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When banks extend loans to each other, they generate a negative externality in the form of systemic risk. They create a network of interbank exposures by which they expose other banks to potential insolvency cascades. In this paper, we show…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2017-06-26 Matt V. Leduc , Stefan Thurner

In this paper, we address the problem of how a network of agents can collaboratively fit a linear model when each agent only ever has an arbitrary summand of the regression data. This problem generalizes previously studied…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-08-06 François D. Côté , Ioannis N. Psaromiligkos , Warren J. Gross

A new mathematical model for evolutionary games on graphs is proposed to extend the classical replicator equation to finite populations of players organized on a network with generic topology. Classical results from game theory,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-09-01 Dario Madeo , Chiara Mocenni

Repeated interactions are ubiquitous and known to promote social behaviour. While research often focuses on cooperation in the Prisoner's Dilemma, experimental evidence suggests repeated interactions also foster fairness. This study…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2026-04-07 Prosanta Mandal , Arunava Patra , Sagar Chakraborty

We examine the evolutionary basis for risk aversion with respect to aggregate risk. We study populations in which agents face choices between alternatives with different levels of aggregate risk. We show that the choices that maximize the…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-02-06 Yuval Heller , Ilan Nehama

We consider the prisoner's dilemma being played repeatedly on a dynamic network, where agents may choose their actions as well as their co-players. This leads to co-evolution of network structure and strategy patterns of the players.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-06-26 Christoly Biely , Klaus Dragosits , Stefan Thurner

Evolutionary game theory is a powerful mathematical framework to study how intelligent individuals adjust their strategies in collective interactions. It has been widely believed that it is impossible to unilaterally control players'…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-08-31 Renfei Tan , Qi Su , Bin Wu , Long Wang

We study a centralized discrete-time dynamic two-way matching model with finitely many agent types. Agents arrive stochastically over time and join their type-dedicated queues waiting to be matched. We focus on availability-based policies…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2026-02-19 Süleyman Kerimov , Pengyu Qian , Mingwei Yang , Sophie H. Yu

Networks of excitable nodes have recently attracted much attention particularly in regards to neuronal dynamics, where criticality has been argued to be a fundamental property. Refractory behavior, which limits the excitability of neurons…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2018-10-22 S. Amin Moosavi , Afshin Montakhab , Alireza Valizadeh

We study the evolution of a random weighted network with complex nonlinear dynamics at each node, whose activity may cease as a result of interactions with other nodes. Starting from a knowledge of the micro-level behaviour at each node, we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Sitabhra Sinha , Sudeshna Sinha

The last financial and economic crisis demonstrated the dysfunctional long-term effects of aggressive behaviour in financial markets. Yet, evolutionary game theory predicts that under the condition of strategic dependence a certain degree…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-13 Matthias Hanauske , Jennifer Kunz , Steffen Bernius , Wolfgang König

Decentralized finance introduces new business models and use cases as part of digital finance. Restaking has recently emerged as a transformative mechanism in DeFi, promising extra yields but introducing complex and interconnected risks.…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-17 Hasret Ozan Sevim , Christof Ferreira Torres

Financial markets are exposed to systemic risk (SR), the risk that a major fraction of the system ceases to function, and collapses. It has recently become possible to quantify SR in terms of underlying financial networks where nodes…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-03 Sebastian Poledna , Stefan Thurner

We study learning dynamics induced by strategic agents who repeatedly play a game with an unknown payoff-relevant parameter. In each step, an information system estimates a belief distribution of the parameter based on the players'…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-10-20 Manxi Wu , Saurabh Amin , Asuman Ozdaglar

This paper will examine a model with many agents, each of whom has a different belief about the dynamics of a risky asset. The agents are Bayesian and so learn about the asset over time. All agents are assumed to have a finite (but random)…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-07-29 A. A. Brown , L. C. G. Rogers

Modern machine learning models excel at pattern recognition but remain brittle, often failing to generalize out of distribution (OOD) because they capture spurious correlations rather than the underlying causal data-generating process.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Govind Vallabhasseri Binish , Abdhul Ahadh , Rano Roy Kavanal , Arya Ukunde

We define a general model of stochastically-evolving graphs, namely the \emph{Edge-Uniform Stochastically-Evolving Graphs}. In this model, each possible edge of an underlying general static graph evolves independently being either alive or…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2018-07-19 Ioannis Lamprou , Russell Martin , Paul Spirakis

We study the distribution of traffic in networks whose users try to minimise their delays by adhering to a simple learning scheme inspired by the replicator dynamics of evolutionary game theory. The stable steady states of these dynamics…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-02-27 Panayotis Mertikopoulos , Aris L. Moustakas

Originating in evolutionary game theory, the class of "zero-determinant" strategies enables a player to unilaterally enforce linear payoff relationships in simple repeated games. An upshot of this kind of payoff constraint is that it can…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-11-26 Nikos Dimou , Alex McAvoy

The finitely repeated Prisoners' Dilemma is a good illustration of the discrepancy between the strategic behaviour suggested by a game-theoretic analysis and the behaviour often observed among human players, where cooperation is maintained…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-01-10 Kristian Lindgren , Vilhelm Verendel