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We show that the jumps correlation matrix of a multivariate Hawkes process is related to the Hawkes kernel matrix through a system of Wiener-Hopf integral equations. A Wiener-Hopf argument allows one to prove that this system (in which the…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-02-16 Emmanuel Bacry , Jean-Francois Muzy

We study the statistics of the Mallows measure on permutations in the limit pioneered by Starr (2009). Our main result is the local central limit theorem for its height function. We also re-derive versions of the law of large numbers and…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-17 Alexey Bufetov , Kailun Chen

In this paper, we give a general time-varying parameter model, where the multidimensional parameter possibly includes jumps. The quantity of interest is defined as the integrated value over time of the parameter process $\Theta = T^{-1}…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-08-22 Yoann Potiron , Per Mykland

We prove central and local limit theorems for random walks on the Poincar{\'e} hyperbolic space of dimension n {\v e} 2. To this end we use the ball model and describe the walk therein through the M{\"o}bius addition and multiplication.…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-12 V Konakov , S Menozzi

We establish a large deviation principle for the trajectories of Wiener processes subject to random resets to the origin occurring according to a Poisson process. In addition to the pathwise large deviation principle, we identify the rate…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-09 A. V. Logachov , O. M. Logachova , A. A. Yambartsev , K. A. Zaykov

We consider generalized inversions and descents in finite Weyl groups. We establish Coxeter-theoretic properties of indicator random variables of positive roots such as the covariance of two such indicator random variables. We then compute…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-29 Kathrin Meier , Christian Stump

The multivariate central limit theorems (CLT) for the volumes of excursion sets of stationary quasi-associated random fields on $\mathbb{R}^d$ are proved. Special attention is paid to Gaussian and shot noise fields. Formulae for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-03-02 Alexander Bulinski , Evgeny Spodarev , Florian Timmermann

This paper investigates the behavior of statistical ensembles under iteration map induced by discrete integrable Hamiltonian systems in deterministic case and stochastic case, addressing the problem from two perspectives: the Law of Large…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-26 Xinyu Liu , Xinze Zhang , Yong Li

By calculating the O(\alpha_s) corrections to inclusive heavy-to-light sum rules we find model independent upper and lower bounds on form factors for B to pi and B to rho. We use the bounds to rule out model predictions. Some models violate…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2009-10-30 C. Glenn Boyd , I. Z. Rothstein

In this paper, local linear estimators are adapted for the unknown infinitesimal coefficients associated with continuous-time asset return model with jumps, which can correct the bias automatically due to their simple bias representation.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-02-15 Yuping Song , Ying Chen , Zhouwei Wang

Using simple particle models of limit order markets, we argue that mid-term over-diffusive price behaviour is inherent to the very nature of these markets. Several rules for rate changes are considered. We obtain analytical results for…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Damien Challet , Robin Stinchcombe

A convergence theorem for martingales with c\`adl\`ag trajectories (right continuous with left limits everywhere) is obtained in the sense of the weak dual topology on Hilbert space, under conditions that are much weaker than those required…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-08 Bruno N. Remillard , Jean Vaillancourt

We consider the multiparameter random simplicial complex on a vertex set $\{ 1,\dots,n \}$, which is parameterized by multiple connectivity probabilities. Our key results concern the topology of this complex of dimensions higher than the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-14 Takashi Owada , Gennady Samorodnitsky

We give a new proof of the classical Central Limit Theorem, in the Mallows ($L^r$-Wasserstein) distance. Our proof is elementary in the sense that it does not require complex analysis, but rather makes use of a simple subadditive inequality…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Oliver Johnson , Richard Samworth

Unlike classical simple random walks, one-dimensional random walks in random environments (RWRE) are known to have a wide array of potential limiting distributions. Under certain assumptions, however, it is known that CLT-like limiting…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-12 Sung Won Ahn , Jonathon Peterson

This paper establishes limit theorems and quantitative statistical stability for a class of piecewise partially hyperbolic maps that are not necessarily continuous nor locally invertible. By employing a flexible functional-analytic…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-02-20 Rafael A. Bilbao , Rafael Lucena

We consider the adjacency matrix $A$ of a large random graph and study fluctuations of the function $f_n(z,u)=\frac{1}{n}\sum_{k=1}^n\exp\{-uG_{kk}(z)\}$ with $G(z)=(z-iA)^{-1}$. We prove that the moments of fluctuations normalized by…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-05-14 M. Shcherbina , B. Tirozzi

This study explores the application of Hawkes processes to model high-frequency data in the context of limit order books. Two distinct Hawkes-based models are proposed and analyzed: one utilizing exponential kernels and the other employing…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-20 Neal Batra

Current evolutionary biology models usually assume that a phenotype undergoes gradual change. This is in stark contrast to biological intuition, which indicates that change can also be punctuated-the phenotype can jump. Such a jump could…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-07 Krzysztof Bartoszek

This paper studies random cubical sets in $\mathbb{R}^d$. Given a cubical set $X\subset \mathbb{R}^d$, a random variable $\omega_Q\in[0,1]$ is assigned for each elementary cube $Q$ in $X$, and a random cubical set $X(t)$ is defined by the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-20 Yasuaki Hiraoka , Kenkichi Tsunoda