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A credit rating of AAA asserts near-certainty of repayment. This paper asks whether the pre-crisis information environment could have supported that assertion for structured products. Bayes' theorem implies that any reliability target…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-24 Marco Pollanen

Two-factor authentication (2FA) offers several security benefits that security-conscious users might expect from high-value services such as online banks. In this work, we present our preliminary study to develop a scoring scheme to…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2022-02-15 Srivathsan G. Morkonda , AbdelRahman Abdou

Credit Scores are ubiquitous and instrumental for loan providers and regulators. In this paper we showcase how micro-loan credit system can be developed in real setting. We show what challenges arise and discuss solutions. Particularly, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-13 Nikolay Dubina , Dasom Kang , Alex Suh

Classification of datasets into two or more distinct classes is an important machine learning task. Many methods are able to classify binary classification tasks with a very high accuracy on test data, but cannot provide any easily…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-26 Yashesh Dhebar , Sparsh Gupta , Kalyanmoy Deb

Decentralized Finance (DeFi) is increasingly studied and adopted for its potential to provide accessible and transparent financial services. Analyzing how investors use DeFi is important for reaching a better understanding of their usage…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-08-23 Natkamon Tovanich , Célestin Coquidé , Rémy Cazabet

Credit networks represent a way of modeling trust between entities in a network. Nodes in the network print their own currency and trust each other for a certain amount of each other's currency. This allows the network to serve as a…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2012-02-21 Pranav Dandekar , Ashish Goel , Ramesh Govindan , Ian Post

Advancements in computer science and AI lead to the development of larger, more complex knowledge bases. These are susceptible to contradictions, particularly when multiple experts are involved. To ensure integrity during changes,…

Databases · Computer Science 2023-04-21 Stefan Decker

Various methods to detect differential item functioning (DIF) in item response models are available. However, most of the methods assume that the responses are binary, for ordered response categories available methods are scarce. In the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-09-29 Stella Bollmann , Moritz Berger , Gerhard Tutz

In this research, we introduce a robust metric to identify Systemically Important Financial Institution (SIFI) in a financial network by taking into account both common idiosyncratic shocks and contagion through counterparty exposures. We…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-23 Amirhossein Sadoghi

Decentralized finance (DeFi) is revolutionizing the traditional centralized finance paradigm with its attractive features such as high availability, transparency, and tamper-proofing. However, attacks targeting DeFi services have severely…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2024-04-17 Yepeng Ding , Arthur Gervais , Roger Wattenhofer , Hiroyuki Sato

When large AI models are deployed as cloud-based services, clients have no guarantee that responses are correct or were produced by the intended model. Rerunning inference locally is infeasible for large models, and existing cryptographic…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2026-03-20 Pranay Anchuri , Matteo Campanelli , Paul Cesaretti , Rosario Gennaro , Tushar M. Jois , Hasan S. Kayman , Tugce Ozdemir

We derive five tractable credit risk metrics for DeFi lending vault depositors, grounded in a formal three level decomposition of vault risk into mechanical loss channels (Level 1), governance quality (Level 2) and smart contract code…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-22 Anastasiia Zbandut , Carolina Goldstein

Vulnerable individuals have a limited ability to make reasonable financial decisions and choices and, thus, the level of care that is appropriate to be provided to them by financial institutions may be different from that required for other…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-06-14 Tasos Spiliotopoulos , Dave Horsfall , Magdalene Ng , Kovila Coopamootoo , Aad van Moorsel , Karen Elliott

Credit scores are critical for allocating consumer debt in the United States, yet little evidence is available on their performance. We benchmark a widely used credit score against a machine learning model of consumer default and find…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-04 Stefania Albanesi , Domonkos F. Vamossy

This paper proposes the use of causal modeling to detect and mitigate algorithmic bias that is nonlinear in the protected attribute. We provide a general overview of our approach. We use the German Credit data set, which is available for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-08 Wendy Hui , Wai Kwong Lau

As they play an increasingly important role in determining access to credit, credit scoring models are under growing scrutiny from banking supervisors and internal model validators. These authorities need to monitor the model performance…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-22 Hué Sullivan , Hurlin Christophe , Pérignon Christophe , Saurin Sébastien

Scoring systems, as a type of predictive model, have significant advantages in interpretability and transparency and facilitate quick decision-making. As such, scoring systems have been extensively used in a wide variety of industries such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-23 Yi Yang , Ying Wu , Mei Li , Xiangyu Chang , Yong Tan

This paper proposes a two-stage scoring approach to help lenders decide their fund allocations in the peer-to-peer (P2P) lending market. The existing scoring approaches focus on only either probability of default (PD) prediction, known as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-10 Kaveh Bastani , Elham Asgari , Hamed Namavari

Assessment of risk levels for existing credit accounts is important to the implementation of bank policies and offering financial products. This paper uses cluster analysis of behaviour of credit card accounts to help assess credit risk…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-13 Maha Bakoben , Tony Bellotti , Niall Adams

In this paper, we performs a credit risk analysis, on the data of past loan applicants of a company named Lending Club. The calculation required the use of exploratory data analysis and machine learning classification algorithms, namely,…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-10-12 Aadi Gupta , Priya Gulati , Siddhartha P. Chakrabarty
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