-dimensional data. One possible way to scale this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-02 Bernardo Fichera , Viacheslav Borovitskiy , Andreas Krause , Aude Billard

Learning predictive models from small high-dimensional data sets is a key problem in high-dimensional statistics. Expert knowledge elicitation can help, and a strong line of work focuses on directly eliciting informative prior distributions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-19 Homayun Afrabandpey , Tomi Peltola , Samuel Kaski

Regularized least-squares (kernel-ridge / Gaussian process) regression is a fundamental algorithm of statistics and machine learning. Because generic algorithms for the exact solution have cubic complexity in the number of datapoints, large…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-15 Simon Bartels , Philipp Hennig

Inference for GP models with non-Gaussian noises is computationally expensive when dealing with large datasets. Many recent inference methods approximate the posterior distribution with a simpler distribution defined on a small number of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-11 Linfeng Liu , Liping Liu

Subgradient algorithms for training support vector machines have been quite successful for solving large-scale and online learning problems. However, they have been restricted to linear kernels and strongly convex formulations. This paper…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2011-11-04 Sangkyun Lee , Stephen J. Wright

Deep neural networks have achieved state-of-the-art performance across numerous applications, but their high memory and computational demands present significant challenges, particularly in resource-constrained environments. Model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-18 Shihao Zhang , Rayan Saab

Sparse Gaussian processes and various extensions thereof are enabled through inducing points, that simultaneously bottleneck the predictive capacity and act as the main contributor towards model complexity. However, the number of inducing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-27 Anders Kirk Uhrenholt , Valentin Charvet , Bjørn Sand Jensen

Accurately representing surface weather at the sub-kilometer scale is crucial for optimal decision-making in a wide range of applications. This motivates the use of statistical techniques to provide accurate and calibrated probabilistic…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-11-15 Francesco Zanetta , Daniele Nerini , Matteo Buzzi , Henry Moss

Inference in Gaussian process (GP) models is computationally challenging for large data, and often difficult to approximate with a small number of inducing points. We explore an alternative approximation that employs stochastic inference…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-28 Jiaxin Shi , Mohammad Emtiyaz Khan , Jun Zhu

In this work, we study scaling limits of shallow Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) via their connection to Gaussian processes (GPs), with an emphasis on statistical modeling, identifiability, and scalable inference. We first establish a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-27 Gracielle Antunes de Araújo , Flávio B. Gonçalves

Gaussian processes (GPs) are a good choice for function approximation as they are flexible, robust to over-fitting, and provide well-calibrated predictive uncertainty. Deep Gaussian processes (DGPs) are multi-layer generalisations of GPs,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-15 Hugh Salimbeni , Marc Deisenroth