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The analysis of long sequence data remains challenging in many real-world applications. We propose a novel architecture, ChunkFormer, that improves the existing Transformer framework to handle the challenges while dealing with long time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-03 Yue Ju , Alka Isac , Yimin Nie

Several applications in time series forecasting require predicting multiple steps ahead. Despite the vast amount of literature in the topic, both classical and recent deep learning based approaches have mostly focused on minimising…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-15 Ignacio Hounie , Javier Porras-Valenzuela , Alejandro Ribeiro

Recently, Transformer-based models for long sequence time series forecasting have demonstrated promising results. The self-attention mechanism as the core component of these Transformer-based models exhibits great potential in capturing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-17 Zhicheng Zhang , Yong Wang , Shaoqi Tan , Bowei Xia , Yujie Luo

Wind speed prediction is critical to the management of wind power generation. Due to the large range of wind speed fluctuations and wake effect, there may also be strong correlations between long-distance wind turbines. This…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-27 Xuewei Li , Zewen Shang , Zhiqiang Liu , Jian Yu , Wei Xiong , Mei Yu

Multivariate time series forecasting is a pivotal task in several domains, including financial planning, medical diagnostics, and climate science. This paper presents the Neural Fourier Transform (NFT) algorithm, which combines…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Noam Koren , Kira Radinsky

Deep learning (DL) approaches are being increasingly used for time-series forecasting, with many efforts devoted to designing complex DL models. Recent studies have shown that the DL success is often attributed to effective data…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2023-07-28 Jianing Hao , Qing Shi , Yilin Ye , Wei Zeng

In this paper, we find that ubiquitous time series (TS) forecasting models are prone to severe overfitting. To cope with this problem, we embrace a de-redundancy approach to progressively reinstate the intrinsic values of TS for future…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-18 Daojun Liang , Haixia Zhang , Dongfeng Yuan , Bingzheng Zhang , Minggao Zhang

In multivariate time series forecasting, the Transformer architecture encounters two significant challenges: effectively mining features from historical sequences and avoiding overfitting during the learning of temporal dependencies. To…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-30 Han Zhou , Yuntian Chen

Recurrent neural networks are effective models to process sequences. However, they are unable to learn long-term dependencies because of their inherent sequential nature. As a solution, Vaswani et al. introduced the Transformer, a model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-28 Quentin Fournier , Gaétan Marceau Caron , Daniel Aloise

TwinFormer is a hierarchical Transformer for long-sequence time-series forecasting. It divides the input into non-overlapping temporal patches and processes them in two stages: (1) a Local Informer with top-$k$ Sparse Attention models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Mahima Kumavat , Aditya Maheshwari

Precise load forecasting in buildings could increase the bill savings potential and facilitate optimized strategies for power generation planning. With the rapid evolution of computer science, data-driven techniques, in particular the Deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-30 Menna Nawar , Moustafa Shomer , Samy Faddel , Huangjie Gong

Predicting time-series is of great importance in various scientific and engineering fields. However, in the context of limited and noisy data, accurately predicting dynamics of all variables in a high-dimensional system is a challenging…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-16 Zijian Wang , Peng Tao , Luonan Chen

With the rapid development of artificial intelligence, long short term memory (LSTM), one kind of recurrent neural network (RNN), has been widely applied in time series prediction. Like RNN, Transformer is designed to handle the sequential…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-21 Paul Bilokon , Yitao Qiu

Transformers are increasingly adopted for modeling and forecasting time-series, yet their internal mechanisms remain poorly understood from a dynamical systems perspective. In contrast to classical autoregressive and state-space models,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-25 Gregory Duthé , Nikolaos Evangelou , Wei Liu , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis , Eleni Chatzi

The paper develops a Transformer architecture for estimating dynamic factors from multivariate time series data under flexible identification assumptions. Performance on small datasets is improved substantially by using a conventional…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-21 Oliver Snellman

Time position embeddings capture the positional information of time steps, often serving as auxiliary inputs to enhance the predictive capabilities of time series models. However, existing models exhibit limitations in capturing intricate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-28 Xiaobao Song , Hao Wang , Liwei Deng , Yuxin He , Wenming Cao , Chi-Sing Leungc

Time series forecasting plays a crucial role in decision-making across various domains, but it presents significant challenges. Recent studies have explored image-driven approaches using computer vision models to address these challenges,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-03-19 Zhen Zeng , Rachneet Kaur , Suchetha Siddagangappa , Tucker Balch , Manuela Veloso

Forecasting models that are trained across sets of many time series, known as Global Forecasting Models (GFM), have shown recently promising results in forecasting competitions and real-world applications, outperforming many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-07 Kasun Bandara , Hansika Hewamalage , Yuan-Hao Liu , Yanfei Kang , Christoph Bergmeir

Time series forecasting has widespread applications in urban life ranging from air quality monitoring to traffic analysis. However, accurate time series forecasting is challenging because real-world time series suffer from the distribution…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-15 Wenying Duan , Xiaoxi He , Lu Zhou , Lothar Thiele , Hong Rao

Deep learning and pre-trained models have shown great success in time series forecasting. However, in the tourism industry, time series data often exhibit a leading time property, presenting a 2D structure. This introduces unique challenges…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-25 Yuhua Liao , Zetian Wang , Peng Wei , Qiangqiang Nie , Zhenhua Zhang