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Background: Overweight and obesity are an increasing phenomenon worldwide. Predicting future overweight or obesity early in the childhood reliably could enable a successful intervention by experts. While a lot of research has been done…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-20 Ilkka Rautiainen , Sami Äyrämö

We introduce a simple model of population dynamics which considers birth and death rates for every individual that depend on the number of particles in its neighborhood. The model shows an inhomogeneous quasistationary pattern with many…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 Emilio Hernandez-Garcia , Cristobal Lopez

Point estimation of class prevalences in the presence of data set shift has been a popular research topic for more than two decades. Less attention has been paid to the construction of confidence and prediction intervals for estimates of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-23 Dirk Tasche

Evacuation plans have been historically used as a safety measure for the construction of buildings. The existing crowd simulators require fully-modeled 3D environments and enough time to prepare and simulate scenarios, where the…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2020-10-02 Estevso Testa , Rodrigo C. Barros , Soraia Raupp Musse

This paper deals with the problem of estimating the finite population mean when some information on two auxiliary attributes are available. It is shown that the proposed estimator is more efficient than the usual mean estimator and other…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-08 Sachin Malik , Rajesh Singh

Spatiotemporal patterns of population changes within and across countries have various implications. Different geographical, demographic and econo-societal factors seem to contribute to migratory decisions made by individual inhabitants.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-03-22 Kohei Tamura , Naoki Masuda

The link between age and migration propensity is long established, but existing models of country-level net migration ignore the effect of population age distribution on past and projected migration rates. We propose a method to estimate…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-11 Nathan G. Welch , Hana Ševčíková , Adrian E. Raftery

Extensions of previous linear regression models for interval data are presented. A more flexible simple linear model is formalized. The new model may express cross-relationships between mid-points and spreads of the interval data in a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-10-23 Angela Blanco-Fernández , Marta García-Bárzana , Ana Colubi , Erricos J. Kontoghiorghes

Aggregated health data such as claims data from health insurances become more and more available for research purposes. Estimates of excess mortality from prevalence and incidence of a chronic condition have only been possible for ages 50…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-08-13 Ralph Brinks

The position of propagating population fronts fluctuates because of the discreteness of the individuals and stochastic character of processes of birth, death and migration. Here we consider a Markov model of a population front propagating…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-28 Baruch Meerson , Pavel V. Sasorov , Yitzhak Kaplan

Traditional population estimation techniques often fail to capture the dynamic fluctuations inherent in urban and rural population movements. Recognizing the need for a high spatiotemporal dynamic population dataset, we propose a method…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-09-09 Huan Ning , Zhenlong Li , Manzhu Yu , Shiyan Zhang , Shan Qiao

Many dynamic microsimulation models have shown their ability to reasonably project detailed population and households using non-data based household formation and dissolution rules. Although, those rules allow modellers to simplify changes…

General Economics · Economics 2020-06-18 Amarin Siripanich , Taha Rashidi

Call centers' managers are interested in obtaining accurate point and distributional forecasts of call arrivals in order to achieve an optimal balance between service quality and operating costs. We present a strategy for selecting forecast…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-05-24 Andrea Bastianin , Marzio Galeotti , Matteo Manera

Population size estimates for hidden and hard-to-reach populations are particularly important when members are known to suffer from disproportion health issues or to pose health risks to the larger ambient population in which they are…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-07-04 Bilal Khan , Hsuan-Wei Lee , Ian Fellows , Kirk Dombrowski

Recent methods have been developed to map single-cell lineage statistics to population growth. Because population growth selects for exponentially rare phenotypes, these methods inherently depend on sampling large deviations from finite…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-01-16 Trevor GrandPre , Ethan Levien , Ariel Amir

The depiction of populations - of humans or animals - as "population pyramids" is a useful tool for the assessment of various characteristics of populations at a glance. Although these visualisations are well-known objects in various…

New estimates for the population risk are established for two-layer neural networks. These estimates are nearly optimal in the sense that the error rates scale in the same way as the Monte Carlo error rates. They are equally effective in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-24 Weinan E , Chao Ma , Lei Wu

A phenomenological theory of growth of the population of humankind is proposed. The theory based on the assumption about a multifractal nature of the set of number of people in temporal axis and contains control parameters. In particular…

Popular Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 L. Ya. Kobelev , L. L. Nugaeva

Estimating the size of an elusive target population is of prominent interest in many areas in the life and social sciences. Our aim is to provide an efficient and workable method to estimate the unknown population size, given the frequency…

Applications · Statistics 2011-07-28 Irene Rocchetti , John Bunge , Dankmar Böhning

We consider clinical trials in which an experimental treatment is compared with a control in pre-specified patient subpopulations. In such settings, adaptive enrichment designs allow the enrolled population to be modified at an interim…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-17 Enyu Li , Nigel Stallard , Ekkehard Glimm , Dominic Magirr , Peter K. Kimani