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Since ancient times, what Chinese people have been pursuing is very simple, which is nothing more than "to live and work happily, to eat and dress comfortable". Today, more than 40 years after the reform and opening, people have basically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-21 Yuying Wu , Youshan Zhang

Price-mediated contagion occurs when a positive feedback loop develops following a drop in asset prices which forces banks and other financial institutions to sell their holdings. Prior studies of such events fix the level of market…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-05 Zhiyu Cao , Zachary Feinstein

In Demand Response programs, price incentives might not be sufficient to modify residential consumers load profile. Here, we consider that each consumer has a preferred profile and a discomfort cost when deviating from it. Consumers can…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-12-01 Paulin Jacquot , Olivier Beaude , Nadia Oudjane , Stephane Gaubert

We propose a novel multi-layered nonlinear model that is able to capture and predict the housing-demographic dynamics of the real-state market by simulating the transitions of owners among price-based house layers. This model allows us to…

Cellular Automata and Lattice Gases · Physics 2008-12-02 Ramon Huerta , Fernando Corbacho , Luis F. Lago-Fernandez

We test for the long-run relationship between stock prices, inflation and its uncertainty for different U.S. sector stock indexes, over the period 2002M7 to 2015M10. For this purpose we use a cointegration analysis with one structural break…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-04 Claudiu Albulescu , Christian Aubin , Daniel Goyeau

Real estate appraisal, which is the process of estimating the price for real estate properties, is crucial for both buys and sellers as the basis for negotiation and transaction. Traditionally, the repeat sales model has been widely adopted…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-07-31 Quanzeng You , Ran Pang , Liangliang Cao , Jiebo Luo

We examine the household-specific effects of the introduction of Time-of-Use (TOU) electricity pricing schemes. Using a causal forest (Athey and Imbens, 2016; Wager and Athey, 2018; Athey et al., 2019), we consider the association between…

General Economics · Economics 2019-10-17 Eoghan O'Neill , Melvyn Weeks

Using a large quarterly macroeconomic dataset for the period 1960-2017, we document the ability of specific financial ratios from the housing market and firms' aggregate balance sheets to predict GDP over medium-term horizons in the United…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-01-22 Graziano Moramarco

Traders constantly consider the price impact associated with changing their positions. This paper seeks to understand how price impact emerges from the quoting strategies of market makers. To this end, market making is modeled as a dynamic…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-06 Angad Singh

We provide a practical superhedging strategy for the pricing and hedging of the No-Negative-Equity-Guarantee (NNEG) found in Equity-Release Mortgages (ERMs), or reverse mortgages, using a discrete-time model. In contrast to many papers on…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-07 Kevin Engelbrecht , Saul Jacka

With everyone trying to enter the real estate market nowadays, knowing the proper valuations for residential and commercial properties has become crucial. Past researchers have been known to utilize static real estate data (e.g. number of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-04 Walter Coleman , Ben Johann , Nicholas Pasternak , Jaya Vellayan , Natasha Foutz , Heman Shakeri

A fundemantal and unanswered question for the widely shared goal of electrifying passenger vehicles is how the price of electricity, which can vary greatly across countries and regions, affects buying behavior. I make use of a natural…

General Economics · Economics 2023-04-05 Johannes Mauritzen

The marginal price of electricity traditionally depends on the dual variables associated with relevant optimization goals. Particularly, in the optimal power flow realm, prices represent the cost of supplying an additional unit of power at…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-06-29 Kyri Baker

Pricing decisions of companies require an understanding of the causal effect of a price change on the demand. When real-life pricing experiments are infeasible, data-driven decision-making must be based on alternative data sources such as…

Applications · Statistics 2024-07-03 Lauri Valkonen , Santtu Tikka , Jouni Helske , Juha Karvanen

The economic shocks that followed the COVID-19 pandemic have brought to light the difficulty, both for academics and policy makers, of describing and predicting the dynamics of inflation. This paper offers an alternative modelling approach.…

General Economics · Economics 2025-05-20 Max Sina Knicker , Karl Naumann-Woleske , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Francesco Zamponi

Urban house prices are strongly associated with local socioeconomic factors. In literature, house price modeling is based on socioeconomic variables from traditional census, which is not real-time, dynamic and comprehensive. Inspired by the…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-09-12 Enwei Zhu , Stanislav Sobolevsky

The Japanese real estate market, valued over 35 trillion USD, offers significant investment opportunities. Accurate rent and price forecasting could provide a substantial competitive edge. This paper explores using alternative data…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-06-03 Diabul Haque

We study housing markets as introduced by Shapley and Scarf (1974). We investigate the computational complexity of various questions regarding the situation of an agent $a$ in a housing market $H$: we show that it is $\mathsf{NP}$-hard to…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-01-11 Ildikó Schlotter , Péter Biró , Tamás Fleiner

This paper studies the optimal investment problem with random endowment in an inventory-based price impact model with competitive market makers. Our goal is to analyze how price impact affects optimal policies, as well as both pricing rules…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-12-10 Michail Anthropelos , Scott Robertson , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

This paper develops a House Price-at-Risk framework to examine how housing subsidies, credit conditions, and supply factors influence the distribution of house price growth in Hungary. Using quantile regression with adaptive LASSO variable…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-24 Tibor Szendrei , Nikolett Vágó , Katalin Varga
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