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This paper derives the asymptotic behavior of realized power variation of pure-jump It\^{o} semimartingales as the sampling frequency within a fixed interval increases to infinity. We prove convergence in probability and an associated…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-04-07 Viktor Todorov , George Tauchen

This paper extends the result of Broniatowski and Caron (2013) pertaining to the asymptotic distribution of a random walk conditioned on its final value as the number of summands increase. We consider multivariate light-tailed random walk…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-15 Caron Virgile

Random walks in random scenery are processes defined by $Z_n:=\sum_{k=1}^n\xi_{X_1+...+X_k}$, where $(X_k,k\ge 1)$ and $(\xi_y,y\in\mathbb Z)$ are two independent sequences of i.i.d. random variables. We assume here that their distributions…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-02-10 Fabienne Castell , Nadine Guillotin-Plantard , Françoise Pène , Bruno Schapira

For a sequence $\{X_{n}, \, n \geqslant 1 \}$ of random variables satisfying $\mathbb{E} \lvert X_{n} \rvert < \infty$ for all $n \geqslant 1$, a maximal inequality is established, and used to obtain strong law of large numbers for…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-26 João Lita da Silva

We consider a continuous-time random walk which is defined as an interpolation of a random walk on a point process on the real line. The distances between neighboring points of the point process are i.i.d. random variables in the normal…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-08 Alessandra Bianchi , Marco Lenci , Françoise Pène

We provide a general theorem on the asymptotic behavior of stochastic processes that conform to a relaxed supermartingale condition. The distinguishing feature of our result is that it provides quantitative convergence guarantees at a much…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-11 Morenikeji Neri , Nicholas Pischke , Thomas Powell

We study whether a multivariate L\'evy-driven moving average process can shadow arbitrarily closely any continuous path, starting from the present value of the process, with positive conditional probability, which we call the conditional…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-16 Mikko S. Pakkanen , Tommi Sottinen , Adil Yazigi

In many complex systems, for the activity f(i) of the constituents or nodes i, a power-law relationship was discovered between the standard deviation sigma(i) and the average strength of the activity: sigma(i) ~ <f(i)>^alpha; universal…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Zoltan Eisler , Janos Kertesz

Let X_1,...., X_n be a collection of iid discrete random variables, and Y_1,..., Y_m a set of noisy observations of such variables. Assume each observation Y_a to be a random function of some a random subset of the X_i's, and consider the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-09-04 Andrea Montanari

The aggregation of individual risks in large credit and insurance portfolios is guided by diversification and the law of large numbers, which formalizes the convergence of sample averages to their means. At the same time, regulatory capital…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-19 Max Nendel

We prove a sequence of limiting results about weakly dependent stationary and regularly varying stochastic processes in discrete time. After deducing the limiting distribution for individual clusters of extremes, we present a new type of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-05 Bojan Basrak , Hrvoje Planinic , Philippe Soulier

We analyze the asymptotic behavior of random variables $x(n,x\_0)$ defined by $x(0,x\_0)=x\_0$ and $x(n+1,x\_0)=A(n)x(n,x\_0)$, where $\sAn$ is a stationary and ergodic sequence of random matrices with entries in the semi-ring…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Glenn Merlet

We consider a mixed moving average (MMA) process X driven by a L\'evy basis and prove that it is weakly dependent with rates computable in terms of the moving average kernel and the characteristic quadruple of the L\'evy basis. Using this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-19 Imma Valentina Curato , Robert Stelzer

Marcinkiewicz strong law of large numbers, ${n^{-\frac1p}}\sum_{k=1}^{n} (d_{k}- d)\rightarrow 0\ $ almost surely with $p\in(1,2)$, are developed for products $d_k=\prod_{r=1}^s x_k^{(r)}$, where the $x_k^{(r)} =…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-11 Michael A. Kouritzin , Sounak Paul

We prove the convergence of the extremal processes for variable speed branching Brownian motions where the "speed functions", that describe the time-inhomogeneous variance, lie strictly below their concave hull and satisfy a certain weak…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-15 Anton Bovier , Lisa Hartung

We provide sufficient conditions for polynomial rate of convergence in the weak law of large numbers for supercritical general indecomposable multi-type branching processes. The main result is derived by investigating the embedded…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-11-07 Alexander Iksanov , Matthias Meiners

The Arcsine laws of Brownian motion are a collection of results describing three different statistical quantities of one-dimensional Brownian motion: the time at which the process reaches its maximum position, the total time the process…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-08-03 Toby Kay , Luca Giuggioli

Let $\{X_n;n\ge 1\}$ be a sequence of independent random variables on a probability space $(\Omega, \mathcal{F}, P)$ and $S_n=\sum_{k=1}^n X_k$. It is well-known that the almost sure convergence, the convergence in probability and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-08 Li-Xin Zhang

Let $\{Z_{m},m\geq 0\}$ be a critical branching process in random environment and $\{S_{m},m\geq 0\}$ be its associated random walk. Assuming that the increments distribution of the associated random walk belongs without centering to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-30 Vladimir Vatutin , Elena Dyakonova

We establish an exact asymptotic formula for the square variation of certain partial sum processes. Let $\{X_{i}\}$ be a sequence of independent, identically distributed mean zero random variables with finite variance $\sigma$ and…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-06-07 Allison Lewko , Mark Lewko