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We present algorithms for nonparametric regression in settings where the data are obtained sequentially. While traditional estimators select bandwidths that depend upon the sample size, for sequential data the effective sample size is…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-03 Haijie Gu , John Lafferty

In this paper, a control scheme for stochastic predefined-time stabilization is proposed, which improves the control effect compared with stochastic finite-time or fixed-time stabilization. The stochastic predefined-time stabilization…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-05-11 Tianliang Zhang , Shengyuan Xu

Noise-induced transitions between metastable fixed points in systems evolving on multiple time scales are analyzed in situations where the time scale separation gives rise to a slow manifold with bifurcation. This analysis is performed…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-10-05 Tobias Grafke , Eric Vanden-Eijnden

We present a spectrogram separation method tailored for mixtures comprising two nonstationary components. By exploiting the unique characteristics of their time-frequency representations, we propose an inverse problem formulation to…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-06-26 Adrien Meynard , Ama Marina Kreme

The current algorithms are based on linear model, for example, Precision Time Protocol (PTP) which requires frequent synchronization in order to handle the effects of clock frequency drift. This paper introduces a nonlinear approach to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-05 Frank Wang , Danjue Li

Synchrosqueezed transforms are non-linear processes for a sharpened time-frequency representation of wave-like components. They are efficient tools for identifying and analyzing wave-like components from their superposition. This paper is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-10 Haizhao Yang

Nonstationary time series forecasting suffers from the distribution shift issue due to the different distributions that produce the training and test data. Existing methods attempt to alleviate the dependence by, e.g., removing low-order…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-20 Xihao Piao , Zheng Chen , Lingwei Zhu , Yushun Dong , Yasuko Matsubara , Yasushi Sakurai

Time-frequency distributions have been used to provide high resolution representation in a large number of signal processing applications. However, high resolution and accurate instantaneous frequency (IF) estimation usually depend on the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-03-02 Irena Orovic , Andjela Draganic , Srdjan Stankovic

This paper addresses the problem of detecting and characterizing local variability in time series and other forms of sequential data. The goal is to identify and characterize statistically significant variations, at the same time…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-05 Jeffrey D. Scargle , Jay P. Norris , Brad Jackson , James Chiang

Accurate curve forecasting is of vital importance for policy planning, decision making and resource allocation in many engineering and industrial applications. In this paper we establish a theoretical foundation for the optimal short-term…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-19 Yan Cui , Zhou Zhou

Irregularly sampled time series are increasingly prevalent, particularly in medical domains. While various specialized methods have been developed to handle these irregularities, effectively modeling their complex dynamics and pronounced…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-01 Zekun Li , Shiyang Li , Xifeng Yan

We provide a statistical analysis of a tool in nonlinear-type time-frequency analysis, the synchrosqueezing transform (SST), for both the null and non-null cases. The intricate nonlinear interaction of different quantities in SST is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-06 Matt Sourisseau , Hau-Tieng Wu , Zhou Zhou

The problem of optimal estimation of linear functionals constructed from unobserved values of stochastic sequence with periodically stationary increments based on observations of the sequence with a periodically stationary noise is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-10 Maksym Luz , Mykhailo Moklyachuk

We develop a new methodology for the fitting of nonstationary time series that exhibit nonlinearity, asymmetry, local persistence and changes in location scale and shape of the underlying distribution. In order to achieve this goal, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-29 Alexander Aue , Rex C. Y. Cheung , Thomas C. M. Lee , Ming Zhong

In many signal processing problems, it may be fruitful to represent the signal under study in a frame. If a probabilistic approach is adopted, it becomes then necessary to estimate the hyper-parameters characterizing the probability…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-14 L. Chaâri , J. -C. Pesquet , J. -Y. Tourneret , Ph. Ciuciu , A. Benazza-Benyahia

A technique is introduced for estimating unknown parameters when time series of only one variable from a multivariate nonlinear dynamical system is given. The technique employs a combination of two different control methods, a linear…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 Anil Maybhate , R. E. Amritkar

Time series analysis is crucial for understanding dynamics of complex systems. Recent advances in foundation models have led to task-agnostic Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) and Large Language Model-based Time Series Models (TSLLMs),…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-17 Xu Liu , Taha Aksu , Juncheng Liu , Qingsong Wen , Yuxuan Liang , Caiming Xiong , Silvio Savarese , Doyen Sahoo , Junnan Li , Chenghao Liu

The optimal selection of experimental conditions is essential to maximizing the value of data for inference and prediction, particularly in situations where experiments are time-consuming and expensive to conduct. We propose a general…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-12-04 Xun Huan , Youssef M. Marzouk

We introduce NaturalInversion, a novel model inversion-based method to synthesize images that agrees well with the original data distribution without using real data. In NaturalInversion, we propose: (1) a Feature Transfer Pyramid which…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-06-30 Yujin Kim , Dogyun Park , Dohee Kim , Suhyun Kim

We propose an informal test for stationarity in a time series which checks for the compatibility of nonlinear approximations to the dynamics made in different segments of the sequence. The segments are compared directly, rather than via…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 Thomas Schreiber
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