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Astronomical surveys of celestial sources produce streams of noisy time series measuring flux versus time ("light curves"). Unlike in many other physical domains, however, large (and source-specific) temporal gaps in data arise naturally…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2017-11-30 Brett Naul , Joshua S. Bloom , Fernando Pérez , Stéfan van der Walt

This study is devoted to the inference problem of extracting the nuclear matter properties directly from a set of mass-radius observations. We employ Bayesian neural networks (BNNs), which is a probabilistic model capable of estimating the…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2024-09-27 Valéria Carvalho , Márcio Ferreira , Constança Providência

The new generation of galaxy surveys will provide unprecedented data allowing us to test gravity at cosmological scales. A robust cosmological analysis of the large-scale structure demands exploiting the nonlinear information encoded in the…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2024-02-13 Jorge Enrique García-Farieta , Héctor J Hortúa , Francisco-Shu Kitaura

Context: Astronomy and astrophysics demand rigorous handling of uncertainties to ensure the credibility of outcomes. The growing integration of artificial intelligence offers a novel avenue to address this necessity. This convergence…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-03-28 Víctor Tamames-Rodero , Andrés Moya , Roberto Javier López , Luis Manuel Sarro

Current synoptic sky surveys monitor large areas of the sky to find variable and transient astronomical sources. As the number of detections per night at a single telescope easily exceeds several thousand, current detection pipelines make…

Bayesian Neural Networks (BNN) have recently emerged in the Deep Learning world for dealing with uncertainty estimation in classification tasks, and are used in many application domains such as astrophysics, autonomous driving...BNN assume…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-04 Claire Theobald , Frédéric Pennerath , Brieuc Conan-Guez , Miguel Couceiro , Amedeo Napoli

The Vera C. Rubin Observatory Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) will commence full-scale operations in 2026, yielding an unprecedented volume of astronomical images. Constructing an astronomical catalog, a table of imaged stars,…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-11-07 Yicun Duan , Xinyue Li , Camille Avestruz , Jeffrey Regier , LSST Dark Energy Science Collaboration

In the current landscape of deep learning research, there is a predominant emphasis on achieving high predictive accuracy in supervised tasks involving large image and language datasets. However, a broader perspective reveals a multitude of…

Robust environment perception is essential for decision-making on robots operating in complex domains. Principled treatment of uncertainty sources in a robot's observation model is necessary for accurate mapping and object detection. This…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-07-15 Shayegan Omidshafiei , Brett T. Lopez , Jonathan P. How , John Vian

Bayesian models are a powerful tool for studying complex data, allowing the analyst to encode rich hierarchical dependencies and leverage prior information. Most importantly, they facilitate a complete characterization of uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-25 Steven Winter , Trevor Campbell , Lizhen Lin , Sanvesh Srivastava , David B. Dunson

The inability of artificial neural networks to assess the uncertainty of their predictions is an impediment to their widespread use. We distinguish two types of learnable uncertainty: model uncertainty due to a lack of training data and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-14 Hans Weytjens , Jochen De Weerdt

Compared to point estimates calculated by standard neural networks, Bayesian neural networks (BNN) provide probability distributions over the output predictions and model parameters, i.e., the weights. Training the weight distribution of a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-01 Philipp Wagner , Xinyang Wu , Marco F. Huber

Deep neural networks (NNs) are powerful black box predictors that have recently achieved impressive performance on a wide spectrum of tasks. Quantifying predictive uncertainty in NNs is a challenging and yet unsolved problem. Bayesian NNs,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-07 Balaji Lakshminarayanan , Alexander Pritzel , Charles Blundell

Neural Ordinary Differential Equations (N-ODEs) are a powerful building block for learning systems, which extend residual networks to a continuous-time dynamical system. We propose a Bayesian version of N-ODEs that enables well-calibrated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-19 Andreas Look , Melih Kandemir

We propose a novel deep learning tool in order to study the evolution of dark energy models. The aim is to combine two architectures: the Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN) and the Bayesian Neural Networks (BNN), we named this full network as…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2020-03-18 Celia Escamilla-Rivera , Maryi Alejandra Carvajal Quintero , S. Capozziello

Neural networks (NNs) are primarily developed within the frequentist statistical framework. Nevertheless, frequentist NNs lack the capability to provide uncertainties in the predictions, and hence their robustness can not be adequately…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-10-26 Nastaran Dabiran , Brandon Robinson , Rimple Sandhu , Mohammad Khalil , Dominique Poirel , Abhijit Sarkar

Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) provide principled uncertainty quantification but suffer from substantial computational and memory overhead compared to deterministic networks. While quantization techniques have successfully reduced resource…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-12 Hendrik Borras , Yong Wu , Bernhard Klein , Holger Fröning

The future Rubin Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) is expected to deliver its first data release in the current of 2025. The upcoming survey will provide us with images of galaxy clusters in the optical to the near-infrared, with…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2026-02-18 Aline Chu , Ludvig Doeser , Simon Ding , Jens Jasche

We propose a new class of Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) that can be trained using noisy data of variable fidelity, and we apply them to learn function approximations as well as to solve inverse problems based on partial differential…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-02 Xuhui Meng , Hessam Babaee , George Em Karniadakis

Bayesian neural networks allow us to keep track of uncertainties, for example in top tagging, by learning a tagger output together with an error band. We illustrate the main features of Bayesian versions of established deep-learning…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2020-01-22 Sven Bollweg , Manuel Haussmann , Gregor Kasieczka , Michel Luchmann , Tilman Plehn , Jennifer Thompson