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We consider the effect of multiple stochastic parameters on the time-average quantities of chaotic systems. We employ the recently proposed \cite{Kantarakias_Papadakis_2023} sensitivity-enhanced generalized polynomial chaos expansion,…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2023-11-02 George Papadakis , Kyriakos D. Kantarakias

In this work, we combine the idea of data-driven polynomial chaos expansions with the weighted least-square approach to solve uncertainty quantification (UQ) problems. The idea of data-driven polynomial chaos is to use statistical moments…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-02-20 Ling Guo , Yongle Liu , Tao Zhou

This paper presents a method for performing Uncertainty Quantification in high-dimensional uncertain spaces by combining arbitrary polynomial chaos with a recently proposed scheme for sensitivity enhancement (1). Including available…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-02-09 Nick Pepper , Francesco Montomoli , Kyriakos Kantarakias

In this work we introduce a manifold learning-based method for uncertainty quantification (UQ) in systems describing complex spatiotemporal processes. Our first objective is to identify the embedding of a set of high-dimensional data…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-05-18 Katiana Kontolati , Dimitrios Loukrezis , Ketson R. M. dos Santos , Dimitrios G. Giovanis , Michael D. Shields

Robustness analysis is very important in biology and neuroscience, to unravel behavioural patterns of systems that are conserved despite large parametric uncertainties. To make studies of probabilistic robustness more efficient and scalable…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-08 Uros Sutulovic , Daniele Proverbio , Rami Katz , Giulia Giordano

Gradient-enhanced Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) has received recent attention, in which the derivatives of a Quantity of Interest (QoI) with respect to the uncertain parameters are utilized to improve the surrogate approximation.…

Computation · Statistics 2016-03-23 Ji Peng , Jerrad Hampton , Alireza Doostan

A gradient-based method is proposed for solving the linear quadratic regulator (LQR) problem for linear systems with nonlinear dependence on time-invariant probabilistic parametric uncertainties. The approach explicitly accounts for model…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-30 Leilei Cui , Richard D. Braatz

The post-Moore era casts a shadow of uncertainty on many aspects of computer system design. Managing that uncertainty requires new algorithmic tools to make quantitative assessments. While prior uncertainty quantification methods, such as…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-10-22 Zichang He , Weilong Cui , Chunfeng Cui , Timothy Sherwood , Zheng Zhang

We describe a computational framework linking Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) methods for continuum problems depending on random parameters with Equation-Free (EF) methods for performing continuum deterministic numerics by acting directly…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Yu Zou , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis

Generalized polynomial chaos (gPC) method has been extensively used in uncertainty quantification problems where equations contain random variables. For gPC to achieve high accuracy, PDE solutions need to have high regularity in the random…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-09-30 Qin Li , Jian-Guo Liu , Ruiwen Shu

This paper proposes a general framework to estimate coefficients of generalized polynomial chaos (gPC) used in uncertainty quantification via rotational sparse approximation. In particular, we aim to identify a rotation matrix such that the…

Computation · Statistics 2021-09-20 Mengqi Hu , Yifei Lou , Xiu Yang

Performing uncertainty quantification (UQ) and sensitivity analysis (SA) is vital when developing a patient-specific physiological model because it can quantify model output uncertainty and estimate the effect of each of the model's input…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-12 Kyle M. Burk , Akil Narayan , Joseph A. Orr

This paper deals with some of the methodologies used to construct polynomial surrogate models based on generalized polynomial chaos (gPC) expansions for applications to uncertainty quantification (UQ) in aerodynamic computations. A core…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2018-03-14 Eric Savin , Andrea Resmini , Jacques Peter

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) has received much attention in the literature in the past decade. In this context, Sparse Polynomial chaos expansions (PCE) have been shown to be among the most promising methods because of their ability to…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-17 N. Fajraoui , S. Marelli , B. Sudret

This paper addresses uncertainty quantification (UQ) for problems where scalar (or low-dimensional vector) response quantities are insufficient and, instead, full-field (very high-dimensional) responses are of interest. To do so, an…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-18 D. G Giovanis , M. D. Shields

Recently, the graph-accelerated non-intrusive polynomial chaos (NIPC) method has been proposed for solving uncertainty quantification (UQ) problems. This method leverages the full-grid integration-based NIPC method to address UQ problems…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-10-17 Bingran Wang , Nicholas C. Orndorff , John T. Hwang

The non-intrusive generalized Polynomial Chaos (gPC) method is a popular computational approach for solving partial differential equations (PDEs) with random inputs. The main hurdle preventing its efficient direct application for…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-09-19 Jiahua Jiang , Yanlai Chen , Akil Narayan

Presence of a high-dimensional stochastic parameter space with discontinuities poses major computational challenges in analyzing and quantifying the effects of the uncertainties in a physical system. In this paper, we propose a stochastic…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-08-01 Anindya Bhaduri , Yanyan He , Michael D. Shields , Lori Graham-Brady , Robert M. Kirby

Due to significant manufacturing process variations, the performance of integrated circuits (ICs) has become increasingly uncertain. Such uncertainties must be carefully quantified with efficient stochastic circuit simulators. This paper…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2014-09-18 Zheng Zhang , Ibrahim , M. Elfadel , Luca Daniel

Growing uncertainty from renewable energy integration and distributed energy resources motivate the need for advanced tools to quantify the effect of uncertainty and assess the risks it poses to secure system operation. Polynomial chaos…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-10-16 David Métivier , Marc Vuffray , Sidhant Misra
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