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Recently, stochastic, as opposed to deterministic, parameterizations are being investigated to model the effects of unresolved subgrid scales (SGS) in large eddy simulations (LES) of geophysical flows. We analyse such a stochastic approach…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jinqiao Duan , Balasubramanya T. Nadiga

In this paper, we propose a data-driven framework for model discovery of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) from a single trajectory, without requiring the ergodicity or stationary assumption on the underlying continuous process. By…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-12 Munawar Ali , Purba Das , Qi Feng , Liyao Gao , Guang Lin

Irrotational and monochromatic surface gravity waves possess a mean Lagrangian drift which transports mass and enhances mixing in the upper ocean. In the ocean, where many surface waves are present, it is commonly assumed that the mean…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-05-20 Aidan Blaser , Luc Lenain , Nick Pizzo

Ergodic properties of a stochastic medium complexity model for atmosphere and ocean dynamics are analysed. More specifically, a two-layer quasi-geostrophic model for geophysical flows is studied, with the upper layer being perturbed by…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-20 Giulia Carigi , Jochen Bröcker , Tobias Kuna

This paper formulates a variational approach for treating observational uncertainty and/or computational model errors as stochastic transport in dynamical systems governed by action principles under nonholonomic constraints. For this…

Classical Physics · Physics 2018-10-23 Darryl D Holm , Vakhtang Putkaradze

We introduce a physically relevant stochastic representation of the rotating shallow water equations. The derivation relies mainly on a stochastic transport principle and on a decomposition of the fluid flow into a large-scale component and…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-01-05 Rüdiger Brecht , Long Li , Werner Bauer , Etienne Mémin

Inability of low-resolution ocean models to simulate many important aspects of the large-scale general circulation is a common problem. In the view of physics, the main reason for this failure are the missed dynamical effects of the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-09-16 Igor Shevchenko , Pavel Berloff

We are concerned with a nonlinear nonautonomous model represented by an equation describing the dynamics of an age-structured population diffusing in a space habitat $O,$ governed by local Lipschitz vital factors and by a stochastic…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-04-22 Gabriela Marinoschi

This paper proposes stochastic models for the analysis of ocean surface trajectories obtained from freely-drifting satellite-tracked instruments. The proposed time series models are used to summarise large multivariate datasets and infer…

Applications · Statistics 2017-03-16 Adam M. Sykulski , Sofia C. Olhede , Jonathan M. Lilly , Eric Danioux

Complex systems display variability over a broad range of spatial and temporal scales. Some scales are unresolved due to computational limitations. The impact of these unresolved scales on the resolved scales needs to be parameterized or…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2009-01-22 Aijun Du , Jinqiao Duan

A Bayesian approach is developed for the inference of an eddy-diffusivity field from Lagrangian trajectory data. The motion of Lagrangian particles is modelled by a stochastic differential equation associated with the advection-diffusion…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-09-04 Y. K. Ying , J. R. Maddison , J. Vanneste

We introduce a 3D multiscale kinematic velocity field as a model to simulate Lagrangian turbulent dispersion. The incompressible velocity field is a nonlinear deterministic function, periodic in space and time, that generates chaotic mixing…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-13 Guglielmo Lacorata , Andrea Mazzino , Umberto Rizza

A standard approach to analysis of noise-induced effects in stochastic dynamics assumes a Gaussian character of the noise term describing interaction of the analyzed system with its complex surroundings. An additional assumption about the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-05-06 Bartlomiej Dybiec , Ewa Gudowska-Nowak

Inspired by spatiotemporal observations from satellites of the trajectories of objects drifting near the surface of the ocean in the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's `Global Drifter Program', this paper develops data-driven…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2018-10-19 François Gay-Balmaz , Darryl D. Holm

Spontaneous stochasticity is a modern paradigm for turbulent transport at infinite Reynolds numbers. It suggests that tracer particles advected by rough turbulent flows and subject to additional thermal noise, remain non-deterministic in…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-06-21 André Luís Peixoto Considera , Simon Thalabard

A method is developed to estimate the properties of a global hydrodynamic instability in turbulent flows from measurement data of the limit-cycle oscillations. For this purpose, the flow dynamics are separated in deterministic contributions…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-04-21 Moritz Sieber , C. Oliver Paschereit , Kilian Oberleithner

This paper introduces a geometric method for proving ergodicity of degenerate noise driven stochastic processes. The driving noise is assumed to be an arbitrary Levy process with non-degenerate diffusion component (but that may be applied…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-04-10 Nawaf Bou-Rabee , Houman Owhadi

This work investigates a three-dimensional slow-fast stochastic system with quadratic nonlinearity and additive noise, inspired by fluid dynamics. The deterministic counterpart exhibits a periodic orbit and a slow manifold. We demonstrate…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-01-22 Mickaël D. Chekroun , Jeroen S. W. Lamb , Christian J. Pangerl , Martin Rasmussen

This paper proposes a new stochastic model of traffic dynamics in Lagrangian coordinates. The source of uncertainty is heterogeneity in driving behavior, captured using driver-specific speed-spacing relations, i.e., parametric uncertainty.…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-08-16 Fangfang Zheng , Saif Eddin Jabari , Henry X. Liu , DianChao Lin

We extend our recently introduced stochastic nonlocal traffic flow model to more general random perturbations, including Markovian noise derived from a discretized Jacobi-type stochastic differential equation. Invoking a deterministic…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-26 Timo Böhme , Simone Göttlich , Andreas Neuenkirch