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Material flow analyses (MFAs) provide insight into supply chain level opportunities for resource efficiency. MFAs can be represented as networks with nodes that represent materials, processes, sectors or locations. MFA network structure…

Applications · Statistics 2025-05-08 Jiankan Liao , Xun Huan , Daniel Cooper

Material flow analyses (MFAs) are powerful tools for highlighting resource efficiency opportunities in supply chains. MFAs are often represented as directed graphs, with nodes denoting processes and edges representing mass flows. However,…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-08 Jiankan Liao , Xun Huan , Daniel Cooper

Material Flow Analysis (MFA) is used to quantify and understand the life cycles of materials from production to end of use, which enables environmental, social and economic impacts and interventions. MFA is challenging as available data is…

The prior distribution for the unknown model parameters plays a crucial role in the process of statistical inference based on Bayesian methods. However, specifying suitable priors is often difficult even when detailed prior knowledge is…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-18 Marcelo Hartmann , Georgi Agiashvili , Paul Bürkner , Arto Klami

We study Bayesian inverse problems with mixed noise, modeled as a combination of additive and multiplicative Gaussian components. While traditional inference methods often assume fixed or known noise characteristics, real-world…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-17 Paul Hagemann , Robert Gruhlke , Bernhard Stankewitz , Claudia Schillings , Gabriele Steidl

Bayesian inversion is central to the quantification of uncertainty within problems arising from numerous applications in science and engineering. To formulate the approach, four ingredients are required: a forward model mapping the unknown…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-15 O. Deniz Akyildiz , Mark Girolami , Andrew M. Stuart , Arnaud Vadeboncoeur

Language models are prone to dataset biases, known as shortcuts and spurious correlations in data, which often result in performance drop on new data. We present a new debiasing framework called ``FairFlow'' that mitigates dataset biases by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-25 Jiali Cheng , Hadi Amiri

Stability selection is a versatile framework for structure estimation and variable selection in high-dimensional setting, primarily grounded in frequentist principles. In this paper, we propose an enhanced methodology that integrates…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-05 Mahdi Nouraie , Connor Smith , Samuel Muller

Eliciting a high-dimensional probability distribution from an expert via noisy judgments is notoriously challenging, yet useful for many applications, such as prior elicitation and reward modeling. We introduce a method for eliciting the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-17 Petrus Mikkola , Luigi Acerbi , Arto Klami

We propose an expert-elicitation method for learning non-parametric joint prior distributions using normalizing flows. Normalizing flows are a class of generative models that enable exact, single-step density evaluation and can capture…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-22 Florence Bockting , Stefan T. Radev , Paul-Christian Bürkner

Bayesian inference is a popular approach to calibrating uncertainties, but it can underpredict such uncertainties when model misspecification is present, impacting its reliability to inform decision making. Recently, the statistics and…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-01-09 Rebekah White , Rileigh Bandy , Teresa Portone

Quantifying and reducing uncertainty in Earth system model parameterizations is essential to improving their reliability in decision-making. Forward uncertainty propagation is used to derive parameter sensitivity but requires physically…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-22 Ethan YoungIn Shin , Baris Kale , Michael F. Howland

Neural networks predictions are unreliable when the input sample is out of the training distribution or corrupted by noise. Being able to detect such failures automatically is fundamental to integrate deep learning algorithms into robotics.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-02-18 Antonio Loquercio , Mattia Segù , Davide Scaramuzza

Noise is one of the primary sources of interference in seismic exploration. Many authors have proposed various methods to remove noise from seismic data; however, in the face of strong noise conditions, satisfactory results are often not…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-04-04 Junheng Peng , Yong Li , Yingtian Liu , Zhangquan Liao

A central characteristic of Bayesian statistics is the ability to consistently incorporate prior knowledge into various modeling processes. In this paper, we focus on translating domain expert knowledge into corresponding prior…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-16 Florence Bockting , Stefan T. Radev , Paul-Christian Bürkner

Groundwater flow modeling is commonly used to calculate groundwater heads, estimate groundwater flow paths and travel times, and provide insights into solute transport processes within an aquifer. However, the values of input parameters…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-03-15 Emily A. Baker , Sauro Manenti , Alessandro Reali , Giancarlo Sangalli , Lorenzo Tamellini , Sara Todeschini

Estimating the parameters of mathematical models is a common problem in almost all branches of science. However, this problem can prove notably difficult when processes and model descriptions become increasingly complex and an explicit…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-09 Stefan T. Radev , Ulf K. Mertens , Andreas Voss , Lynton Ardizzone , Ullrich Köthe

The increased availability of observation data from engineering systems in operation poses the question of how to incorporate this data into finite element models. To this end, we propose a novel statistical construction of the finite…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-25 Mark Girolami , Eky Febrianto , Ge Yin , Fehmi Cirak

Uncertainty quantification is essential when dealing with ill-conditioned inverse problems due to the inherent nonuniqueness of the solution. Bayesian approaches allow us to determine how likely an estimation of the unknown parameters is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-16 Ali Siahkoohi , Gabrio Rizzuti , Felix J. Herrmann

Sparse modeling for signal processing and machine learning has been at the focus of scientific research for over two decades. Among others, supervised sparsity-aware learning comprises two major paths paved by: a) discriminative methods and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-23 Lei Cheng , Feng Yin , Sergios Theodoridis , Sotirios Chatzis , Tsung-Hui Chang
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