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The article considers parameter estimation constructing such as quasi-maximum likelyhood estimation and one step estimation in statistical models generated by solution of stochastic differential equation. It has been developed a software…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-12 Dmytro Ivanenko , Rostyslav Pogorielov

Many real-world systems modeled using differential equations involve unknown or uncertain parameters. Standard approaches to address parameter estimation inverse problems in this setting typically focus on estimating constants; yet some…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-03-25 Anna Fitzpatrick , Molly Folino , Andrea Arnold

We consider a delay differential equation (DDE) model for El-Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) variability. The model combines two key mechanisms that participate in ENSO dynamics: delayed negative feedback and seasonal forcing. We perform…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-01-29 Michael Ghil , Ilya Zaliapin , Sylvester Thompson

Discontinuities and delayed terms are encountered in the governing equations of a large class of problems ranging from physics and engineering to medicine and economics. These systems cannot be properly modelled and simulated with standard…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-09-27 Thibault Monsel , Onofrio Semeraro , Lionel Mathelin , Guillaume Charpiat

Long-term memory is a feature observed in systems ranging from neural networks to epidemiological models. The memory in such systems is usually modeled by the time delay. Furthermore, the nonlocal operators, such as the "fractional order…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-05-12 Divya D. Joshi , Sachin Bhalekar , Prashant M. Gade

Dynamical systems describe the changes in processes that arise naturally from their underlying physical principles, such as the laws of motion or the conservation of mass, energy or momentum. These models facilitate a causal explanation for…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-11 Michelle Carey , James O. Ramsay

This research investigates flight delay trends by examining factors such as departure time, airline, and airport. It employs regression machine learning methods to predict the contributions of various sources to delays. Time-series models,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-07 Aravinda Jatavallabha , Jacob Gerlach , Aadithya Naresh

Mathematical models of interacting populations are often constructed as systems of differential equations, which describe how populations change with time. Below we study one such model connected to the nonlinear dynamics of a system of…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2018-12-26 Ivan N. Dushkov , Ivan Jordanov , Nikolay K. Vitanov

Delay-coordinate reconstruction is a proven modeling strategy for building effective forecasts of nonlinear time series. The first step in this process is the estimation of good values for two parameters, the time delay and the embedding…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-03-09 Joshua Garland , Ryan G. James , Elizabeth Bradley

We derive sufficient conditions for the solvability of the state estimation problem for a class of nonlinear control time-varying systems which includes those, whose dynamics have triangular structure. The state estimation is exhibited by…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-06-07 John Tsinias , Constantinos Kitsos

We present a method of parameter estimation for large class of nonlinear systems, namely those in which the state consists of output derivatives and the flow is linear in the parameter. The method, which solves for the unknown parameter by…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-16 Simon Kuang , Xinfan Lin

Unpredictable sensor-to-estimator delays fundamentally distort what matters for wireless remote state estimation: not just freshness, but how delay interacts with sensor informativeness and energy efficiency. In this paper, we present a…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-01-30 Nho-Duc Tran , Aamir Mahmood , Mikael Gidlund

The difference diffusion model with two equilibrium states is given by a stochastic equation with two components: the predicted one, which is determined by the regression function of increments with two equilibriums, and the stochastic one,…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-11 D. Koroliouk , V. S. Koroliuk

Over the past few decades, extensive research has been devoted to the design of artificial reverberation algorithms aimed at emulating the room acoustics of physical environments. Despite significant advancements, automatic parameter tuning…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-10 Alessandro Ilic Mezza , Riccardo Giampiccolo , Enzo De Sena , Alberto Bernardini

Proposed to study the dynamics of physiological systems in which the evolution depends on the state in a previous time, the Mackey-Glass model exhibits a rich variety of behaviors including periodic or chaotic solutions in vast regions of…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2021-12-22 Juan P. Tarigo , Cecilia Stari , Cecilia Cabeza , Arturo C. Marti

Wireless channel propagation parameter estimation forms the foundation of channel sounding, estimation, modeling, and sensing. This paper introduces a Deep Learning approach for joint delay- and Doppler estimation from frequency and time…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-22 Steffen Schieler , Sebastian Semper , Reiner Thomä

Analysis and synthesis of safety-critical autonomous systems are carried out using models which are often dynamic. Two central features of these dynamic systems are parameters and unmodeled dynamics. This paper addresses the use of a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-03-17 Arnab Sarker , Peter Fisher , Joseph E. Gaudio , Anuradha M. Annaswamy

Estimating and quantifying uncertainty in unknown system parameters from limited data remains a challenging inverse problem in a variety of real-world applications. While many approaches focus on estimating constant parameters, a subset of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-09 Andrea Arnold

Online parameter identification is of importance, e.g., for model predictive control. Since the parameters have to be identified simultaneously to the process of the modeled system, dynamical update laws are used for state and parameter…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-04-20 Romana Boiger , Barbara Kaltenbacher

We consider the problem of parameter estimation for the partially observed linear stochastic differential equation. We assume that the unobserved Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process depends on some unknown parameter and estimate the unobserved…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-25 Yury A. Kutoyants
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