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Weakly nonlinear amplitude equations are derived for the onset of spatially extended patterns on a general class of n-component bulk-surface reaction-diffusion systems in a ball, under the assumption of linear kinetics in the bulk and…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2025-05-27 Edgardo Villar-Sepúlveda , Alan R. Champneys , Davide Cusseddu , Anotida Madzvamuse

Randomized experiments are often performed to study the causal effects of interest. Blocking is a technique to precisely estimate the causal effects when the experimental material is not homogeneous. It involves stratifying the available…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-21 Abhishek Kumar Umrawal

In this paper I introduce quantile spectral densities that summarize the cyclical behavior of time series across their whole distribution by analyzing periodicities in quantile crossings. This approach can capture systematic changes in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-08-28 Andreas Hagemann

A general framework for dealing with both linear regression and clustering problems is described. It includes Gaussian clusterwise linear regression analysis with random covariates and cluster analysis via Gaussian mixture models with…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-10-13 Giuliano Galimberti , Annamaria Manisi , Gabriele Soffritti

This paper deals with the problem of evaluating the causal effect using observational data in the presence of an unobserved exposure/ outcome variable, when cause-effect relationships between variables can be described as a directed acyclic…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-06-18 Manabu Kuroki , Zhihong Cai

We investigate correlations among complementary observables. In particular, we show how to take advantage of mutually unbiased bases (MUBs) for the efficient detection of entanglement in arbitrarily high-dimensional, multipartite and…

Bayesian forecasting is developed in multivariate time series analysis for causal inference. Causal evaluation of sequentially observed time series data from control and treated units focuses on the impacts of interventions using…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-21 Graham Tierney , Christoph Hellmayr , Greg Barkimer , Kevin Li , Mike West

We develop new econometric methods for the comparison of nonparametric time trends. In many applications, practitioners are interested in whether the observed time series all have the same time trend. Moreover, they would often like to know…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-09-23 Marina Khismatullina , Michael Vogt

In this article, an overview of Bayesian methods for sequential simulation from posterior distributions of nonlinear and non-Gaussian dynamic systems is presented. The focus is mainly laid on sequential Monte Carlo methods, which are based…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-28 Konstantinos E. Tatsis , Vasilis K. Dertimanis , Eleni N. Chatzi

In particle-based algorithms, the effect of binary collisions is commonly described in a statistical way, using Monte Carlo techniques. It is shown that, in the relativistic regime, stringent constraints should be considered on the sampling…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2009-11-13 F. Peano , M. Marti , L. O. Silva , G. Coppa

Change point detection in time series aims to identify moments when the probability distribution of time series changes. It is widely applied in many areas, such as human activity sensing and medical science. In the context of multivariate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-15 Shanyun Gao , Raghavendra Addanki , Tong Yu , Ryan A. Rossi , Murat Kocaoglu

Non-probabilistic convex model utilizes a convex set to quantify the uncertainty domain of uncertain-but-bounded parameters, which is very effective for structural uncertainty analysis with limited or poor-quality experimental data. To…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2018-01-18 Ni Bingyu , Jiang Chao , Huang Zhiliang

This work is devoted to the development of a distributionally robust active fault diagnosis approach for a class of nonlinear systems, which takes into account any ambiguity in distribution information of the uncertain model parameters.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-08-12 Ioannis Tzortzis , Marios M. Polycarpou

We propose a framework for determining whether the causal dependence of an outcome $Y$ on a covariate $X$ changes at a given time point, given confounders $\boldsymbol{Z}$. For instance, in financial markets, the effect of a market…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-08 Shakeel Gavioli-Akilagun , Kieran Wood , Francesco Quinzan

We develop a nonparametric Bayesian modeling framework for clustered ordinal responses in developmental toxicity studies, which typically exhibit extensive heterogeneity. The primary focus of these studies is to examine the dose-response…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-22 Jizhou Kang , Athanasios Kottas

This paper deals with the comparison of several stationary processes with unequal sample sizes. We provide a detailed theoretical framework on the testing problem for equality of spectral densities in the bivariate case, after which the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-25 Philip Preuß , Thimo Hildebrandt

Analysis of three-way data is becoming ever more prevalent in the literature, especially in the area of clustering and classification. Real data, including real three-way data, are often contaminated by potential outlying observations.…

How should researchers analyze randomized experiments in which the main outcome is latent and measured in multiple ways but each measure contains some degree of error? We first identify a critical study-specific noncomparability problem in…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-13 Jiawei Fu , Donald P. Green

Recent work has focused on the potential and pitfalls of causal identification in observational studies with multiple simultaneous treatments. Building on previous work, we show that even if the conditional distribution of unmeasured…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-28 Jiajing Zheng , Alexander D'Amour , Alexander Franks

Causal dependence modelling of multivariate extremes is intended to improve our understanding of the relationships amongst variables associated with rare events. Regular variation provides a standard framework in the study of extremes. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-20 Mario Krali