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We begin by providing observational evidence that the probability of encountering very high and very low annual tropical rainfall has increased significantly in the recent decade (1998-present) as compared to the preceding warming era…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-04-15 Jai Sukhatme , V. Venugopal

The Quasi-Biennial Oscillation (QBO) of stratospheric winds is the most striking example of mean-flow generation and reversal by the non-linear interactions of internal waves. Previous studies have used an idealized monochromatic forcing to…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2020-12-30 Pierre Léard , Daniel Lecoanet , Michael Le Bars

A detailed study of the slow manifold of a model exhibiting mixed-mode oscillations is presented. A scenario for the emergence of mixed-mode states which does not involve phase locking on a 2-torus is constructed. We show that mixed-modes…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-30 Andrei Goryachev , Peter Strizhak , Raymond Kapral

While most spatial data can be modeled with the assumption that distant points are uncorrelated, some problems require dependence at both far and short distances. We introduce a model to directly incorporate dependence in phenomena that…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-04 Joshua Hewitt , Jennifer A. Hoeting , James Done , Erin Towler

We introduce the elliptical Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process, which is a generalisation of the well-known univariate OU process to bivariate time series. This process maps out elliptical stochastic oscillations over time in the complex…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-08 Adam M. Sykulski , Sofia C. Olhede , Hanna M. Sykulska-Lawrence

We investigate the non-stationary phenomenon in a tripartite spin-1/2 system in the collision model (CM) framework. After introducing the dissipation through the system-environment collision for both Markovian and non-Markovian cases, we…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-04-11 Yan Li , Xingli Li , Jiasen Jin

The extratropical meridional energy transport in the atmosphere is fundamentally intermittent in nature, having extremes large enough to affect the net seasonal transport. Here, we investigate how these extreme transports are associated…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-10-27 Valerio Lembo , Federico Fabiano , Vera Melinda Galfi , Rune Graversen , Valerio Lucarini , Gabriele Messori

In a recent paper, Hassoul et al.[1], the authors proposed an analysis of the quantum dynamics for general time-dependent three coupled oscillators through an approach based on their decouplement using the unitary transformation method.…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-09-27 Zerimeche Rahma , Mana Naima , Maamache Mustapha

The accurate long-term forecasting of the El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is still one of the biggest challenges in climate science. While it is true that short-to medium-range performance has been improved significantly using the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-09-09 Saghar Ganji , Mohammad Naisipour , Alireza Hassani , Arash Adib

The increasing availability of highly resolved spatio-temporal data leads to new opportunities as well as challenges in many scientific disciplines such as climatology, ecology or epidemiology. This allows more detailed insights into the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-01-22 Maik Riedl , Norbert Marwan , Jürgen Kurths

Internal modes of climate variability, such as El Ni\~no and the North Atlantic Oscillation, can have strong influences upon distant weather patterns, effects that are referred to as "teleconnections". The extent to which anthropogenic…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-12-30 Eran Vos , Peter Huybers , Eli Tziperman

Accurate representation of atmosphere-ocean boundary layers, including the interplay of turbulence, surface waves, and air-sea fluxes, remains a challenge in geophysical fluid dynamics, particularly for climate simulations. This study…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-09-04 Long Li , Etienne Mémin , Bertrand Chapron

Statistical mechanics is founded on the assumption that all accessible configurations of a system are equally likely. This requires dynamics that explore all states over time, known as ergodic dynamics. In isolated quantum systems, however,…

Extreme multistability (EM) is characterized by the emergence of infinitely many coexisting attractors or continuous families of stable states in dynamical systems. EM implies complex and hardly predictable asymptotic dynamical behavior. We…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2023-09-28 Zhen Su , Jürgen Kurths , Yaru Liu , Serhiy Yanchuk

Identifying early warning signs of sudden population changes and mechanisms leading to regime shifts are highly desirable in population biology. In this paper, a two-trophic ecosystem comprising of two species of predators, competing for…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-09-23 Susmita Sadhu

Oceanic Kelvin and Rossby waves play an important role in tropical climate and \en dynamics. Here we develop and apply a climate network approach to quantify the characteristics of \en related oceanic waves, based on sea surface height…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-03-23 Yang Wang , Avi Gozolchiani , Yosef Ashkenazy , Shlomo Havlin

Paleoclimate proxies reveal abrupt transitions of the North Atlantic climate during past glacial intervals known as Dansgaard--Oeschger (DO) events. A central feature of DO events is a sudden warming of about 10$^{\circ}$C in Greenland…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-01-29 Keno Riechers , Georg Gottwald , Niklas Boers

Coupled atmosphere-ocean deep learning (DL) climate emulators are a new frontier but are known to exhibit weak ENSO variability, raising questions about their ability to simulate teleconnections. Here, we present the first Pacific pacemaker…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-11-27 Zhanxiang Hua , Christina Karamperidou , Zilu Meng

We propose a simple statistical model of three-dimensionally anisotropic, intermittent, strong Alfv\'enic turbulence, incorporating both critical balance and dynamic alignment. Our model is based on log-Poisson statistics for Elsasser-field…

Space Physics · Physics 2017-02-08 A. Mallet , A. A. Schekochihin

This study presents the first systematic comparison of the (thermo-)dynamics associated with all major tropical wave types causing rainfall modulation over northern tropical Africa: Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO), Equatorial Rossby waves…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-05-23 Andreas Schlueter , Andreas H. Fink , Peter Knippertz
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