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Understanding how different classes are distributed in an unlabeled data set is an important challenge for the calibration of probabilistic classifiers and uncertainty quantification. Approaches like adjusted classify and count, black-box…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-19 Albert Ziegler , Paweł Czyż

Scenario-based optimization and control has proven to be an efficient approach to account for system uncertainty. In particular, the performance of scenario-based model predictive control (MPC) schemes depends on the accuracy of uncertainty…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-22 Yajie Bao , Javad Mohammadpour Velni

We propose a supervised learning framework for computing solutions of multi-parametric Mixed Integer Linear Programs (MILPs) that arise in Model Predictive Control. Our approach also quantifies sub-optimality for the computed solutions.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-24 Luigi Russo , Siddharth H. Nair , Luigi Glielmo , Francesco Borrelli

Machine-learning (ML) interatomic potentials (IPs) trained on first-principles datasets are becoming increasingly popular since they promise to treat larger system sizes and longer time scales, compared to the {\em ab initio} techniques…

Materials Science · Physics 2023-09-04 Shuaihua Lu , Luca M. Ghiringhelli , Christian Carbogno , Jinlan Wang , Matthias Scheffler

When systems use data-based models that are based on machine learning (ML), errors in their results cannot be ruled out. This is particularly critical if it remains unclear to the user how these models arrived at their decisions and if…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-10 Lisa Jöckel , Michael Kläs , Georg Popp , Nadja Hilger , Stephan Fricke

Uncertainty estimation is important for ensuring safety and robustness of AI systems. While most research in the area has focused on un-structured prediction tasks, limited work has investigated general uncertainty estimation approaches for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-12 Andrey Malinin , Mark Gales

Machine learning classification problems are widespread in bioinformatics, but the technical knowledge required to perform model training, optimization, and inference can prevent researchers from utilizing this technology. This article…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-06 Aaron D. Mullen , Samuel E. Armstrong , Jeff Talbert , V. K. Cody Bumgardner

This paper introduces a novel uncertainty quantification framework for regression models where the response takes values in a separable metric space, and the predictors are in a Euclidean space. The proposed algorithms can efficiently…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-09 Gábor Lugosi , Marcos Matabuena

Trustworthy ML systems should not only return accurate predictions, but also a reliable representation of their uncertainty. Bayesian methods are commonly used to quantify both aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty, but alternative…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-09-11 Mira Jürgens , Nis Meinert , Viktor Bengs , Eyke Hüllermeier , Willem Waegeman

Understanding model's sensitivity to its training data is crucial but can also be challenging and costly, especially during training. To simplify such issues, we present the Memory-Perturbation Equation (MPE) which relates model's…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-17 Peter Nickl , Lu Xu , Dharmesh Tailor , Thomas Möllenhoff , Mohammad Emtiyaz Khan

We study how to utilize (possibly machine-learned) predictions in a model for computing under uncertainty in which an algorithm can query unknown data. The goal is to minimize the number of queries needed to solve the problem. We consider…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-11-09 Thomas Erlebach , Murilo S. de Lima , Nicole Megow , Jens Schlöter

The zeitgeist of the digital era has been dominated by an expanding integration of Artificial Intelligence~(AI) in a plethora of applications across various domains. With this expansion, however, questions of the safety and reliability of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-12-19 Al-Harith Farhad , Ioannis Sorokos , Mohammed Naveed Akram , Koorosh Aslansefat , Daniel Schneider

This book chapter introduces the principles and practical applications of uncertainty quantification in machine learning. It explains how to identify and distinguish between different types of uncertainty and presents methods for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-08 Hans Weytjens , Wouter Verbeke

Large Language Models (LLMs) demonstrate remarkable potential across various domains; however, they exhibit a significant performance gap in Information Extraction (IE). Note that high-quality instruction data is the vital key for enhancing…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-05-28 Honghao Gui , Lin Yuan , Hongbin Ye , Ningyu Zhang , Mengshu Sun , Lei Liang , Huajun Chen

Efficiently creating a concise but comprehensive data set for training machine-learned interatomic potentials (MLIPs) is an under-explored problem. Active learning, which uses biased or unbiased molecular dynamics (MD) to generate candidate…

We study several questions in the reliable agnostic learning framework of Kalai et al. (2009), which captures learning tasks in which one type of error is costlier than others. A positive reliable classifier is one that makes no false…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-02-25 Varun Kanade , Justin Thaler

Microwave Imaging is an essential technique for reconstructing the electrical properties of an inaccessible medium. Many approaches have been proposed employing algorithms to solve the Electromagnetic Inverse Scattering Problem associated…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-06-03 André Costa Batista , Ricardo Adriano , Lucas S. Batista

Understanding the predictions made by Artificial Intelligence (AI) systems is becoming more and more important as deep learning models are used for increasingly complex and high-stakes tasks. Saliency mapping -- a popular visual attribution…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-04-12 Jessica Cooper , Ognjen Arandjelović , David J Harrison

Explainable AI (xAI) interventions aim to improve interpretability for complex black-box models, not only to improve user trust but also as a means to extract scientific insights from high-performing predictive systems. In molecular…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-04 Jonas Teufel , Annika Leinweber , Pascal Friederich

Post-hoc explanation methods are widely used to interpret black-box predictions, but their generation is often computationally expensive and their reliability is not guaranteed. We propose epistemic uncertainty as a low-cost proxy for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-01 Georgii Mikriukov , Grégoire Montavon , Marina M. -C. Höhne
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