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This work focuses on sampling from hidden Markov models (Cappe et al, 2005) whose observations have intractable density functions. We develop a new sequential Monte Carlo (Doucet et al, 2000 and Gordon et al, 1993) algorithm and a new…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-08-22 Adam Persing , Ajay Jasra

In this paper, we propose Total Variation Regularized Tensor-on-scalar Regression(TVTR), a novel method for estimating the association between a tensor outcome (a one dimensional or multidimensional array) and scalar predictors. While the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-11 Ying Liu , Bowei Yan , Kathleen Merikangas , Haochang Shou

This article introduces the Parabolic Variance (PVAR), a wavelet variance similar to the Allan variance, based on the Linear Regression (LR) of phase data. The companion article arXiv:1506.05009 [physics.ins-det] details the $\Omega$…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-10-29 F. Vernotte , M. Lenczner , P. -Y. Bourgeois , E. Rubiola

Visual Autoregressive (VAR) modeling inefficiently applies a fixed computational depth to each position when generating high-resolution images. While existing methods accelerate inference by pruning tokens using frequency maps, their binary…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Chunliang Li , Tianze Cao , Sanyuan Zhao

A key challenge when designing particle filters in high-dimensional state spaces is the construction of a proposal distribution that is close to the posterior distribution. Recent advances in particle flow filters provide a promising avenue…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-30 Yunpeng Li , Mark Coates

Adaptive importance sampling for stochastic optimization is a promising approach that offers improved convergence through variance reduction. In this work, we propose a new framework for variance reduction that enables the use of mixtures…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-01 Zalán Borsos , Sebastian Curi , Kfir Y. Levy , Andreas Krause

This paper presents adaptive observers for online state and parameter estimation of a class of nonlinear systems motivated by biophysical models of neuronal circuits. We first present a linear-in-the-parameters design that solves a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-02-19 Thiago B. Burghi , Rodolphe Sepulchre

The particle filter is a popular Bayesian filtering algorithm for use in cases where the state-space model is nonlinear and/or the random terms (initial state or noises) are non-Gaussian distributed. We study the behavior of the error in…

Computation · Statistics 2019-03-29 Ziyu Liu , Shihong Wei , James C. Spall

The ensemble Gaussian mixture filter combines the simplicity and power of Gaussian mixture models with the provable convergence and power of particle filters. The quality of the ensemble Gaussian mixture filter heavily depends on the choice…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-12-21 Andrey A Popov , Renato Zanetti

We design algorithms for online linear optimization that have optimal regret and at the same time do not need to know any upper or lower bounds on the norm of the loss vectors. We achieve adaptiveness to norms of loss vectors by scale…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-07-03 Francesco Orabona , David Pal

This article discusses a partially adapted particle filter for estimating the likelihood of a nonlinear structural econometric state space models whose state transition density cannot be expressed in closed form. The filter generates the…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-09-05 Jamie Hall , Michael K. Pitt , Robert Kohn

Online continual learning (OCL), which enables AI systems to adaptively learn from non-stationary data streams, is commonly achieved using experience replay (ER)-based methods that retain knowledge by replaying stored past during training.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-26 Zelin Tao , Hao Deng , Mingqing Liu , Lijun Zhang , Shengjie Zhao

A sequential estimator based on the Ensemble Kalman Filter for Data Assimilation of fluid flows is presented in this research work. The main feature of this estimator is that the Kalman filter update, which relies on the determination of…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-07-28 Gabriel Moldovan , Guillame Lehnasch , Laurent Cordier , Marcello Meldi

We present a variational method for online state estimation and parameter learning in state-space models (SSMs), a ubiquitous class of latent variable models for sequential data. As per standard batch variational techniques, we use…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-16 Andrew Campbell , Yuyang Shi , Tom Rainforth , Arnaud Doucet

To backpropagate the gradients through stochastic binary layers, we propose the augment-REINFORCE-merge (ARM) estimator that is unbiased, exhibits low variance, and has low computational complexity. Exploiting variable augmentation,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-11 Mingzhang Yin , Mingyuan Zhou

In process mining, process models are extracted from event logs using process discovery algorithms and are commonly assessed using multiple quality dimensions. While the metrics that measure the relationship of an extracted process model to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-11-04 Julian Theis , Houshang Darabi

This paper presents a fast and robust algorithm for trend filtering, a recently developed nonparametric regression tool. It has been shown that, for estimating functions whose derivatives are of bounded variation, trend filtering achieves…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-09-01 Aaditya Ramdas , Ryan J. Tibshirani

In stochastic optimization, a common tool to deal sequentially with large sample is to consider the well-known stochastic gradient algorithm. Nevertheless, since the stepsequence is the same for each direction, this can lead to bad results…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-03 Antoine Godichon-Baggioni , Pierre Tarrago

Kalman filters are widely used for object tracking, where process and measurement noise are usually considered accurately known and constant. However, the exact known and constant assumptions do not always hold in practice. For example,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-12-23 Chao Jiang , Zhiling Wang , Shuhang Tan , Huawei Liang

In the following article we develop a particle filter for approximating Feynman-Kac models with indicator potentials. Examples of such models include approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) posteriors associated with hidden Markov models…

Computation · Statistics 2013-04-02 Ajay Jasra , Anthony Lee , Christopher Yau , Xiaole Zhang