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Learning-based approaches to verifying unknown Markov decision processes (MDPs) often employ uncertain MDPs. These models use, for example, confidence intervals to capture transition uncertainty and allow synthesis of policies that are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Yannik Schnitzer , Alessandro Abate , David Parker

Deep learning methods for unsupervised registration often rely on objectives that assume a uniform noise level across the spatial domain (e.g. mean-squared error loss), but noise distributions are often heteroscedastic and input-dependent…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-19 Xiaoran Zhang , Daniel H. Pak , Shawn S. Ahn , Xiaoxiao Li , Chenyu You , Lawrence H. Staib , Albert J. Sinusas , Alex Wong , James S. Duncan

This paper investigates novel classifier ensemble techniques for uncertainty calibration applied to various deep neural networks for image classification. We evaluate both accuracy and calibration metrics, focusing on Expected Calibration…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-01-20 Michael Schulze , Nikolas Ebert , Laurenz Reichardt , Oliver Wasenmüller

Uncertainty estimation and ensembling methods go hand-in-hand. Uncertainty estimation is one of the main benchmarks for assessment of ensembling performance. At the same time, deep learning ensembles have provided state-of-the-art results…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-20 Arsenii Ashukha , Alexander Lyzhov , Dmitry Molchanov , Dmitry Vetrov

Time-domain astronomy is progressing rapidly with the ongoing and upcoming large-scale photometric sky surveys led by the Vera C. Rubin Observatory project (LSST). Billions of variable sources call for better automatic classification…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2023-09-26 Zihan Kang , Yanxia Zhang , Jingyi Zhang , Changhua Li , Minzhi Kong , Yongheng Zhao , Xue-Bing Wu

Reliable quantification of uncertainty in Mobile Laser Scanning (MLS) point clouds is essential for ensuring the accuracy and credibility of downstream applications such as 3D mapping, modeling, and change analysis. Traditional backward…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-10-30 Ziyang Xu , Olaf Wysocki , Christoph Holst

Mistakes/uncertainties in object detection could lead to catastrophes when deploying robots in the real world. In this paper, we measure the uncertainties of object localization to minimize this kind of risk. Uncertainties emerge upon…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-07-03 Yihui He , Jianren Wang

Although many successful ensemble clustering approaches have been developed in recent years, there are still two limitations to most of the existing approaches. First, they mostly overlook the issue of uncertain links, which may mislead the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-06 Dong Huang , Jian-Huang Lai , Chang-Dong Wang

Stochastic gradient methods enable learning probabilistic models from large amounts of data. While large step-sizes (learning rates) have shown to be best for least-squares (e.g., Gaussian noise) once combined with parameter averaging,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-22 Dmitry Babichev , Francis Bach

Time-varying linear state-space models are powerful tools for obtaining mathematically interpretable representations of neural signals. For example, switching and decomposed models describe complex systems using latent variables that evolve…

In the era of big data, machine learning (ML) has become a powerful tool in various fields, notably impacting structural dynamics. ML algorithms offer advantages by modeling physical phenomena based on data, even in the absence of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Wang-Ji Yan , Lin-Feng Mei , Jiang Mo , Costas Papadimitriou , Ka-Veng Yuen , Michael Beer

Recommending items to users has long been a fundamental task, and studies have tried to improve it ever since. Most well-known models commonly employ representation learning to map users and items into a unified embedding space for matching…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-04-16 Radin Cheraghi , Amir Mohammad Mahfoozi , Sepehr Zolfaghari , Mohammadshayan Shabani , Maryam Ramezani , Hamid R. Rabiee

This paper presents a machine learning framework for Bayesian systems identification from noisy, sparse and irregular observations of nonlinear dynamical systems. The proposed method takes advantage of recent developments in differentiable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-21 Yibo Yang , Mohamed Aziz Bhouri , Paris Perdikaris

Ensuring the safety of human workers in a collaborative environment with robots is of utmost importance. Although accurate pose prediction models can help prevent collisions between human workers and robots, they are still susceptible to…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-07-10 Kareem A. Eltouny , Wansong Liu , Sibo Tian , Minghui Zheng , Xiao Liang

Equipping predicted segmentation with calibrated uncertainty is essential for safety-critical applications. In this work, we focus on capturing the data-inherent uncertainty (aka aleatoric uncertainty) in segmentation, typically when…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-02-28 Zhitong Gao , Yucong Chen , Chuyu Zhang , Xuming He

It is highly desirable to know how uncertain a model's predictions are, especially for models that are complex and hard to understand as in deep learning. Although there has been a growing interest in using deep learning methods in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-28 Davood Karimi , Simon K. Warfield , Ali Gholipour

When the cost of misclassifying a sample is high, it is useful to have an accurate estimate of uncertainty in the prediction for that sample. There are also multiple types of uncertainty which are best estimated in different ways, for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-18 Richard Harang , Ethan M. Rudd

It is known that neural networks have the problem of being over-confident when directly using the output label distribution to generate uncertainty measures. Existing methods mainly resolve this issue by retraining the entire model to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-15 Maohao Shen , Yuheng Bu , Prasanna Sattigeri , Soumya Ghosh , Subhro Das , Gregory Wornell

Ensembles of neural networks (NNs) have long been used to estimate predictive uncertainty; a small number of NNs are trained from different initialisations and sometimes on differing versions of the dataset. The variance of the ensemble's…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-30 Tim Pearce , Mohamed Zaki , Andy Neely

Research in neural networks in the field of computer vision has achieved remarkable accuracy for point estimation. However, the uncertainty in the estimation is rarely addressed. Uncertainty quantification accompanied by point estimation…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-04-23 Min-hwan Oh , Peder A. Olsen , Karthikeyan Natesan Ramamurthy