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We introduce a new identification strategy for uncertainty shocks to explain macroeconomic volatility in financial markets. The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index (VIX) measures market expectations of future volatility, but…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-11-06 Ayush Jha , Abootaleb Shirvani , Svetlozar T. Rachev , Frank J. Fabozzi

The CBOE Volatility Index, known by its ticker symbol VIX, is a popular measure of the market's expected volatility on the SP 500 Index, calculated and published by the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE). It is also often referred to as…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-06-17 Ali Hirsa , Joerg Osterrieder , Branka Hadji Misheva , Wenxin Cao , Yiwen Fu , Hanze Sun , Kin Wai Wong

As a forward-looking measure of future equity market volatility, the VIX index has gained immense popularity in recent years to become a key measure of risk for market analysts and academics. We consider discrete reported intraday VIX tick…

Applications · Statistics 2018-12-04 Han Lin Shang , Yang Yang , Fearghal Kearney

The Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) Volatility Index, VIX, is calculated based on prices of out-of-the-money put and call options on the S&P 500 index (SPX). Sometimes called the "investor fear gauge," the VIX is a measure of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Stephen D. H. Hsu , Brian M. Murray

This study provides a consistent and efficient pricing method for both Standard & Poor's 500 Index (SPX) options and the Chicago Board Options Exchange's Volatility Index (VIX) options under a multiscale stochastic volatility model. To…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-09-24 Jaegi Jeon , Geonwoo Kim , Jeonggyu Huh

Predicting the S&P 500 index volatility is crucial for investors and financial analysts as it helps assess market risk and make informed investment decisions. Volatility represents the level of uncertainty or risk related to the size of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-25 Natalia Roszyk , Robert Ślepaczuk

In February 2018, the VIX index has seen its largest ever increase and has lead to significant losses for some major volatility related products. Despite many efforts, the precise underlying reasons are yet to be discovered. We study the…

Applications · Statistics 2022-12-20 Kia Farokhnia , Joerg Osterrieder

In this chapter, we consider volatility swap, variance swap and VIX future pricing under different stochastic volatility models and jump diffusion models which are commonly used in financial market. We use convexity correction approximation…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-12-08 Anatoliy Swishchuk , Zijia Wang

This paper addresses the challenges faced in large-volume trading, where executing substantial orders can result in significant market impact and slippage. To mitigate these effects, this study proposes a volatility-volume-based order…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-18 Ritwika Chattopadhyay , Abhishek Malichkar , Zhixuan Ren , Xinyue Zhang

This paper explores the implications of producing forecast distributions that are optimized according to scoring rules that are relevant to financial risk management. We assess the predictive performance of optimal forecasts from…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-03-06 Yuru Sun , Worapree Maneesoonthorn , Ruben Loaiza-Maya , Gael M. Martin

Classic stochastic volatility models assume volatility is unobservable. We use the Volatility Index: S&P 500 VIX to observe it, to easier fit the model. We apply it to corporate bonds. We fit autoregression for corporate rates and for risk…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-01-06 Jihyun Park , Andrey Sarantsev

Volatility prediction in the financial market helps to understand the profit and involved risks in investment. However, due to irregularities, high fluctuations, and noise in the time series, predicting volatility poses a challenging task.…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-02 Suchetana Sadhukhan , Shiv Manjaree Gopaliya , Pushpdant Jain

This paper examines systematic put-writing strategies applied to S&P 500 Index options, with a focus on position sizing as a key determinant of long-term performance. Despite the well-documented volatility risk premium, where implied…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-26 Maciej Wysocki

Accurate prediction of financial market volatility is critical for risk management, derivatives pricing, and investment strategy. In this study, we propose a multitude of regime-switching methods to improve the prediction of S&P 500…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-07 Ava C. Blake , Nivika A. Gandhi , Anurag R. Jakkula

In this paper, we present a method of estimating the volatility of a signal that displays stochastic noise (such as a risky asset traded on an open market) utilizing Linear Predictive Coding. The main purpose is to associate volatility with…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Louis Mello

In the first quarter of 2006 Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) introduced, as one of the listed products, options on its implied volatility index (VIX). This created the challenge of developing a pricing framework that can…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2009-05-14 Claudio Albanese , Harry Lo , Aleksandar Mijatović

In an era when derivatives is getting popular, risk management has gradually become the core content of modern finance. In order to study how to accurately estimate the volatility of the S&P 500 index, after introducing the theoretical…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-21 Wen Su

We present a white-box, risk-sensitive framework for jointly hedging SPX and VIX exposures under transaction costs and regime shifts. The approach couples an arbitrage-free market teacher with a control layer that enforces safety as…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-21 Jian'an Zhang

We adopt deep learning models to directly optimise the portfolio Sharpe ratio. The framework we present circumvents the requirements for forecasting expected returns and allows us to directly optimise portfolio weights by updating model…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-26 Zihao Zhang , Stefan Zohren , Stephen Roberts

Backtest is a way of financial risk evaluation which helps to analyze how our trading algorithm would work in markets with past time frame. The high volatility situation has always been a critical situation which creates challenges for…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-20 S. M. Masrur Ahmed
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