Related papers: On the representation of weakly maxitive monetary …
Observations which are realizations from some continuous process are frequent in sciences, engineering, economics, and other fields. We consider linear models, with possible random effects, where the responses are random functions in a…
In this paper we will consider the estimation of a monotone regression (or density) function in a fixed point by the least squares (Grenander) estimator. We will show that this estimator is fully adaptive, in the sense that the attained…
Optimization under uncertainty and risk is indispensable in many practical situations. Our paper addresses stability of optimization problems using composite risk functionals which are subjected to measure perturbations. Our main focus is…
Let $S=\sum_{i=1}^{+\infty}\lambda_{i}Z_{i}$ where the $Z_{i}$'s are i.d.d. positive with $\mathbb{E}\| Z\| ^{3}<+\infty$ and $(\lambda_{i})_{i\in\mathbb{N}}$ a positive nonincreasing sequence such that $\sum\lambda_{i}<+\infty$. We study…
We describe the multifractal nature of random weak Gibbs measures on some class of attractors associated with $C^1$ random dynamics semi-conjugate to a random subshift of finite type. This includes the validity of the multifractal…
The multifractal formalism for measures in its original formulation is checked for special classes of measures such as doubling, self-similar, and Gibbs-like ones. Out of these classes, suitable conditions should be taken into account to…
In the general framework of a semimartingale financial model and a utility function $U$ defined on the positive real line, we compute the first-order expansion of marginal utility-based prices with respect to a ``small'' number of random…
Systemic risk measures have been shown to be predictive of financial crises and declines in real activity. Thus, forecasting them is of major importance in finance and economics. In this paper, we propose a new forecasting method for…
We provide a sharp monotonicity theorem about the distribution of subharmonic functions on manifolds, which can be regarded as a new, measure theoretic form of the uncertainty principle. As an illustration of the scope of this result, we…
We consider the moderate deviations behaviors for two (co-) volatility estima-tors: generalised bipower variation, Hayashi-Yoshida estimator. The results are obtained by using a new result about the moderate deviations principle for…
We develop a space-time large-deviation point of view on Gibbs-non-Gibbs transitions in spin systems subject to a stochastic spin-flip dynamics. Using the general theory for large deviations of functionals of Markov processes outlined in…
In this paper, we study convex risk measures with weak optimal transport penalties. In a first step, we show that these risk measures allow for an explicit representation via a nonlinear transform of the loss function. In a second step, we…
We show that the variational representations for f-divergences currently used in the literature can be tightened. This has implications to a number of methods recently proposed based on this representation. As an example application we use…
We present a categorical viewpoint of probability measures by showing that a probability measure can be viewed as a weakly averaging affine measurable functional taking values in the unit interval which preserves limits. The probability…
Constructing an ontology for quantum theory is challenging, in part due to unavoidable measurement back-action. The Aharonov-Albert-Vaidman weak measurement formalism provides a method to predict measurement results (weak values) in a…
We prove that the G\"{a}rtner--Ellis generating function of probability distributions associated with KMS states of weakly interacting fermions on the lattice can be written as the limit of logarithms of Gaussian Berezin integrals. The…
This paper deals with the Fisher-consistency, weak continuity and differentiability of estimating functionals corresponding to a class of both linear and nonlinear regression high breakdown M estimates, which includes S and MM estimates. A…
In this paper we present a theorem that generalizes Sawyer's classic result about mixed weighted inequalities to the multilinear context. Let $\vec{w}=(w_1,...,w_m)$ and $\nu = w_1^\frac{1}{m}...w_m^\frac{1}{m}$, the main result of the…
This work develops a methodology for analyzing large-deviation lower tails associated with geometric functionals computed on a homogeneous Poisson point process. The technique applies to characteristics expressed in terms of stabilizing…
We study the asymptotic behaviour of widely used tests for evaluating and comparing predictive accuracy when forecast errors exhibit heavy tails. In particular, when loss differentials have infinite variance, the Diebold-Mariano test…