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This paper introduces a novel framework for estimation and inference in penalized M-estimators applied to robust high-dimensional linear regression models. Traditional methods for high-dimensional statistical inference, which predominantly…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-15 Dian Zheng , Lingzhou Xue

Obtaining valid treatment effect inference remains a challenging problem when dealing with numerous instruments and non-sparse control variables. In this paper, we propose a novel ridge regularization-based instrumental variables method for…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-17 Xiduo Chen , Xingdong Feng , Antonio F. Galvao , Yeheng Ge

When developing risk prediction models, shrinkage methods are recommended, especially when the sample size is limited. Several earlier studies have shown that the shrinkage of model coefficients can reduce overfitting of the prediction…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-29 Ben Van Calster , Maarten van Smeden , Ewout W. Steyerberg

Sparse Gaussian graphical models characterize sparse dependence relationships between random variables in a network. To estimate multiple related Gaussian graphical models on the same set of variables, we formulate a hierarchical model,…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-06-10 Yuancheng Zhu , Rina Foygel Barber

Recent theoretical studies proved that deep neural network (DNN) estimators obtained by minimizing empirical risk with a certain sparsity constraint can attain optimal convergence rates for regression and classification problems. However,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-10 Ilsang Ohn , Yongdai Kim

Given a collection of features available for inclusion in a predictive model, it may be of interest to quantify the relative importance of a subset of features for the prediction task at hand. For example, in HIV vaccine trials, participant…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-27 Charles J. Wolock , Peter B. Gilbert , Noah Simon , Marco Carone

One popular approach for nonstructural economic and financial forecasting is to include a large number of economic and financial variables, which has been shown to lead to significant improvements for forecasting, for example, by the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-06-21 Song Song , Peter J. Bickel

This paper is concerned with a novel deep learning method for variational problems with essential boundary conditions. To this end, we first reformulate the original problem into a minimax problem corresponding to a feasible augmented…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-05-10 Jianguo Huang , Haoqin Wang , Tao Zhou

This paper develops new tools to quantify uncertainty in optimal decision making and to gain insight into which variables one should collect information about given the potential cost of measuring a large number of variables. We investigate…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-11 Yunan Wu , Lan Wang , Haoda Fu

Bias in datasets can be very detrimental for appropriate statistical estimation. In response to this problem, importance weighting methods have been developed to match any biased distribution to its corresponding target unbiased…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-12 Antoine de Mathelin , Francois Deheeger , Mathilde Mougeot , Nicolas Vayatis

$\ell_p$-norm penalization, notably the Lasso, has become a standard technique, extending shrinkage regression to subset selection. Despite aiming for oracle properties and consistent estimation, existing Lasso-derived methods still rely on…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-23 Sihyung Park , Leonard A. Stefanski

We study the nonparametric least squares estimator (LSE) of a multivariate convex regression function. The LSE, given as the solution to a quadratic program with $O(n^2)$ linear constraints ($n$ being the sample size), is difficult to…

Computation · Statistics 2015-09-29 Rahul Mazumder , Arkopal Choudhury , Garud Iyengar , Bodhisattva Sen

We propose a model-free reinforcement learning algorithm inspired by the popular randomized least squares value iteration (RLSVI) algorithm as well as the optimism principle. Unlike existing upper-confidence-bound (UCB) based approaches,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-27 Haque Ishfaq , Qiwen Cui , Viet Nguyen , Alex Ayoub , Zhuoran Yang , Zhaoran Wang , Doina Precup , Lin F. Yang

This paper studies linear overparameterized models in economic forecasting and highlights that including noise variables (regressors with no predictive power) regularizes the estimator. We consider a setting where both the outcome variable…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-16 Yuan Liao , Xinjie Ma , Andreas Neuhierl , Zhentao Shi

Variable importance is central to scientific studies, including the social sciences and causal inference, healthcare, and other domains. However, current notions of variable importance are often tied to a specific predictive model. This is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-11 Jiayun Dong , Cynthia Rudin

Generalized linear models (GLMs) are fundamental tools for statistical modeling, with maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) serving as the classical approach for parameter inference. While MLE performs well for canonical GLMs, it can become…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-03 Linglingzhi Zhu , Jonghyeok Lee , Yao Xie

We propose a method for estimating long-term treatment effects with many short-term proxy outcomes: a central challenge when experimenting on digital platforms. We formalize this challenge as a latent variable problem where observed proxies…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-13 Apoorva Lal , Guido Imbens , Peter Hull

We study the problem of offline policy optimization in stochastic contextual bandit problems, where the goal is to learn a near-optimal policy based on a dataset of decision data collected by a suboptimal behavior policy. Rather than making…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-28 Germano Gabbianelli , Gergely Neu , Matteo Papini

High-dimensional time series data appear in many scientific areas in the current data-rich environment. Analysis of such data poses new challenges to data analysts because of not only the complicated dynamic dependence between the series,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-22 Di Wang , Ruey S. Tsay

Many statistical problems can be reduced to a linear inverse problem in which only a noisy version of the operator is available. Particular examples include random design regression, deconvolution problem, instrumental variable regression,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-22 Vladimir Spokoiny