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Variational inference is a popular method for estimating model parameters and conditional distributions in hierarchical and mixed models, which arise frequently in many settings in the health, social, and biological sciences. Variational…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-10 Ted Westling , Tyler H. McCormick

We introduce a flexible, scalable Bayesian inference framework for nonlinear dynamical systems characterised by distinct and hierarchical variability at the individual, group, and population levels. Our model class is a generalisation of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-03 Geoffrey Roeder , Paul K. Grant , Andrew Phillips , Neil Dalchau , Edward Meeds

We consider the utilization of a computational model to guide the optimal acquisition of experimental data to inform the stochastic description of model input parameters. Our formulation is based on the recently developed consistent…

Computation · Statistics 2021-05-04 Scott N. Walsh , Tim M. Wildey , John D. Jakeman

Modeling real-world multidimensional time series can be particularly challenging when these are sporadically observed (i.e., sampling is irregular both in time and across dimensions)-such as in the case of clinical patient data. To address…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-02 Edward De Brouwer , Jaak Simm , Adam Arany , Yves Moreau

Clinicians need to predict patient outcomes with high accuracy as early as possible after disease inception. In this manuscript, we show that patient-to-patient variability sets a fundamental limit on outcome prediction accuracy for a…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2016-02-17 Manuel Mai , Kun Wang , Greg Huber , Michael Kirby , Mark D. Shattuck , Corey S. O'Hern

In regression models, predictor variables with inherent ordering, such as tumor staging ranging and ECOG performance status, are commonly seen in medical settings. Statistically, it may be difficult to determine the functional form of an…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-04 Emily Roberts , Lili Zhao

Gene regulatory networks (GRNs) define the regulatory relationships among molecules such as transcription factors, chromatin remodelers, and target genes. GRNs play a critical role in diverse biological processes, including development,…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2026-02-24 Junha Shin , Spencer Halberg-Spencer , Yuda Liu , Suvojit Hazra , Erika Da-Inn Lee , Sushmita Roy

Combined inference for heterogeneous high-dimensional data is critical in modern biology, where clinical and various kinds of molecular data may be available from a single study. Classical genetic association studies regress a single…

Applications · Statistics 2017-03-22 Hélène Ruffieux , Anthony C. Davison , Jörg Hager , Irina Irincheeva

In this work, we explore modeling change points in time-series data using neural stochastic differential equations (neural SDEs). We propose a novel model formulation and training procedure based on the variational autoencoder (VAE)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-16 Yousef El-Laham , Zhongchang Sun , Haibei Zhu , Tucker Balch , Svitlana Vyetrenko

Diffusion models have emerged as powerful generative tools with applications in computer vision and scientific machine learning (SciML), where they have been used to solve large-scale probabilistic inverse problems. Traditionally, these…

Since the advent of the ``Neural Ordinary Differential Equation (Neural ODE)'' paper, learning ODEs with deep learning has been applied to system identification, time-series forecasting, and related areas. Exploiting the diffeomorphic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-27 Yuji Okamoto , Tomoya Takeuchi , Yusuke Sakemi

The modeling of time series is becoming increasingly critical in a wide variety of applications. Overall, data evolves by following different patterns, which are generally caused by different user behaviors. Given a time series, we define…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-13 Wenjie Hu , Jianping Huang , Liang Wu , Yang Yang , Zongtao Liu , Zhanlin Sun , Bingshen Yao , Ke Chen

In a multicellular organism different cell types express a gene in different amounts. Samples from which gene expression levels can be measured typically contain a mixture of different cell types, the resulting measurements thus give only…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2017-08-09 Nico Riedel , Johannes Berg

Natural laws are often described through differential equations yet finding a differential equation that describes the governing law underlying observed data is a challenging and still mostly manual task. In this paper we make a step…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-08 Sören Becker , Michal Klein , Alexander Neitz , Giambattista Parascandolo , Niki Kilbertus

Variational autoencoders (VAEs) are essential tools in end-to-end representation learning. However, the sequential text generation common pitfall with VAEs is that the model tends to ignore latent variables with a strong auto-regressive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-26 Yang Zhao , Ping Yu , Suchismit Mahapatra , Qinliang Su , Changyou Chen

Time delays are ubiquitous in industry and nature, and they significantly affect both transient dynamics and stability properties. Consequently, it is often necessary to identify and account for the delays when, e.g., designing a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-05-14 Tobias K. S. Ritschel , John Wyller

A distributed computing system is a collection of processors that communicate either by reading and writing from a shared memory or by sending messages over some communication network. Most prior biologically inspired distributed computing…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2020-05-15 Sabrina Rashid , Gadi Taubenfeld , Ziv Bar-Joseph

Inference models are a key component in scaling variational inference to deep latent variable models, most notably as encoder networks in variational auto-encoders (VAEs). By replacing conventional optimization-based inference with a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-26 Joseph Marino , Yisong Yue , Stephan Mandt

Neural differential equations are a promising new member in the neural network family. They show the potential of differential equations for time series data analysis. In this paper, the strength of the ordinary differential equation (ODE)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-21 Mansura Habiba , Barak A. Pearlmutter

The functions of proteins and RNAs are determined by a myriad of interactions between their constituent residues, but most quantitative models of how molecular phenotype depends on genotype must approximate this by simple additive effects.…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2017-12-19 Adam J. Riesselman , John B. Ingraham , Debora S. Marks