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Related papers: Rate-optimal estimation of mixed semimartingales

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We investigate the process of eigenvalues of a symmetric matrix-valued process which upper diagonal entries are independent one-dimensional H\"older continuous Gaussian processes of order gamma in (1/2,1). Using the stochastic calculus with…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-29 David Nualart , Victor Pérez-Abreu

The main goal of this work is to provide sample-path estimates for the solution of slowly time-dependent SPDEs perturbed by a cylindrical fractional Brownian motion. Our strategy is similar to the approach by Berglund and Nader for…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-25 Nils Berglund , Alexandra Blessing

The present article is devoted to a fine study of the convergence of renormalized weighted quadratic and cubic variations of a fractional Brownian motion $B$ with Hurst index $H$. In the quadratic (resp. cubic) case, when $H<1/4$ (resp.…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-01-19 Ivan Nourdin

The main object of investigation in this paper is a very general regression model in optional setting - when an observed process is an optional semimartingale depending on an unknown parameter. It is well-known that statistical data may…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-16 Mohamed Abdelghani , Alexander Melnikov , Andrey Pak

This article studies nonparametric methods to estimate the co-integrated volatility for multi-dimensional L\'evy processes with high frequency data. We construct a spectral estimator for the co-integrated volatility and prove minimax rates…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-24 Katerina Papagiannouli

Many results in stochastic analysis and mathematical finance involve local martingales. However, specific examples of strict local martingales are rare and analytically often rather unhandy. We study local martingales that follow a given…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-13 Martin Herdegen , Sebastian Herrmann

In this paper we present new theoretical results on optimal estimation of certain random quantities based on high frequency observations of a L\'evy process. More specifically, we investigate the asymptotic theory for the conditional mean…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-09 Jevgenijs Ivanovs , Mark Podolskij

We show that the distribution of the maximum of the fractional Brownian motion $B^H$ with Hurst parameter $H\to 0$ over an $n$-point set $\tau \subset [0,1]$ can be approximated by the normal law with mean $\sqrt{\ln n}$ and variance $1/2$…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-13 Konstantin Borovkov , Mikhail Zhitlukhin

We consider a stochastic differential equation involving standard and fractional Brownian motion with unknown drift parameter to be estimated. We investigate the standard maximum likelihood estimate of the drift parameter, two non-standard…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-13 Yuriy Kozachenko , Alexander Melnikov , Yuliya Mishura

Let $B_{H}(t), t\geq [0,T], T\in(0,\infty)$ be the standard Multifractional Brownian Motion(mBm), in this contribution we are concerned with the exact asymptotics of \begin{eqnarray*} \mathbb{P}\left\{\sup_{t\in[0,T]}B_{H}(t)>u\right\}…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-02 Long Bai

In this paper we investigate the parametric inference for the linear fractional stable motion in high and low frequency setting. The symmetric linear fractional stable motion is a three-parameter family, which constitutes a natural…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-20 Stepan Mazur , Dmitry Otryakhin , Mark Podolskij

We consider the estimation of binary election outcomes as martingales and propose an arbitrage pricing when one continuously updates estimates. We argue that the estimator needs to be priced as a binary option as the arbitrage valuation…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-03 Nassim Nicholas Taleb

The fractional Brownian motion (fBm) extends the standard Brownian motion by introducing some dependence between non-overlapping increments. Consequently, if one considers for example that log-prices follow an fBm, one can exploit the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-02 Matthieu Garcin

We derive a higher-order asymptotic expansion of the conditional characteristic function of the increment of an It\^o semimartingale over a shrinking time interval. The spot characteristics of the It\^o semimartingale are allowed to have…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-12 Carsten H. Chong , Viktor Todorov

In this work we present different results concerning the signature and the cubature of fractional Brownian motion (fBm). The first result regards the rate of convergence of the expected signature of the linear piecewise approximation of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-20 Riccardo Passeggeri

This paper presents some limit theorems for certain functionals of moving averages of semimartingales plus noise which are observed at high frequency. Our method generalizes the pre-averaging approach (see [Bernoulli 15 (2009) 634--658,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-05 Jean Jacod , Mark Podolskij , Mathias Vetter

Given a c\`adl\`ag process $X$ on a filtered measurable space, we construct a version of its semimartingale characteristics which is measurable with respect to the underlying probability law. More precisely, let $\mathfrak{P}_{sem}$ be the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-08 Ariel Neufeld , Marcel Nutz

Given the univariate marginals of a real-valued, continuous-time martingale, (respectively, a family of measures parameterised by $t \in [0,T]$ which is increasing in convex order, or a double continuum of call prices) we construct a family…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-15 David Hobson

We consider a system of multiscale stochastic differential equations whose slow component is drivenby a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter H greater than 1/2. Under ergodic assumptions ensuring the applicability of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-10 Xue-Mei Li , Colin Piernot , Szymon Sobczak , Kexing Ying

Monroe (1978) demonstrates that any local semimartingale can be represented as a time-changed Brownian Motion (BM). A natural question arises: does this representation theorem hold when the BM and the time-change are independent? We prove…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-10 Michele Azzone , Roberto Baviera
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