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Markov jump processes (MJPs) are used to model a wide range of phenomena from disease progression to RNA path folding. However, maximum likelihood estimation of parametric models leads to degenerate trajectories and inferential performance…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-08 Jonathan H. Huggins , Karthik Narasimhan , Ardavan Saeedi , Vikash K. Mansinghka

Define the scaled empirical point process on an independent and identically distributed sequence $\{Y_i: i\le n\}$ as the random point measure with masses at $a_n^{-1} Y_i$. For suitable $a_n$ we obtain the weak limit of these point…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 André Dabrowski , Gail Ivanoof , Rafal Kulik

We are studying stationary random processes with conditional polynomial moments that allow a continuous path modification. Processes with continuous path modification, are important because they are relatively easy to simulate. One does not…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-21 Paweł J. Szabłowski

Local perturbations in conservative particle systems can have a non-local influence on the stationary measure. To capture this phenomenon, we analyze in this paper two toy models. We study the symmetric exclusion process on a countable set…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-25 Frank Redig , Ellen Saada

We consider a general piecewise deterministic Markov process (PDMP) $X=\{X_t\}_{t\geqslant 0}$ with measure-valued generator $\mathcal{A}$, for which the conditional distribution function of the inter-occurrence time is not necessarily…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-27 Zhaoyang Liu , Yuying Liu , Guoxin Liu

We extend the Dirichlet principle to non-reversible Markov processes on countable state spaces. We present two variational formulas for the solution of the Poisson equation or, equivalently, for the capacity between two disjoint sets. As an…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-11 Alexandre Gaudillière , Claudio Landim

For $d\ge1$ and $r>0$, let $X^{(d;r)}(\cdot)$ be a $d$-dimensional Brownian motion with diffusion coefficient $D$, equipped with an exponential clock with rate $r$. When the clock rings, the process jumps to the origin and begins anew. For…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-20 Ross G. Pinsky

New results on conditional joint probability distributions of first exit times are presented for a continuous-time stochastic process defined as the mixture of Markov jump processes moving at different speeds on the same finite state space,…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-19 B. A. Surya

Given a sample from a discretely observed multidimensional compound Poisson process, we study the problem of nonparametric estimation of its jump size density $r_0$ and intensity $\lambda_0$. We take a nonparametric Bayesian approach to the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-08 Shota Gugushvili , Frank van der Meulen , Peter Spreij

Markov jump processes (MJPs) are continuous-time stochastic processes widely used in a variety of applied disciplines. Inference for MJPs typically proceeds via Markov chain Monte Carlo, the state-of-the-art being a uniformization-based…

Computation · Statistics 2020-04-14 Boqian Zhang , Vinayak Rao

In this paper, we develop some matrix Poisson's equations satisfied by the mean and variance of the mixing time in an irreducible positive-recurrent discrete-time Markov chain with infinitely-many levels, and provide a computational…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-08-21 Quan-Lin Li , Jing Cao

We study the analogue of Poisson ensembles of Markov loops ('loop soups') in the setting of one-dimensional diffusions. We give a detailed description of the corresponding intensity measure. The properties of this measure on loops lead us…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-11 Titus Lupu

In this paper, we propose a new comparison tool for spatial homogeneity of point processes, based on the joint examination of void probabilities and factorial moment measures. We prove that determinantal and permanental processes, as well…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-23 Bartlomiej Blaszczyszyn , D. Yogeshwaran

This paper uses the generator comparison approach of Stein's method to analyze the gap between steady-state distributions of Markov chains and diffusion processes. The "standard" generator comparison approach starts with the Poisson…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-11 Anton Braverman

This paper studies the properties of the Multiply Iterated Poisson Process (MIPP), a stochastic process constructed by repeatedly time-changing a Poisson process, and its applications in ruin theory. Like standard Poisson processes, MIPPs…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-13 Dongdong Hu , Svetlozar T. Rachev , Hasanjan Sayit , Hailiang Yang , Yildiray Yildirim

We consider a discrete Markov-additive process, that is a Markov chain on a state space $\mathbb{Z}^d \times E$ with invariant jumps along the $\mathbb{Z}^d$ component. In the case where the set $E$ is finite, we derive an asymptotic…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-27 Théo Ballu

We study the rate of convergence to equilibrium of the self-repellent random walk and its local time process on the discrete circle $\mathbb{Z}_n$. While the self-repellent random walk alone is non-Markovian since the jump rates depend on…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-01 Andreas Eberle , Francis Lörler

The objective of this paper is to study the filtering problem for a system of partially observable processes $(X, Y)$, where $X$ is a non-Markovian pure-jump process representing the signal and $Y$ is a general jump-diffusion which provides…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-02 Elena Bandini , Alessandro Calvia , Katia Colaneri

We observe the continuous-time Markov Branching Process without high-order moments and allowing Immigration. Limit properties of transition functions and their convergence to invariant measures are investigated. Main mathematical tool is…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-18 Azam A. Imomov , Abror Kh. Meyliev

Inspired by a duration-dependent life insurance model, we consider continuous-time semi-Markov jump processes, initially assumed to have a finite state-space. We develop approximations using jump processes that are time-homogeneous Markov,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-11 Martin Bladt , Andreea Minca , Oscar Peralta