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Financial markets are complex adaptive systems, and are commonly studied as complex networks. Most of such studies fall short in two respects: they do not account for non-linearity of the studied relationships, and they create one network…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-10-01 Paweł Fiedor , Artur Hołda

We study the diffusion of influence in random multiplex networks where links can be of $r$ different types, and for a given content (e.g., rumor, product, political view), each link type is associated with a content dependent parameter…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-09-11 Osman Yagan , Virgil Gligor

This work builds upon the long-standing conjecture that linear diffusion models are inadequate for complex market dynamics. Specifically, it provides experimental validation for the author's prior arguments that realistic market dynamics…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-04 Igor Halperin

First, a big data analysis of the transactions and smart contracts made on the Ethereum blockchain is performed, revealing interesting trends in motion. Next, these trends are compared with the public's interest in Ether and Bitcoin,…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-06 Dorsa Mohammadi Arezooji

We document the first systematic evidence of negative spillover effects in crypto asset returns across blockchains. Using on-chain data from Ethereum, Solana, Binance Smart Chain, Arbitrum, and Avalanche (2022-2025), we show that surges on…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-02 Mengzhong Ma , Te Bao , Yonggang Wen

Cryptocurrencies have become a popular and widely researched topic of interest in recent years for investors and scholars. In order to make informed investment decisions, it is essential to comprehend the factors that impact cryptocurrency…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-21 Abdulrezzak Zekiye , Semih Utku , Fadi Amroush , Oznur Ozkasap

Financial crises are known as crashes that result in a sudden loss of value of financial assets in large part and they continue to occur from time to time surprisingly. In order to discover features of the financial network, the pairwise…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-01-11 MohammadReza Zahedian , Mahsa Bagherikalhor , Andrey Trufanov , G. Reza Jafari

Lead-lag relationships among assets represent a useful tool for analyzing high frequency financial data. However, research on these relationships predominantly focuses on correlation analyses for the dynamics of stock prices, spots and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-01-08 Lasko Basnarkov , Viktor Stojkoski , Zoran Utkovski , Ljupco Kocarev

A social interaction (so-called higher-order event/interaction) can be regarded as the activation of the hyperlink among the corresponding individuals. Social interactions can be, thus, represented as higher-order temporal networks, that…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-12-17 Mathieu Jung-Muller , Alberto Ceria , Huijuan Wang

As the pioneer of blockchain technology, Bitcoin is the most popular cryptocurrency to date. Given its dramatic price spikes (and crashes) along with the never-ending news from SEC regulations to security breaches, there seems to be a lack…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-06-04 Anthony Luo , Dianxiang Xu

We introduce a method to infer lead-lag networks of agents' actions in complex systems. These networks open the way to both microscopic and macroscopic states prediction in such systems. We apply this method to trader-resolved data in the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-27 Damien Challet , Rémy Chicheportiche , Mehdi Lallouache , Serge Kassibrakis

Cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin are realized using distributed systems and hence critically rely on the performance and security of the interconnecting network. The requirements on these networks and their usage, however can differ…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2020-08-20 Maya Dotan , Yvonne-Anne Pignolet , Stefan Schmid , Saar Tochner , Aviv Zohar

We analyse tick-by-tick data representing major cryptocurrencies traded on some different cryptocurrency trading platforms. We focus on such quantities like the inter-transaction times, the number of transactions in time unit, the traded…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-05 Jarosław Kwapień , Marcin Wątorek , Marija Bezbradica , Martin Crane , Tai Tan Mai , Stanisław Drożdż

Social turbulence can affect people financial decisions, causing changes in spending and saving. During a global turbulence as significant as the COVID-19 pandemic, such changes are inevitable. Here we examine how the effects of COVID-19 on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-27 Palina Niamkova , Rafael Moreira

We study the percolation in coupled networks with both inner-dependency and inter-dependency links, where the inner- and inter-dependency links represent the dependencies between nodes in the same or different networks, respectively. We…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-05-09 Run-Ran Liu , Ming Li , Chun-Xiao Jia , Bing-Hong Wang

Identifying the causal structure of systems with multiple dynamic elements is critical to several scientific disciplines. The conventional approach is to conduct statistical tests of causality, for example with Granger Causality, between…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-22 Jacek P. Dmochowski

The connectivity of a network contains information about the relationships between nodes, which can denote interactions, associations, or dependencies. We show that this information can be analyzed by measuring the uncertainty (and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-01-23 Brennan Klein , Erik Hoel

Logistic regression is key method for modeling the probability of a binary outcome based on a collection of covariates. However, the classical formulation of logistic regression relies on the independent sampling assumption, which is often…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-25 Somabha Mukherjee , Ziang Niu , Sagnik Halder , Bhaswar B. Bhattacharya , George Michailidis

Recent empirical evidence has highlighted the crucial role of jumps in both price and volatility within the cryptocurrency market. In this paper, we integrate price--volatility co-jumps and volatility short-term dependency into a coherent…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-17 Boyi Li , Weixuan Xia

There is a commonality among contagious diseases, tweets, urban crimes, nuclear reactions, and neuronal firings that past events facilitate the future occurrence of events. The spread of events has been extensively studied such that the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-09-16 Tomokatsu Onaga , Shigeru Shinomoto