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Simulation-based inference (SBI) is transforming experimental sciences by enabling parameter estimation in complex non-linear models from simulated data. A persistent challenge, however, is model misspecification: simulators are only…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-20 Pierre-Louis Ruhlmann , Pedro L. C. Rodrigues , Michael Arbel , Florence Forbes

Bayesian neural network models (BNN) have re-surged in recent years due to the advancement of scalable computations and its utility in solving complex prediction problems in a wide variety of applications. Despite the popularity and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-20 Shrijita Bhattacharya , Zihuan Liu , Tapabrata Maiti

Simulation-based inference (SBI) is the preferred framework for estimating parameters of intractable models in science and engineering. A significant challenge in this context is the large computational cost of simulating data from complex…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-18 Ayush Bharti , Daolang Huang , Samuel Kaski , François-Xavier Briol

Differential privacy guarantees allow the results of a statistical analysis involving sensitive data to be released without compromising the privacy of any individual taking part. Achieving such guarantees generally requires the injection…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-31 Jack Jewson , Sahra Ghalebikesabi , Chris Holmes

Statistical shape modeling (SSM) enables population-based quantitative analysis of anatomical shapes, informing clinical diagnosis. Deep learning approaches predict correspondence-based SSM directly from unsegmented 3D images but require…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-07-21 Jadie Adams , Shireen Elhabian

This study addresses the problem of discrete signal reconstruction from the perspective of sparse Bayesian learning (SBL). Generally, it is intractable to perform the Bayesian inference with the ideal discretization prior under the SBL…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-19 Jisheng Dai , An Liu , Hing Cheung So

We present a novel Bayesian approach for high-dimensional grouped regression under sparsity. We leverage a sparse projection method that uses a sparsity-inducing map to derive an induced posterior on a lower-dimensional parameter space. Our…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-25 Samhita Pal , Subhashis Ghosal

In this paper, we study a class of non-parametric density estimators under Bayesian settings. The estimators are piecewise constant functions on binary partitions. We analyze the concentration rate of the posterior distribution under a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-08-21 Linxi Liu , Wing Hung Wong

Research on Symbolic Probabilistic Inference (SPI) [2, 3] has provided an algorithm for resolving general queries in Bayesian networks. SPI applies the concept of dependency directed backward search to probabilistic inference, and is…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-26 Kuo-Chu Chang , Robert Fung

Unbinned likelihood fits aim at maximizing the information one can extract from experimental data, yet their application in realistic statistical analyses is often hindered by the computational cost of profiling systematic uncertainties.…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2026-02-16 Davide Valsecchi , Mauro Donegà , Rainer Wallny

The logistic specification has been used extensively in non-Bayesian statistics to model the dependence of discrete outcomes on the values of specified covariates. Because the likelihood function is globally weakly concave estimation by…

Computation · Statistics 2013-04-17 John Geweke , Garland Durham , Huaxin Xu

We develop a Bayesian variable selection method, called SVEN, based on a hierarchical Gaussian linear model with priors placed on the regression coefficients as well as on the model space. Sparsity is achieved by using degenerate spike…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-04 Dongjin Li , Somak Dutta , Vivekananda Roy

Nested error regression models are useful tools for analysis of grouped data, especially in the case of small area estimation. This paper suggests a nested error regression model using uncertain random effects in which the random effect in…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-28 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Tatsuya Kubokawa

Deep spiking neural networks (SNNs) are promising neural networks for their model capacity from deep neural network architecture and energy efficiency from SNNs' operations. To train deep SNNs, recently, spatio-temporal backpropagation…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2023-08-02 Seongsik Park , Jeonghee Jo , Jongkil Park , Yeonjoo Jeong , Jaewook Kim , Suyoun Lee , Joon Young Kwak , Inho Kim , Jong-Keuk Park , Kyeong Seok Lee , Gye Weon Hwang , Hyun Jae Jang

Deep neural networks (NNs) are powerful black box predictors that have recently achieved impressive performance on a wide spectrum of tasks. Quantifying predictive uncertainty in NNs is a challenging and yet unsolved problem. Bayesian NNs,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-07 Balaji Lakshminarayanan , Alexander Pritzel , Charles Blundell

We introduce a novel combination of Bayesian Models (BMs) and Neural Networks (NNs) for making predictions with a minimum expected risk. Our approach combines the best of both worlds, the data efficiency and interpretability of a BM with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-28 Mathias Löwe , Per Lunnemann Hansen , Sebastian Risi

With the next generation of both electromagnetic and gravitational wave observatories beginning to come online, rapid analysis methods for kilonova data are becoming increasingly important in astronomy. Traditional Bayesian parameter…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2026-05-15 Stephanie M. Brown , Mattia Bulla , Hiranya V. Peiris , Nikhil Sarin , Daniel Mortlock , Stephen Thorp , Gurjeet Jagwani , Stephan Rosswog , Samaya Nissanke

Stochastic differential equations provide a rich class of flexible generative models, capable of describing a wide range of spatio-temporal processes. A host of recent work looks to learn data-representing SDEs, using neural networks and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-12 Scott Cameron , Tyron Cameron , Arnu Pretorius , Stephen Roberts

In Generalised Bayesian Inference (GBI), the learning rate and hyperparameters of the loss must be estimated. These inference-hyperparameters can't be estimated jointly with the other parameters, from the data, by giving them a prior.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-18 Jeong Eun Lee , Sitong Liu , Geoff K. Nicholls

This paper makes two contributions to Bayesian machine learning algorithms. Firstly, we propose stochastic natural gradient expectation propagation (SNEP), a novel alternative to expectation propagation (EP), a popular variational inference…