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Univariate and multivariate normal probability distributions are widely used when modeling decisions under uncertainty. Computing the performance of such models requires integrating these distributions over specific domains, which can vary…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-31 Abhranil Das , Wilson S Geisler

Generalized linear models are a popular tool in applied statistics, with their maximum likelihood estimators enjoying asymptotic Gaussianity and efficiency. As all models are wrong, it is desirable to understand these estimators' behaviours…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-10 Elliot H. Young , Rajen D. Shah

We are concerned with obtaining well-calibrated output distributions from regression models. Such distributions allow us to quantify the uncertainty that the model has regarding the predicted target value. We introduce the novel concept of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-16 Hao Song , Tom Diethe , Meelis Kull , Peter Flach

Quantile regression, that is the prediction of conditional quantiles, has steadily gained importance in statistical modeling and financial applications. The authors introduce a new semiparametric quantile regression method based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-17 Daniel Kraus , Claudia Czado

We consider settings where data are available on a nonparametric function and various partial derivatives. Such circumstances arise in practice, for example in the joint estimation of cost and input functions in economics. We show that when…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Peter Hall , Adonis Yatchew

Many applications of LLM-based text regression require predicting a full conditional distribution rather than a single point value. We study distributional regression under empirical-quantile supervision, where each input is paired with…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-04-23 Yilun Zhu , Yuan Zhuang , Nikhita Vedula , Dushyanta Dhyani , Shaoyuan Xu , Moyan Li , Mohsen Bayati , Bryan Wang , Shervin Malmasi

We investigate optimal subsampling for quantile regression. We derive the asymptotic distribution of a general subsampling estimator and then derive two versions of optimal subsampling probabilities. One version minimizes the trace of the…

Computation · Statistics 2020-01-29 HaiYing Wang , Yanyuan Ma

Probability distributions defined on the unit interval are widely used in fields ranging from econometrics to reliability studies. Traditional models such as the beta and Kumaraswamy distributions are well-established due to their…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-04 Roberto Vila , Helton Saulo , Poliana Matos , Subhankar Dutta

Doubly robust estimators have gained popularity in the field of causal inference due to their ability to provide consistent point estimates when either an outcome or exposure model is correctly specified. However, for nonrandomized…

Quantile regression is used to study effects of covariates on a particular quantile of the data distribution. Here we are interested in the question whether a covariate has any effect on the entire data distribution, i.e., on any of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-23 Tomáš Mrkvička , Konstantinos Konstantinou , Mikko Kuronen , Mari Myllymäki

We propose a M-quantile regression model for the analysis of multivariate, continuous, longitudinal data. M-quantile regression represents an appealing alternative to standard regression models, as it combines the robustness of quantile and…

Flexible estimation of multiple conditional quantiles is of interest in numerous applications, such as studying the effect of pregnancy-related factors on low and high birth weight. We propose a Bayesian non-parametric method to…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-22 Steven G. Xu , Brian J. Reich

We propose a minimum distance estimation approach for quantile panel data models where unit effects may be correlated with covariates. This computationally efficient method involves two stages: first, computing quantile regression within…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-26 Blaise Melly , Martina Pons

The beta model is the most important distribution for fitting data with the unit interval. However, the beta distribution is not suitable to model bimodal unit interval data. In this paper, we propose a bimodal beta distribution constructed…

For highly skewed or fat-tailed distributions, mean or median-based methods often fail to capture the central tendencies in the data. Despite being a viable alternative, estimating the conditional mode given certain covariates (or mode…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-12-10 Eduardo Schirmer Finn , Eduardo Horta

We study linear quantile regression models when regressors and/or dependent variable are not directly observed but estimated in an initial first step and used in the second step quantile regression for estimating the quantile parameters.…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-12-29 Jayeeta Bhattacharya

Suppose that univariate data are drawn from a mixture of two distributions that are equal up to a shift parameter. Such a model is known to be nonidentifiable from a nonparametric viewpoint. However, if we assume that the unknown mixed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Laurent Bordes , Stéphane Mottelet , Pierre Vandekerkhove

Quantile regression \parencite{Koenker1978} is a robust and practically useful way to efficiently model quantile varying correlation and predict varied response quantiles of interest. This article constructs and tests MM algorithms, which…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-18 Yifan Cheng , Anthony Yung Cheung Kuk

This paper investigates how to measure common market risk factors using newly proposed Panel Quantile Regression Model for Returns. By exploring the fact that volatility crosses all quantiles of the return distribution and using penalized…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-30 Frantisek Cech , Jozef Barunik

The modeling of personal accident insurance data has been a topic of extreme relevance in the insurance literature. This kind of data often exhibits positive skewness and heavy tails. In this work, we propose a new quantile regression model…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-22 Alan Dasilva , Helton Saulo , Roberto Vila , Suvra Pal