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We review recent progress on ancestral processes related to mutation-selection models, both in the deterministic and the stochastic setting. We mainly rely on two concepts, namely, the killed ancestral selection graph and the pruned…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-17 Ellen Baake , Anton Wakolbinger

Population structure can have a significant effect on evolution. For some systems with sufficient symmetry, analytic results can be derived within the mathematical framework of evolutionary graph theory which relate to the outcome of the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-03-11 Christopher E. Overton , Mark Broom , Christoforos Hadjichrysanthou , Kieran J. Sharkey

Mechanisms leading to speciation are a major focus in evolutionary biology. In this paper, we present and study a stochastic model of population where individuals, with type a or A, are equivalent from ecological, demographical and spatial…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-04-20 Camille Coron , Manon Costa , Hélène Leman , Charline Smadi

We consider an extension of the noisy $N$-Branching Random Walk that models the evolution of a population subject to natural selection. We show the existence of a critical value for the noise which separates the limiting genealogical…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-03-17 Emmanuel Schertzer , Alejandro H. Wences

Consider a population evolving as a critical continuous-time Galton-Watson (GW) tree. Conditional on the population surviving until a large time $T$, sample $k$ individuals uniformly at random (without replacement) from amongst those alive…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-07 Simon C. Harris , Samuel G. G. Johnston , Juan Carlos Pardo

The dynamics of adaptation is difficult to predict because it is highly stochastic even in large populations. The uncertainty emerges from number fluctuations, called genetic drift, arising in the small number of particularly fit…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-30 Oskar Hallatschek , Lukas Geyrhofer

When biological populations expand into new territory, the evolutionary outcomes can be strongly influenced by genetic drift, the random fluctuations in allele frequencies. Meanwhile, spatial variability in the environment can also…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-06-27 Jimmy Gonzalez Nuñez , Jayson Paulose , Wolfram Möbius , Daniel A. Beller

We propose a modelling framework to analyse the stochastic behaviour of heterogeneous, multi-scale cellular populations. We illustrate our methodology with a particular example in which we study a population with an oxygen-regulated…

Biological Physics · Physics 2017-09-01 Roberto de la Cruz , Pilar Guerrero , Fabian Spill , Tomás Alarcón

Droplet coalescence is essential in a host of biological and industrial processes, involving complex systems as diverse as cellular aggregates, colloidal suspensions, and polymeric liquids. Classical solutions for the time evolution of…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2024-07-04 Haicen Yue , Justin C. Burton , Daniel M. Sussman

The ancestral selection graph in population genetics was introduced by KroneNeuhauser (1997) as an analogue of the coalescent genealogy of a sample of genes from a neutrally evolving population. The number of particles in this graph,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-04-08 Shuhei Mano

We study the genealogy of a solvable population model with $N$ particles on the real line which evolves according to a discrete-time branching process with selection. At each time step, every particle gives birth to children around $a$…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-21 Aser Cortines , Bastien Mallein

Biological aging is characterized by an age-dependent increase in the probability of death and by a decrease in the reproductive capacity. Individual age-dependent rates of survival and reproduction have a strong impact on population…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-02-03 Arian Šajina , Dario Riccardo Valenzano

Coalescent histories are combinatorial structures that describe for a given gene tree and species tree the possible lists of branches of the species tree on which the gene tree coalescences take place. Properties of the number of coalescent…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-03-13 Filippo Disanto , Noah A. Rosenberg

The reconstruction of a species phylogeny from genomic data faces two significant hurdles: 1) the trees describing the evolution of each individual gene--i.e., the gene trees--may differ from the species phylogeny and 2) the molecular…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-07-17 Gautam Dasarathy , Elchanan Mossel , Robert Nowak , Sebastien Roch

In stochastic evolutionary dynamics, the replacement of an existing genotype or cultural trait by a newly introduced mutant is typically characterized by the quantities of fixation probability and fixation time. But in a structured…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-27 David A. Brewster , Gabor Lippner , Josef Tkadlec , Martin A. Nowak

In sexual population, recombination reshuffles genetic variation and produces novel combinations of existing alleles, while selection amplifies the fittest genotypes in the population. If recombination is more rapid than selection,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-05 Richard A. Neher , Marija Vucelja , Marc Mézard , Boris I. Shraiman

Multiple-merger coalescents, e.g. $\Lambda$-$n$-coalescents, have been proposed as models of the genealogy of $n$ sampled individuals for a range of populations whose genealogical structures are not captured well by Kingman's…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-19 Fabian Freund

We consider an exactly solvable model of branching random walk with random selection, which describes the evolution of a population with $N$ individuals on the real line. At each time step, every individual reproduces independently, and its…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-09 Aser Cortines , Bastien Mallein

In this paper, we consider Galton-Watson processes with immigration. Pick $i(\ge2)$ individuals randomly without replacement from the $n$-th generation and trace their lines of descent back in time till they coalesce into $1$ individual in…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-25 Hua-Ming Wang , Lulu Li , Huizi Yao

We study a density-dependent Markov jump process describing a population where each individual is characterized by a type, and reproduces at rates depending both on its type and on the population type distribution. We are interested in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-26 Madeleine Kubasch