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Particle smoothing enables state estimation in nonlinear and non-Gaussian state-space models, but its practical use is often limited by high computational cost. Backward smoothing methods such as the Forward Filter Backward Smoother (FFBS)…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-17 Genshiro Kitagawa

We introduce a scalable approach to Gaussian process inference that combines spatio-temporal filtering with natural gradient variational inference, resulting in a non-conjugate GP method for multivariate data that scales linearly with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-03 Oliver Hamelijnck , William J. Wilkinson , Niki A. Loppi , Arno Solin , Theodoros Damoulas

Spatial statistics often involves Cholesky decomposition of covariance matrices. To ensure scalability to high dimensions, several recent approximations have assumed a sparse Cholesky factor of the precision matrix. We propose a…

Computation · Statistics 2021-09-27 Marcin Jurek , Matthias Katzfuss

Gaussian processes are flexible probabilistic regression models which are widely used in statistics and machine learning. However, a drawback is their limited scalability to large data sets. To alleviate this, full-scale approximations…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-13 Tim Gyger , Reinhard Furrer , Fabio Sigrist

This article introduces novel and practicable Bayesian factor analysis frameworks that are computationally feasible for moderate to large spatiotemporal data. Previous Bayesian analysis of spatiotemporal data has utilized a Bayesian factor…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-18 Yifan Cheng , Cheng Li

This paper introduces a new sparse spatio-temporal structured Gaussian process regression framework for online and offline Bayesian inference. This is the first framework that gives a time-evolving representation of the interdependencies…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-01 Danil Kuzin , Olga Isupova , Lyudmila Mihaylova

The forward-backward splitting method (FBS) for minimizing a nonsmooth composite function can be interpreted as a (variable-metric) gradient method over a continuously differentiable function which we call forward-backward envelope (FBE).…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-11-11 Lorenzo Stella , Andreas Themelis , Panagiotis Patrinos

With the growing capabilities of Geographic Information Systems (GIS) and user-friendly software, statisticians today routinely encounter geographically referenced data containing observations from a large number of spatial locations and…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-23 Sudipto Banerjee

Missing data is a common problem in real-world sensor data collection. The performance of various approaches to impute data degrade rapidly in the extreme scenarios of low data sampling and noisy sampling, a case present in many real-world…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-21 Charul Paliwal , Pravesh Biyani , Ketan Rajawat

Approximate Bayesian inference methods that scale to very large datasets are crucial in leveraging probabilistic models for real-world time series. Sparse Markovian Gaussian processes combine the use of inducing variables with efficient…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-10 William J. Wilkinson , Arno Solin , Vincent Adam

The Bayesian smoothing equations are generally intractable for systems described by nonlinear stochastic differential equations and discrete-time measurements. Gaussian approximations are a computationally efficient way to approximate the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-04-05 Juha Ala-Luhtala , Simo Särkkä , Robert Piché

In this article, we propose a novel spatial global-local spike-and-slab selection prior for image-on-scalar regression. We consider a Bayesian hierarchical Gaussian process model for image smoothing, that uses a flexible Inverse-Wishart…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-19 Zijian Zeng , Meng Li , Marina Vannucci

Smoothing algorithms for state-space models, i.e., fixed-interval smoothing, fixed-lag smoothing, and two-filter formula for smoothing, are examined using real examples. For linear and Gaussian state-space models, it is observed that…

Computation · Statistics 2023-07-10 G. Kitagawa

Spatio-temporal systems exhibiting multi-scale behaviour are common in applications ranging from cyber-physical systems to systems biology, yet they present formidable challenges for computational modelling and analysis. Here we consider a…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2019-02-01 Michalis Michaelides , Jane Hillston , Guido Sanguinetti

This paper presents algorithms for temporal parallelization of Bayesian smoothers. We define the elements and the operators to pose these problems as the solutions to all-prefix-sums operations for which efficient parallel scan-algorithms…

Computation · Statistics 2020-02-21 Simo Särkkä , Ángel F. García-Fernández

The analysis of spatial data from biological imaging technology, such as imaging mass spectrometry (IMS) or imaging mass cytometry (IMC), is challenging because of a competitive sampling process which convolves signals from molecules in a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-26 Joaquim Valerio Teixeira , Ed Reznik , Sudpito Banerjee , Wesley Tansey

This paper presents a hierarchical Bayesian model to reconstruct sparse images when the observations are obtained from linear transformations and corrupted by an additive white Gaussian noise. Our hierarchical Bayes model is well suited to…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2011-01-19 Nicolas Dobigeon , Alfred O. Hero , Jean-Yves Tourneret

In this paper, we propose a scalable Bayesian method for sparse covariance matrix estimation by incorporating a continuous shrinkage prior with a screening procedure. In the first step of the procedure, the off-diagonal elements with small…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-22 Kyoungjae Lee , Seongil Jo , Kyeongwon Lee , Jaeyong Lee

The log-Gaussian Cox process is a flexible and popular class of point pattern models for capturing spatial and space-time dependence for point patterns. Model fitting requires approximation of stochastic integrals which is implemented…

Computation · Statistics 2018-10-24 Shinichiro Shirota , Sudipto Banerjee

Due to developments in instruments and computers, functional observations are increasingly popular. However, effective methodologies for flexibly estimating the underlying trends with valid uncertainty quantification for a sequence of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-22 Tomoya Wakayama , Shonosuke Sugasawa
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