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Randomized controlled trials generate experimental variation that can credibly identify causal effects, but often suffer from limited scale, while observational datasets are large, but often violate desired identification assumptions. To…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-12-27 George Z. Gui

Composite likelihood inference has gained much popularity thanks to its computational manageability and its theoretical properties. Unfortunately, performing composite likelihood ratio tests is inconvenient because of their awkward…

Computation · Statistics 2014-08-01 Manuela Cattelan , Nicola Sartori

We consider sequential detection based on quantized data in the presence of eavesdropper. Stochastic encryption is employed as a counter measure that flips the quantization bits at each sensor according to certain probabilities, and the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-03-08 Jiangfan Zhang , Xiaodong Wang

Regulatory authorities guide the use of permutation tests or randomization tests so as not to increase the type-I error rate when applying covariate-adaptive randomization in randomized clinical trials. For non-inferiority and equivalence…

Applications · Statistics 2023-12-27 Masahiro Kojima , Hirotaka Mano , Kana Yamada , Keisuke Hanada , Yuji Tanaka , Junji Moriya

Many decisions in healthcare, business, and other policy domains are made without the support of rigorous evidence due to the cost and complexity of performing randomized experiments. Using observational data to answer causal questions is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-02 Alejandro Schuler , Ken Jung , Robert Tibshirani , Trevor Hastie , Nigam Shah

Calibration is an essential step in radio interferometric data processing that corrects the data for systematic errors and in addition, subtracts bright foreground interference to reveal weak signals hidden in the residual. These weak and…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2019-05-08 Sarod Yatawatta

An assumption often made in supervised learning is that the training and testing sets have the same label distribution. However, in real-life scenarios, this assumption rarely holds. For example, medical diagnosis result distributions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-03 Yunrui Zhang , Gustavo Batista , Salil S. Kanhere

Adaptive experiments use preliminary analyses of the data to inform further course of action and are commonly used in many disciplines including medical and social sciences. Because the null hypothesis and experimental design are…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-26 Tobias Freidling , Qingyuan Zhao , Zijun Gao

Statistical inference is often simplified by sample-splitting. This simplification comes at the cost of the introduction of randomness not native to the data. We propose a simple procedure for sequentially aggregating statistics constructed…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-11-18 David M. Ritzwoller , Joseph P. Romano

Survival prediction often involves estimating the time-to-event distribution from censored datasets. Previous approaches have focused on enhancing discrimination and marginal calibration. In this paper, we highlight the significance of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-25 Shi-ang Qi , Yakun Yu , Russell Greiner

Calibration$\unicode{x2014}$the problem of ensuring that predicted probabilities align with observed class frequencies$\unicode{x2014}$is a basic desideratum for reliable prediction with machine learning systems. Calibration error is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-02 Eugène Berta , Sacha Braun , David Holzmüller , Francis Bach , Michael I. Jordan

Rapid advances in perception have enabled large pre-trained models to be used out of the box for transforming high-dimensional, noisy, and partial observations of the world into rich occupancy representations. However, the reliability of…

The comparison of benchmark error sets is an essential tool for the evaluation of theories in computational chemistry. The standard ranking of methods by their Mean Unsigned Error is unsatisfactory for several reasons linked to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-29 Pascal Pernot , Andreas Savin

Sequential monitoring of randomized trials traditionally relies on parametric assumptions or asymptotic approximations. We discuss a family of nonparametric sequential tests - collectively called e-RT - for binary, event-only, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Fernando G Zampieri

This work considers the problem of detecting signals from multiple sequentially observed data streams, where only one stream can be observed at every time instant. The goal is to detect signals as quickly as possible while controlling the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-07 Yiming Xing , Georgios Fellouris

Calibration methods have been widely studied in survey sampling over the last decades. Viewing calibration as an inverse problem, we extend the calibration technique by using a maximum entropy method. Finding the optimal weights is achieved…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-09-23 Fabrice Gamboa , Jean-Michel Loubes , Paul Rochet

Consider a scenario where a harmfulness evaluation metric intended to filter unsafe responses from a Large Language Model. When applied to individual harmful prompt-response pairs, it correctly flags them as unsafe by assigning a high-risk…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-02-14 Ora Nova Fandina , Leshem Choshen , Eitan Farchi , George Kour , Yotam Perlitz , Orna Raz

Traditional Statistical Process Control (SPC) is essential for quality management but is limited by its reliance on often violated statistical assumptions, leading to unreliable monitoring in modern, complex manufacturing environments. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Christopher Burger

Confounding is a significant obstacle to unbiased estimation of causal effects from observational data. For settings with high-dimensional covariates -- such as text data, genomics, or the behavioral social sciences -- researchers have…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-02-01 Katherine A. Keith , Sergey Feldman , David Jurgens , Jonathan Bragg , Rohit Bhattacharya

Label noise in data has long been an important problem in supervised learning applications as it affects the effectiveness of many widely used classification methods. Recently, important real-world applications, such as medical diagnosis…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-02 Shunan Yao , Bradley Rava , Xin Tong , Gareth James