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We present StockSim, an open-source simulation platform for systematic evaluation of large language models (LLMs) in realistic financial decision-making scenarios. Unlike previous toolkits that offer limited scope, StockSim delivers a…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-07-15 Charidimos Papadakis , Giorgos Filandrianos , Angeliki Dimitriou , Maria Lymperaiou , Konstantinos Thomas , Giorgos Stamou

This paper initiates a study into the century-old issue of market predictability from the perspective of computational complexity. We develop a simple agent-based model for a stock market where the agents are traders equipped with simple…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2007-05-23 James Aspnes , David F. Fischer , Michael J. Fischer , Ming-Yang Kao , Alok Kumar

Modern decision-making in fixed income asset management benefits from intelligent systems, which involve the use of state-of-the-art machine learning models and appropriate methodologies. We conduct the first study of bond yield forecasting…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-06 Manuel Nunes , Enrico Gerding , Frank McGroarty , Mahesan Niranjan

Deep learning offers new tools for portfolio optimization. We present an end-to-end framework that directly learns portfolio weights by combining Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks to model temporal patterns, Graph Attention Networks…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-27 Yun Lin , Jiawei Lou , Jinghe Zhang

Predicting trends in stock market prices has been an area of interest for researchers for many years due to its complex and dynamic nature. Intrinsic volatility in stock market across the globe makes the task of prediction challenging.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-05-03 Luckyson Khaidem , Snehanshu Saha , Sudeepa Roy Dey

Predicting future direction of stock markets using the historical data has been a fundamental component in financial forecasting. This historical data contains the information of a stock in each specific time span, such as the opening,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-01-25 Christopher Wimmer , Navid Rekabsaz

Stock price prediction is a complicated and interesting task. Noisy trends make stock pricing sensitive and complicated while the economical motivation behind, keeps it interesting for researchers and investors. In this paper we are to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-12-19 Negin Bagherpour

The global gold market, by its fundamentals, has long been home to many financial institutions, banks, governments, funds, and micro-investors. Due to the inherent complexity and relationship between important economic and political…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Hesam Taghipour , Alireza Rezaee , Farshid Hajati

Stock exchanges are considered major players in financial sectors of many countries. Most Stockbrokers, who execute stock trade, use technical, fundamental or time series analysis in trying to predict stock prices, so as to advise clients.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-02-24 B. W. Wanjawa , L. Muchemi

Creating accurate predictions in the stock market has always been a significant challenge in finance. With the rise of machine learning as the next level in the forecasting area, this research paper compares four machine learning models and…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-06 Albert Wong , Steven Whang , Emilio Sagre , Niha Sachin , Gustavo Dutra , Yew-Wei Lim , Gaetan Hains , Youry Khmelevsky , Frank Zhang

Deep learning is a popular machine learning approach which has achieved a lot of progress in all traditional machine learning areas. Internet of thing (IoT) and Smart City deployments are generating large amounts of time-series sensor data…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2021-04-15 Xiaofeng Xie , Di Wu , Siping Liu , Renfa Li

Predictive business process monitoring (PBPM) aims to predict future process behavior during ongoing process executions based on event log data. Especially, techniques for the next activity and timestamp prediction can help to improve the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-06 An Nguyen , Srijeet Chatterjee , Sven Weinzierl , Leo Schwinn , Martin Matzner , Bjoern Eskofier

For the development of successful share trading strategies, forecasting the course of action of the stock market index is important. Effective prediction of closing stock prices could guarantee investors attractive benefits. Machine…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-16 Nazish Ashfaq , Zubair Nawaz , Muhammad Ilyas

Reliable traffic flow prediction is crucial to creating intelligent transportation systems. Many big-data-based prediction approaches have been developed but they do not reflect complicated dynamic interactions between roads considering…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Won Kyung Lee , Deuk Sin Kwon , So Young Sohn

To answer this question, we fine-tune transformer-based language models, including BERT, on different sources of company-related text data for a classification task to predict the one-year stock price performance. We use three different…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-02-07 Stefan Pasch , Daniel Ehnes

Financial market forecasting remains a formidable challenge despite the surge in computational capabilities and machine learning advancements. While numerous studies have underscored the precision of computer-generated market predictions,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-16 Reza Yarbakhsh , Mahdieh Soleymani Baghshah , Hamidreza Karimaghaie

For a long-time, researchers have been developing a reliable and accurate predictive model for stock price prediction. According to the literature, if predictive models are correctly designed and refined, they can painstakingly and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-24 Ananda Chatterjee , Hrisav Bhowmick , Jaydip Sen

Price movements of stock market are not totally random. In fact, what drives the financial market and what pattern financial time series follows have long been the interest that attracts economists, mathematicians and most recently computer…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-11-20 G. Kavitha , A. Udhayakumar , D. Nagarajan

We propose and experimentally demonstrate an innovative stock index prediction method using a weighted optical reservoir computing system. We construct fundamental market data combined with macroeconomic data and technical indicators to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-02 Fang Wang , Ting Bu , Yuping Huang

In recent years, Bitcoin price prediction has attracted the interest of researchers and investors. However, the accuracy of previous studies is not well enough. Machine learning and deep learning methods have been proved to have strong…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-06-25 Liping Yang