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Power demand forecasting is a critical task for achieving efficiency and reliability in power grid operation. Accurate forecasting allows grid operators to better maintain the balance of supply and demand as well as to optimize operational…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2019-04-30 Yao Cheng , Chang Xu , Daisuke Mashima , Vrizlynn L. L. Thing , Yongdong Wu

Probabilistic time series forecasting is crucial in many application domains such as retail, ecommerce, finance, or biology. With the increasing availability of large volumes of data, a number of neural architectures have been proposed for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-15 Olivier Sprangers , Sebastian Schelter , Maarten de Rijke

We propose a transformer architecture for time series forecasting with a focus on time series tokenisation and apply it to a real-world prediction problem from the pricing domain. Our architecture aims to learn effective representations at…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-22 Egon Peršak , Miguel F. Anjos , Sebastian Lautz , Aleksandar Kolev

This paper presents a comprehensive study on stock price prediction, leveragingadvanced machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) techniques to improve financial forecasting accuracy. The research evaluates the performance of various…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-25 Daksh Dave , Gauransh Sawhney , Vikhyat Chauhan

Time series forecasting plays a key role in a variety of domains. In a lot of real-world scenarios, there exist multiple forecasting entities (e.g. power station in the solar system, stations in the traffic system). A straightforward…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-23 Lin Huang , Lijun Wu , Jia Zhang , Jiang Bian , Tie-Yan Liu

Transformer-based models have shown strong performance in time-series forecasting by leveraging self-attention to model long-range temporal dependencies. However, their effectiveness depends critically on the quality and structure of input…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-11 Saurish Nagrath , Saroj Kumar Panigrahy

We present Higher-Order Tensor RNN (HOT-RNN), a novel family of neural sequence architectures for multivariate forecasting in environments with nonlinear dynamics. Long-term forecasting in such systems is highly challenging, since there…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-27 Rose Yu , Stephan Zheng , Anima Anandkumar , Yisong Yue

The Transformer is a highly successful deep learning model that has revolutionised the world of artificial neural networks, first in natural language processing and later in computer vision. This model is based on the attention mechanism…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-09 Riccardo Ughi , Eugenio Lomurno , Matteo Matteucci

Time series forecasting has gained lots of attention recently; this is because many real-world phenomena can be modeled as time series. The massive volume of data and recent advancements in the processing power of the computers enable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-01 Manie Tadayon , Yumi Iwashita

Wind power forecasting helps with the planning for the power systems by contributing to having a higher level of certainty in decision-making. Due to the randomness inherent to meteorological events (e.g., wind speeds), making highly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-04 Syed Kazmi , Berk Gorgulu , Mucahit Cevik , Mustafa Gokce Baydogan

Multivariate time series forecasting enables the prediction of future states by leveraging historical data, thereby facilitating decision-making processes. Each data node in a multivariate time series encompasses a sequence of multiple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-02 Xinlong Zhao , Liying Zhang , Tianbo Zou , Yan Zhang

The performance of transformers for time-series forecasting has improved significantly. Recent architectures learn complex temporal patterns by segmenting a time-series into patches and using the patches as tokens. The patch size controls…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-25 Yitian Zhang , Liheng Ma , Soumyasundar Pal , Yingxue Zhang , Mark Coates

Multivariate time series forecasting has been widely used in various practical scenarios. Recently, Transformer-based models have shown significant potential in forecasting tasks due to the capture of long-range dependencies. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-10 Zhe Li , Zhongwen Rao , Lujia Pan , Zenglin Xu

We consider a setting where multiple entities inter-act with each other over time and the time-varying statuses of the entities are represented as multiple correlated time series. For example, speed sensors are deployed in different…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-23 Razvan-Gabriel Cirstea , Chenjuan Guo , Bin Yang

Short-term demand forecasting models commonly combine convolutional and recurrent layers to extract complex spatiotemporal patterns in data. Long-term histories are also used to consider periodicity and seasonality patterns as time series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-15 Doyup Lee , Suehun Jung , Yeongjae Cheon , Dongil Kim , Seungil You

Long-term time series forecasting plays an important role in various real-world scenarios. Recent deep learning methods for long-term series forecasting tend to capture the intricate patterns of time series by decomposition-based or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-13 Xing Wang , Zhendong Wang , Kexin Yang , Junlan Feng , Zhiyan Song , Chao Deng , Lin zhu

Statistical methods such as the Box-Jenkins method for time-series forecasting have been prominent since their development in 1970. Many researchers rely on such models as they can be efficiently estimated and also provide interpretability.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-10 Indrajeet Y. Javeri , Mohammadhossein Toutiaee , Ismailcem B. Arpinar , Tom W. Miller , John A. Miller

Much of modern practice in financial forecasting relies on technicals, an umbrella term for several heuristics applying visual pattern recognition to price charts. Despite its ubiquity in financial media, the reliability of its signals…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-12 Sid Ghoshal , Stephen J. Roberts

In this work, we tackle two widespread challenges in real applications for time-series forecasting that have been largely understudied: distribution shifts and missing data. We propose SpectraNet, a novel multivariate time-series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-26 Cristian Challu , Peihong Jiang , Ying Nian Wu , Laurent Callot

With the advent of Big Data, nowadays in many applications databases containing large quantities of similar time series are available. Forecasting time series in these domains with traditional univariate forecasting procedures leaves great…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-13 Kasun Bandara , Christoph Bergmeir , Slawek Smyl