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Related papers: A review on recent advances in scenario aggregatio…

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To account for volatile renewable energy supply, energy systems optimization problems require high temporal resolution. Many models use time-series clustering to find representative periods to reduce the amount of time-series input data and…

In this paper, approximation schemes are proposed for handling load uncertainty in compliance-based topology optimization problems, where the uncertainty is described in the form of a set of finitely many loading scenarios. Efficient…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-05-03 Mohamed Tarek , Tapabrata Ray

This paper presents a novel solution paradigm of general optimization under both exogenous and endogenous uncertainties. This solution paradigm consists of a probability distribution (PD)-free method of obtaining deterministic equivalents…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-08-09 Qifeng Li

With the ongoing emergence of smart and distributed grids, it becomes increasingly important to understand as well as improve legacy infrastructure while operating a much more interconnected and fragile architecture. To support this…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2022-04-13 Maximilian T. Fischer , Daniel A. Keim

We develop a probabilistic framework for joint simulation of short-term electricity generation from renewable assets. In this paper we describe a method for producing hourly day-ahead scenarios of generated power at grid-scale across…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-11 Mike Ludkovski , Glen Swindle , Eric Grannan

Greater direct electrification of end-use sectors with a higher share of renewables is one of the pillars to power a carbon-neutral society by 2050. However, in contrast to conventional power plants, renewable energy is subject to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-22 Jonathan Dumas , Antoine Wehenkel Damien Lanaspeze , Bertrand Cornélusse , Antonio Sutera

The scenario approach provides a powerful data-driven framework for designing solutions under uncertainty with rigorous probabilistic robustness guarantees. Existing theory, however, primarily addresses assessing robustness with respect to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-02 Simone Garatti , Lucrezia Manieri , Alessandro Falsone , Algo Carè , Marco C. Campi , Maria Prandini

Energy systems optimization problems are complex due to strongly non-linear system behavior and multiple competing objectives, e.g. economic gain vs. environmental impact. Moreover, a large number of input variables and different variable…

For a timely decarbonization of our economy, power systems need to accommodate increasing numbers of clean but stochastic resources. This requires new operational methods that internalize this stochasticity to ensure safety and efficiency.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-02 Robert Mieth , H. Vincent Poor

There is an emerging need for efficient solutions to stochastic AC Optimal Power Flow ({AC-}OPF) to ensure optimal and reliable grid operations in the presence of increasing demand and generation uncertainty. This paper presents a highly…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-06-11 Ilyes Mezghani , Sidhant Misra , Deepjyoti Deka

Recently there has been a surge of interest in operations research (OR) and the machine learning (ML) community in combining prediction algorithms and optimization techniques to solve decision-making problems in the face of uncertainty.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-11 Utsav Sadana , Abhilash Chenreddy , Erick Delage , Alexandre Forel , Emma Frejinger , Thibaut Vidal

Security-Constrained Unit Commitment (SCUC) is one of the most significant problems in secure and optimal operation of modern electricity markets. New sources of uncertainties such as wind speed volatility and price-sensitive loads impose…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-01-25 Mahdi Mehrtash , Mahdi Raoofat , Mohammad Mohammadi , Mohammad Hossein Zakernejad

As the share of renewables in the grid increases, the operation of power systems becomes more challenging. The present paper proposes a method to formulate and solve chance-constrained optimal power flow while explicitly considering the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-04-04 T. Mühlpfordt , L. Roald , V. Hagenmeyer , T. Faulwasser , S. Misra

The uncertainty in distribution grid planning is driven by the unpredictable spatial and temporal patterns in adopting electric vehicles (EVs) and solar photovoltaic (PV) systems. This complexity, stemming from interactions among EVs, PV…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-20 Shiva Poudel , Poorva Sharma , Abhineet Parchure , Daniel Olsen , Sayantan Bhowmik , Tonya Martin , Dylan Locsin , Andrew P. Reiman

Electric utilities must make massive capital investments in the coming years to respond to explosive growth in demand, aging assets and rising threats from extreme weather. Utilities today already have rigorous frameworks for capital…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-06 Emma Benjaminson

To model combinatorial decision problems involving uncertainty and probability, we introduce scenario based stochastic constraint programming. Stochastic constraint programs contain both decision variables, which we can set, and stochastic…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2009-03-09 S. Armagan Tarim , Suresh Manandhar , Toby Walsh

As a consequence of the high variability of load demand and renewable generation, long-term and high-resolution inputs are required for power system expansion planning, making the problem intractable in real-world applications. Time series…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-29 Ruiqi Zhang , Ensieh Sharifnia , Simon H. Tindemans

Given the complexity of power systems, particularly the high-dimensional variability of net loads, accurately depicting the entire operational range of net loads poses a challenge. To address this, recent methodologies have sought to gauge…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-07-23 Xinyi Zhao , Lei Fan , Fei Ding , Weijia Liu , Chaoyue Zhao

Load forecasts have become an integral part of energy security. Due to the various influencing factors that can be considered in such a forecast, there is also a wide range of models that attempt to integrate these parameters into a system…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-19 Philipp Giese

In the wake of the highly electrified future ahead of us, the role of energy storage is crucial wherever distributed generation is abundant, such as in microgrid settings. Given the variety of storage options that are becoming more and more…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-26 S. Tsianikas , N. Yousefi , J. Zhou , M. Rodgers , D. W. Coit