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In this work we introduce new approximate similarity relations that are shown to be key for policy (or control) synthesis over general Markov decision processes. The models of interest are discrete-time Markov decision processes, endowed…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-06-01 S. Haesaert , S. Esmaeil Zadeh Soudjani , A. Abate

By making use of martingale representations, we derive the asymptotic normality of particle filters in hidden Markov models and a relatively simple formula for their asymptotic variances. Although repeated resamplings result in complicated…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-19 Hock Peng Chan , Tze Leung Lai

This work proposes a multi-agent filtering algorithm over graphs for finite-state hidden Markov models (HMMs), which can be used for sequential state estimation or for tracking opinion formation over dynamic social networks. We show that…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-03-10 Mert Kayaalp , Virginia Bordignon , Stefan Vlaski , Ali H. Sayed

We consider the problem of estimating parameter sensitivities for stochastic models of multiscale reaction networks. These sensitivity values are important for model analysis, and, the methods that currently exist for sensitivity estimation…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-02 Ankit Gupta , Mustafa Khammash

Markov matrices have an important role in the filed of stochastic processes. In this paper, we will show and prove a series of conclusions on Markov matrices and transformations rather than pay attention to stochastic processes although…

Rings and Algebras · Mathematics 2023-01-02 Chengshen Xu

Gaussian processes are valuable tools for non-parametric modelling, where typically an assumption of stationarity is employed. While removing this assumption can improve prediction, fitting such models is challenging. In this work,…

Computation · Statistics 2019-05-02 Karla Monterrubio-Gómez , Lassi Roininen , Sara Wade , Theo Damoulas , Mark Girolami

Observations which are realizations from some continuous process are frequent in sciences, engineering, economics, and other fields. We consider linear models, with possible random effects, where the responses are random functions in a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-30 Giacomo Aletti , Caterina May , Chiara Tommasi

A hidden Markov process is a well known concept in information theory and is used for a vast range of applications such as speech recognition and error correction. We bridge between two disciplines, experimental physics and advanced…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2015-06-24 Ido Kanter , Aviad Frydman , Asaf Ater

SHAP is a popular method for measuring variable importance in machine learning models. In this paper, we study the algorithm used to estimate SHAP scores and outline its connection to the functional ANOVA decomposition. We use this…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-14 Andrew Herren , P. Richard Hahn

Scaled type Markov renewal processes generalize classical renewal processes: renewal times come from a one parameter family of probability laws and the sequence of the parameters is the trajectory of an ergodic Markov chain. Our primary…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Zsolt Pajor-Gyulai , Domokos Szász

We introduce a new tool for the quantitative characterisation of the departure form Markovianity of a given dynamical process. Our tool can be applied to a generic $N$-level system and extended straightforwardly to Gaussian…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-06-15 S. Lorenzo , F. Plastina , M. Paternostro

We provide a parameterization of the discrete nested Markov model, which is a supermodel that approximates DAG models (Bayesian network models) with latent variables. Such models are widely used in causal inference and machine learning. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-20 Robin J. Evans , Thomas S. Richardson

Discrete Markov random fields form a natural class of models to represent images and spatial data sets. The use of such models is, however, hampered by a computationally intractable normalising constant. This makes parameter estimation and…

Computation · Statistics 2015-05-25 Haakon Michael Austad , Håkon Tjelmeland

Probabilistic hyperproperties specify quantitative relations between the probabilities of reaching different target sets of states from different initial sets of states. This class of behavioral properties is suitable for capturing…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2023-07-11 Roman Andriushchenko , Ezio Bartocci , Milan Ceska , Francesco Pontiggia , Sarah Sallinger

While subspace identification methods (SIMs) are appealing due to their simple parameterization for MIMO systems and robust numerical realizations, a comprehensive statistical analysis of SIMs remains an open problem, especially in the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-04-29 Jiabao He , Ingvar Ziemann , Cristian R. Rojas , Håkan Hjalmarsson

The focus of this article is on entropy and Markov processes. We study the properties of functionals which are invariant with respect to monotonic transformations and analyze two invariant "additivity" properties: (i) existence of a…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-11-12 A. N. Gorban , P. A. Gorban , G. Judge

Conventional joint modeling approaches generally characterize the relationship between longitudinal biomarkers and discrete event occurrences within terminal, recurring or competing risk settings, thereby offering a limited representation…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-26 Félix Laplante , Christophe Ambroise

Key challenges in the analysis of highly multivariate large-scale spatial stochastic processes, where both the number of components (p) and spatial locations (n) can be large, include achieving maximal sparsity in the joint precision…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-27 Xiaoqing Chen , Peter Diggle , James V. Zidek , Gavin Shaddick

Panel data, also known as longitudinal data, consist of a collection of time series. Each time series, which could itself be multivariate, comprises a sequence of measurements taken on a distinct unit. Mechanistic modeling involves writing…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-27 Carles Bretó , Edward L. Ionides , Aaron A. King

Molecular simulations as well as single molecule experiments have been widely analyzed in terms order parameters, the latter representing candidate probes for the relevant degrees of freedom. Notwithstanding this approach is very intuitive,…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2015-06-11 Ganna Berezovska , Diego Prada-Gracia , Stefano Mostarda , Francesco Rao
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