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Stochastic simulators are an indispensable tool in many branches of science. Often based on first principles, they deliver a series of samples whose distribution implicitly defines a probability measure to describe the phenomena of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-01-19 Chris Pollard , Philipp Windischhofer

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are established tools to model physical phenomena whose dynamics are affected by random noise. By estimating parameters of an SDE intrinsic randomness of a system around its drift can be identified…

Computation · Statistics 2012-05-03 Umberto Picchini , Susanne Ditlevsen

Stochastic differential equations provide a rich class of flexible generative models, capable of describing a wide range of spatio-temporal processes. A host of recent work looks to learn data-representing SDEs, using neural networks and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-12 Scott Cameron , Tyron Cameron , Arnu Pretorius , Stephen Roberts

Stochastic expansion-based methods of uncertainty quantification, such as polynomial chaos and separated representations, require basis functions orthogonal with respect to the density of random inputs. Many modern engineering problems…

Computation · Statistics 2018-08-06 Brandon A. Jones , Marc Balducci

This paper tackles the challenge of parameter calibration in stochastic models, particularly in scenarios where the likelihood function is unavailable in an analytical form. We introduce a gradient-based simulated parameter estimation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-25 Zehao Li , Yijie Peng

This paper addresses the nonlinear elliptic curl-curl equation with uncertainties in the material law. It is frequently employed in the numerical evaluation of magnetostatic fields, where the uncertainty is ascribed to the so-called B-H…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-10-03 Ulrich Römer , Sebastian Schöps , Thomas Weiland

We develop an assume-guarantee contract framework for the design of cyber-physical systems, modeled as closed-loop control systems, under probabilistic requirements. We use a variant of signal temporal logic, namely, Stochastic Signal…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-07-03 Jiwei Li , Pierluigi Nuzzo , Alberto Sangiovanni-Vincentelli , Yugeng Xi , Dewei Li

This paper develops a fractional stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE) to model the evolution of a random tangent vector field on the unit sphere. The SPDE is governed by a fractional diffusion operator to model the L\'{e}vy-type…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-15 Vo V. Anh , Andriy Olenko , Yu Guang Wang

This article is meant to serve as a guide to recent developments in the study of the scaling limit of critical models. These new developments were made possible through the definition of the Stochastic Loewner Evolution (SLE) by Oded…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Wouter Kager , Bernard Nienhuis

Learning meaningful causal representations from observations has emerged as a crucial task for facilitating machine learning applications and driving scientific discoveries in fields such as climate science, biology, and physics. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-06 Jiaxu Ren , Yixin Wang , Biwei Huang

Structured latent variables allow incorporating meaningful prior knowledge into deep learning models. However, learning with such variables remains challenging because of their discrete nature. Nowadays, the standard learning approach is to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-29 Kirill Struminsky , Artyom Gadetsky , Denis Rakitin , Danil Karpushkin , Dmitry Vetrov

We consider performing simulation experiments in the presence of covariates. Here, covariates refer to some input information other than system designs to the simulation model that can also affect the system performance. To make decisions,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-28 Cheng Li , Siyang Gao , Jianzhong Du

In recent years, many difficulties appeared when taking into account the inherent stochastic behavior of neurons and voltage-dependent ion channels in Hodgking-Huxley type models. In particular, an open problem for a stochastic model of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2012-09-21 Jacky Cresson , Bénédicte Puig , Stefanie Sonner

Temporal surrogate models are effective for predicting chaotic dynamical systems where computational cost can be prohibitive. Several deep neural network architectures can be used for such purposes. In this work, a few commonly used…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Rajarshi Biswas

This paper proposes a novel low-rank approximation to the multivariate State-Space Model. The Stochastic Partial Differential Equation (SPDE) approach is applied component-wise to the independent-in-time Mat\'ern Gaussian innovation term in…

Optimization and uncertainty quantification have been playing an increasingly important role in computational hemodynamics. However, existing methods based on principled modeling and classic numerical techniques have faced significant…

Medical Physics · Physics 2022-09-07 Pan Du , Xiaozhi Zhu , Jian-Xun Wang

Stochastic simulation can make the molecular processes of cellular control more vivid than the traditional differential-equation approach by generating typical system histories instead of just statistical measures such as the mean and…

Subcellular Processes · Quantitative Biology 2018-09-18 Kevin Y. Chen , Daniel M. Zuckerman , Philip C. Nelson

To model recurrent interaction events in continuous time, an extension of the stochastic block model is proposed where every individual belongs to a latent group and interactions between two individuals follow a conditional inhomogeneous…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-30 Catherine Matias , Tabea Rebafka , Fanny Villers

The transition density of a stochastic, logistic population growth model with multiplicative intrinsic noise is analytically intractable. Inferring model parameter values by fitting such stochastic differential equation (SDE) models to data…

Applications · Statistics 2015-08-17 Jonathan Heydari , Conor Lawless , David A. Lydall , Darren J. Wilkinson

Simulations of crystal growth are performed by using Convolutional Recurrent Neural Network surrogate models, trained on a dataset of time sequences computed by numerical integration of Allen-Cahn dynamics including faceting via kinetic…

Materials Science · Physics 2026-04-24 Matteo Rigoni , Daniele Lanzoni , Francesco Montalenti , Roberto Bergamaschini
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