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The error or variability of machine learning algorithms is often assessed by repeatedly re-fitting a model with different weighted versions of the observed data. The ubiquitous tools of cross-validation (CV) and the bootstrap are examples…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-10 Ryan Giordano , Will Stephenson , Runjing Liu , Michael I. Jordan , Tamara Broderick

The complexity of semiparametric models poses new challenges to statistical inference and model selection that frequently arise from real applications. In this work, we propose new estimation and variable selection procedures for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-03-09 Bo Kai , Runze Li , Hui Zou

Asymptotically linear estimators in semiparametric models are usually studied through a von Mises expansion in which first-order inference is based on the influence-function variance. This reduction is valid only when the second-order…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-26 Lin Li

Conformal inference, cross-validation+, and the jackknife+ are hold-out methods that can be combined with virtually any machine learning algorithm to construct prediction sets with guaranteed marginal coverage. In this paper, we develop…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-24 Yaniv Romano , Matteo Sesia , Emmanuel J. Candès

Modern statistical analysis often encounters datasets with large sizes. For these datasets, conventional estimation methods can hardly be used immediately because practitioners often suffer from limited computational resources. In most…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-14 Shuyuan Wu , Xuening Zhu , Hansheng Wang

Compared to nonparametric estimators in the multivariate setting, kernel estimators for functional data models have a larger order of bias. This is problematic for constructing confidence regions or statistical tests since the bias might…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-21 Melanie Birke , Tim Greger

We investigate the finite sample performance of sample splitting, cross-fitting and averaging for the estimation of the conditional average treatment effect. Recently proposed methods, so-called meta-learners, make use of machine learning…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-27 Daniel Jacob

For studying or reducing the bias of functionals of the Kaplan-Meier survival estimator, the jackknifing approach of Stute and Wang (1994) is natural. We have studied the behavior of the jackknife estimate of bias under different…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-17 Md Hasinur Rahaman Khan , J. Ewart H. Shaw

Jackknife instrumental variable estimation (JIVE) is a classic method to leverage many weak instrumental variables (IVs) to estimate linear structural models, overcoming the bias of standard methods like two-stage least squares. In this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-08 Aurélien Bibaut , Nathan Kallus , Apoorva Lal

When outcome data are expensive or onerous to collect, scientists increasingly substitute predictions from machine learning and AI models for unlabeled cases, a process which has consequences for downstream statistical inference. While…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-13 Stephen Salerno , Zhenke Wu , Tyler McCormick

Prediction intervals in supervised Machine Learning bound the region where the true outputs of new samples may fall. They are necessary in the task of separating reliable predictions of a trained model from near random guesses, minimizing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-20 Anton Akusok , Yoan Miche , Kaj-Mikael Björk , Amaury Lendasse

Predictive biomarkers are playing an essential role in precision medicine. Identifying an optimal cutoff to select patient subsets with greater benefit from treatment is critical and more challenging for predictive biomarkers measured with…

Applications · Statistics 2025-04-29 Chi Zhang , Wei Shi , Spencer Woody , Qing Liu

We introduce a generalized bootstrap technique for estimators obtained by solving estimating equations. Some special cases of this generalized bootstrap are the classical bootstrap of Efron, the delete-d jackknife and variations of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Snigdhansu Chatterjee , Arup Bose

The infinitesimal jackknife (IJ) has recently been applied to the random forest to estimate its prediction variance. These theorems were verified under a traditional random forest framework which uses classification and regression trees…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-08-05 Cole Brokamp , MB Rao , Patrick Ryan , Roman Jandarov

This paper investigates the accuracy of bootstrap-based inference in the case of long memory fractionally integrated processes. The re-sampling method is based on the semi-parametric sieve approach, whereby the dynamics in the process used…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-03-08 D. S. Poskitt , Simone D. Grose , Gael M. Martin

This paper introduces a straightforward sieve-based approach for estimating and conducting inference on regression parameters in panel data models with interactive fixed effects. The method's key assumption is that factor loadings can be…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-26 Georg Keilbar , Juan M. Rodriguez-Poo , Alexandra Soberon , Weining Wang

Several new methods have been proposed for performing valid inference after model selection. An older method is sampling splitting: use part of the data for model selection and part for inference. In this paper we revisit sample splitting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-04 Alessandro Rinaldo , Larry Wasserman , Max G'Sell , Jing Lei

In this paper, we consider the beta prime regression model recently proposed by \cite{bour18}, which is tailored to situations where the response is continuous and restricted to the positive real line with skewed and long tails and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-28 Francisco M. C. Medeiros , Mariana C. Araújo , Marcelo Bourguignon

We show that, when the double bootstrap is used to improve performance of bootstrap methods for bias correction, techniques based on using a single double-bootstrap sample for each single-bootstrap sample can be particularly effective. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-12 Jinyuan Chang , Peter Hall

Samples with a common mean but possibly different, ordered variances arise in various fields such as interlaboratory experiments, field studies or the analysis of sensor data. Estimators for the common mean under ordered variances typically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-30 Ansgar Steland , Yuan-Tsung Chang