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Estimations of physical parameters using data usually involve non-uniform experimental efficiencies. In this article, a method of maximum likelihood fit is introduced using the efficiency as a weight, while the probability distribution…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-08-31 Chenxu Yu , Yanxi Zhang

A crucial step in fitting a regression model to data is determining the model's structure, i.e., the subset of explanatory variables to be included. However, the uncertainty in this step is often overlooked due to a lack of satisfactory…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-13 Ryan Martin , Naomi Singer , Jonathan Williams

This paper presents a new data-driven finite element framework that is applicable to a broad range of engineering simulation problems. In the data-driven approach, the conservation laws and boundary conditions are satisfied by means of the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-09-09 Adriana Kuliková , Andrei G. Shvarts , Łukasz Kaczmarczyk , Chris J. Pearce

A challenging problem when studying a dynamical system is to find the interdependencies among its individual components. Several algorithms have been proposed to detect directed dynamical influences between time series. Two of the most used…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-09-09 Alessandro Montalto , Sebastiano Stramaglia , Luca Faes , Giovanni Tessitore , Roberto Prevete , Daniele Marinazzo

We develop a fully data-driven model of anisotropic finite viscoelasticity using neural ordinary differential equations as building blocks. We replace the Helmholtz free energy function and the dissipation potential with data-driven…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2023-05-10 Vahidullah Tac , Manuel K. Rausch , Francisco Sahli-Costabal , Adrian B. Tepole

The Model-free Prediction Principle has been successfully applied to general regression problems, as well as problems involving stationary and locally stationary time series. In this paper we demonstrate how Model-Free Prediction can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-07 Srinjoy Das , Yiwen Zhang , Dimitris N. Politis

Latent space models are powerful statistical tools for modeling and understanding network data. While the importance of accounting for uncertainty in network analysis has been well recognized, the current literature predominantly focuses on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-15 Jinming Li , Shihao Wu , Chengyu Cui , Gongjun Xu , Ji Zhu

Inverse design is a central goal in much of science and engineering, including frequency-selective surfaces (FSS) that are critical to microelectronics for telecommunications and optical metamaterials. Traditional surrogate-assisted…

In this paper, we establish an iterative data-driven approach to derive guaranteed bounds on nonlinearity measures of unknown nonlinear systems. In this context, nonlinearity measures quantify the strength of the nonlinearity of a dynamical…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-08-13 Tim Martin , Frank Allgöwer

Biological soft tissues exhibit substantial inter-subject variability, making the automation of constitutive material modeling essential for patient-specific analysis and design. Such materials are not only highly nonlinear but also display…

Computational Physics · Physics 2026-04-16 Bahador Bahmani

When sample data are governed by an unknown sequence of independent but possibly non-identical distributions, the data-generating process (DGP) in general cannot be perfectly identified from the data. For making decisions facing such…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-05-11 Xiaoyu Cheng

To date, most probabilistic reasoning systems have relied on a fixed belief network constructed at design time. The network is used by an application program as a representation of (in)dependencies in the domain. Probabilistic inference…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-25 Robert P. Goldman , John S. Breese

The inferential model (IM) framework produces data-dependent, non-additive degrees of belief about the unknown parameter that are provably valid. The validity property guarantees, among other things, that inference procedures derived from…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-05 Chuanhai Liu , Ryan Martin

Mathematical models are fundamental building blocks in the design of dynamical control systems. As control systems are becoming increasingly complex and networked, approaches for obtaining such models based on first principles reach their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-19 Dominik Baumann , Friedrich Solowjow , Karl H. Johansson , Sebastian Trimpe

Whereas the ability of deep networks to produce useful predictions has been amply demonstrated, estimating the reliability of these predictions remains challenging. Sampling approaches such as MC-Dropout and Deep Ensembles have emerged as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-28 Nikita Durasov , Nik Dorndorf , Hieu Le , Pascal Fua

Physics-based simulations typically operate with a combination of complex differentiable equations and many scientific and geometric inputs. Our work involves gathering data from those simulations and seeing how well tree-based machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-29 David Noever , Samuel Hyams

This paper presents a probabilistic approach to represent and quantify model-form uncertainties in the reduced-order modeling of complex systems using operator inference techniques. Such uncertainties can arise in the selection of an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-08 Jin Yi Yong , Rudy Geelen , Johann Guilleminot

Computational multiscale methods for analyzing and deriving constitutive responses have been used as a tool in engineering problems because of their ability to combine information at different length scales. However, their application in a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-08-03 Jan Niklas Fuhg , Christoph Boehm , Nikolaos Bouklas , Amelie Fau , Peter Wriggers , Michele Marino

Machine learning has the potential to accelerate materials discovery by accurately predicting materials properties at a low computational cost. However, the model inputs remain a key stumbling block. Current methods typically use…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-01-07 Rhys E. A. Goodall , Alpha A. Lee

Gravitational-wave astronomy has entered a regime where it can extract information about the population properties of the observed binary black holes. The steep increase in the number of detections will offer deeper insights, but it will…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2026-01-15 Stefano Rinaldi , Alexandre Toubiana , Jonathan R. Gair
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