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We consider a sparse high-dimensional varying coefficients model with random effects, a flexible linear model allowing covariates and coefficients to have a functional dependence with time. For each individual, we observe discretely sampled…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-14 Michael Law , Ya'acov Ritov

We consider the problem of uncertainty quantification for prediction in a time series: if we use past data to forecast the next time point, can we provide valid prediction intervals around our forecasts? To avoid placing distributional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-13 Rina Foygel Barber , Ashwin Pananjady

Existing monitoring tools for multivariate data are often asymptotically distribution-free, computationally intensive, or require a large stretch of stable data. Many of these methods are not applicable to 'high dimension, low sample size'…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-12 Niladri Chakraborty , Chun Fai Lui , Ahmed Maged

Educational assessments are valuable tools for measuring student knowledge and skills, but their validity can be compromised when test takers exhibit changes in response behavior due to factors such as time pressure. To address this issue,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-06 Gabriel Wallin , Yunxiao Chen , Yi-Hsuan Lee , Xiaoou Li

Generative, temporal network models play an important role in analyzing the dependence structure and evolution patterns of complex networks. Due to the complicated nature of real network data, it is often naive to assume that the underlying…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-15 Daniel Cirkovic , Tiandong Wang , Xianyang Zhang

We propose a new, computationally efficient, sparsity adaptive changepoint estimator for detecting changes in unknown subsets of a high-dimensional data sequence. Assuming the data sequence is Gaussian, we prove that the new method…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-27 Per August Jarval Moen , Ingrid Kristine Glad , Martin Tveten

We focus on the problem estimating a monotone trend function under additive and dependent noise. New point-wise confidence interval estimators under both short- and long-range dependent errors are introduced and studied. These intervals are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-23 Pramita Bagchi , Moulinath Banerjee , Stilian Stoev

Data can be assumed to be continuous functions defined on an infinite-dimensional space for many phenomena. However, the infinite-dimensional data might be driven by a small number of latent variables. Hence, factor models are relevant for…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-18 Israel Martínez-Hernández , Jesús Gonzalo , Graciela González-Farías

In this paper, we consider a high-dimensional quantile regression model where the sparsity structure may differ between two sub-populations. We develop $\ell_1$-penalized estimators of both regression coefficients and the threshold…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-07 Sokbae Lee , Yuan Liao , Myung Hwan Seo , Youngki Shin

We present new estimators for the statistical analysis of the dependence of the mean gap time length between consecutive recurrent events, on a set of explanatory random variables and in the presence of right censoring. The dependence is…

Applications · Statistics 2021-09-10 Ioana Schiopu-Kratina , Hai Yan Liu , Mayer Alvo , Pierre-Jerome Bergeron

Change point testing for high-dimensional data has attracted a lot of attention in statistics and machine learning owing to the emergence of high-dimensional data with structural breaks from many fields. In practice, when the dimension is…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-05 Hanjia Gao , Runmin Wang , Xiaofeng Shao

Change-point detection and locally stationary time series modeling are two major approaches for the analysis of non-stationary data. The former aims to identify stationary phases by detecting abrupt changes in the dynamics of a time series…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-16 Wai Leong Ng , Xinyi Tang , Mun Lau Cheung , Jiacheng Gao , Chun Yip Yau , Holger Dette

This paper studies the estimation of linear panel data models with interactive fixed effects, where one dimension of the panel, typically time, may be fixed. To this end, a novel transformation is introduced that reduces the model to a…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-10-13 Ayden Higgins

We study the detection of change-points in time series. The classical CUSUM statistic for detection of jumps in the mean is known to be sensitive to outliers. We thus propose a robust test based on the Wilcoxon two-sample test statistic.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-04-10 Herold Dehling , Roland Fried , Isabel García , Martin Wendler

We study the universality property of estimators for high-dimensional linear models, which implies that the distribution of estimators is independent of whether the covariates follow a Gaussian distribution. Recent developments in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-14 Toshiki Tsuda , Masaaki Imaizumi

We study the multivariate nonparametric change point detection problem, where the data are a sequence of independent $p$-dimensional random vectors whose distributions are piecewise-constant with Lipschitz densities changing at unknown…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-26 Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , Yi Yu , Daren Wang , Alessandro Rinaldo

These lecture notes provide an overview of existing methodologies and recent developments for estimation and inference with high dimensional time series regression models. First, we present main limit theory results for high dimensional…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-09-01 Christis Katsouris

This paper is concerned with the detection of multiple change-points in the joint distribution of independent categorical variables. The procedures introduced rely on model selection and are based on a penalized least-squares criterion.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-01-08 Nathalie Akakpo

In this paper we study the setting where features are added or change interpretation over time, which has applications in multiple domains such as retail, manufacturing, finance. In particular, we propose an approach to provably determine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-05-02 Amit Dhurandhar , Steve Hanneke , Liu Yang

The paper considers functional linear regression, where scalar responses $Y_1,\ldots,Y_n$ are modeled in dependence of i.i.d. random functions $X_1,\ldots,X_n$. We study a generalization of the classical functional linear regression model.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-13 Alois Kneip , Dominik Poß , Pascal Sarda