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We investigate the relative information efficiency of financial markets by measuring the entropy of the time series of high frequency data. Our tool to measure efficiency is the Shannon entropy, applied to 2-symbol and 3-symbol…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-15 Lucio Maria Calcagnile , Fulvio Corsi , Stefano Marmi

Summarized by the efficient market hypothesis, the idea that stock prices fully reflect all available information is always confronted with the behavior of real-world markets. While there is plenty of evidence indicating and quantifying the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-12-16 Luiz G. A. Alves , Higor Y. D. Sigaki , Matjaz Perc , Haroldo V. Ribeiro

We determine the amount of information contained in a time series of price returns at a given time scale, by using a widespread tool of the information theory, namely the Shannon entropy, applied to a symbolic representation of this time…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-08-26 Xavier Brouty , Matthieu Garcin

We study the temporal evolution of the market efficiency in the stock markets using the complexity, entropy density, standard deviation, autocorrelation function, and probability distribution of the log return for Standard and Poor's 500…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Jae-Suk Yang , Wooseop Kwak , Taisei Kaizoji , In-mook Kim

In finance, the weak form of the Efficient Market Hypothesis asserts that historic stock price and volume data cannot inform predictions of future prices. In this paper we show that, to the contrary, future intra-day stock prices could be…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-23 David Byrd , Tucker Hybinette Balch

We utilize long-term memory, fractal dimension and approximate entropy as input variables for the Efficiency Index [Kristoufek & Vosvrda (2013), Physica A 392]. This way, we are able to comment on stock market efficiency after controlling…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-16 Ladislav Kristoufek , Miloslav Vosvrda

How an investor invests in the market is largely influenced by the market efficiency because if a market is efficient, it is extremely difficult to make excessive returns because in an efficient market there will be no undervalued…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-10-14 Achal Awasthi , Oleg Malafeyev

The efficiency of the stock market has a significant impact on the potential return on investment. An efficient market eliminates the possibility of arbitrage and unexploited profit opportunities. This study analyzes the weak form…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-03 Devansh Jain , Manthan Patel , Aman Narsaria , Siddharth Malik

Using a two-point correlation technique, we study emergence of market efficiency in the emergent Russian futures market by focusing on lagged correlations. The correlation strength of leader-follower effects in the lagged inter-market…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2013-09-17 Mikhail Kopytin , Evgeniy Kazantsev

In our previous studies we have investigated the structural complexity of time series describing stock returns on New York's and Warsaw's stock exchanges, by employing two estimators of Shannon's entropy rate based on Lempel-Ziv and Context…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-08-19 Paweł Fiedor

Hypothesis of Market Efficiency is an important concept for the investors across the globe holding diversified portfolios. With the world economy getting more integrated day by day, more people are investing in global emerging markets. This…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-09-14 Oleg Malafeyev , Achal Awasthi , Kaustubh S. Kambekar

The Efficient Market Hypothesis has been a staple of economics research for decades. In particular, weak-form market efficiency -- the notion that past prices cannot predict future performance -- is strongly supported by econometric…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-09-12 Samuel Showalter , Jeffrey Gropp

It is customary that when security prices fully reflect all available information, the markets for those securities are said to be efficient. And if markets are inefficient, investors can use available information ignored by the market to…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-07 Md. Mahmudul Alam , Kazi Ashraful Alam , Md. Gazi Salah Uddin

Whether or not stocks are predictable has been a topic of concern for decades.The efficient market hypothesis (EMH) says that it is difficult for investors to make extra profits by predicting stock prices, but this may not be true,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-07-07 Yueshan Chen , Xingyu Xu , Tian Lan , Sihai Zhang

Financial markets typically exhibit dynamically complex properties as they undergo continuous interactions with economic and environmental factors. The Efficient Market Hypothesis indicates a rich difference in the structural complexity of…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-06 Hongjian Xiao , Yao Lei Xu , Danilo P. Mandic

We introduce a new measure for the capital market efficiency. The measure takes into consideration the correlation structure of the returns (long-term and short-term memory) and local herding behavior (fractal dimension). The efficiency…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-07-24 Ladislav Kristoufek , Miloslav Vosvrda

This study investigates empirically whether the degree of stock market efficiency is related to the prediction power of future price change using the indices of twenty seven stock markets. Efficiency refers to weak-form efficient market…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 Cheoljun Eom , Gabjin Oh , Woo-Sung Jung

The efficient market hypothesis has been considered one of the most controversial arguments in finance, with the academia divided between who claims the impossibility of beating the market and who believes that it is possible to gain over…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-10-14 Giuseppe Pernagallo , Benedetto Torrisi

A well-interpretable measure of information has been recently proposed based on a partition obtained by intersecting a random sequence with its moving average. The partition yields disjoint sets of the sequence, which are then ranked…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-08-01 Linda Ponta , Anna Carbone

In this article, the long-term behavior of the stock market index of the New York Stock Exchange is studied, for the period 1950 to 2013. Specifically, the CRSP Value-Weighted and CRSP Equal-Weighted index are analyzed in terms of market…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-10-15 Roberto Ortiz , Mauricio Contreras , Marcelo Villena
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