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The ability to accurately predict human behavior is central to the safety and efficiency of robot autonomy in interactive settings. Unfortunately, robots often lack access to key information on which these predictions may hinge, such as…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-06-07 Haimin Hu , Jaime F. Fisac

A framework previously introduced in [3] for solving a sequence of stochastic optimization problems with bounded changes in the minimizers is extended and applied to machine learning problems such as regression and classification. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-08 Craig Wilson , Yuheng Bu , Venugopal Veeravalli

In this paper, we consider queueing systems where the dynamics are non-stationary and state-dependent. For performance analysis of these systems, fluid and diffusion models have been typically used. Although they are proven to be…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-08 Young Myoung Ko , Natarajan Gautam

In contrast to the classic formulation of partial monitoring, linear partial monitoring can model infinite outcome spaces, while imposing a linear structure on both the losses and the observations. This setting can be viewed as a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-15 Federico Di Gennaro , Khaled Eldowa , Nicolò Cesa-Bianchi

It is well known that ignoring the presence of stochastic disturbances in the identification of stochastic Wiener models leads to asymptotically biased estimators. On the other hand, optimal statistical identification, via likelihood-based…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-12 Mohamed Abdalmoaty , Efe C. Balta , John Lygeros , Roy S. Smith

Efficient analysis and simulation of multiscale stochastic systems of chemical kinetics is an ongoing area for research, and is the source of many theoretical and computational challenges. In this paper, we present a significant improvement…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-09-21 Simon Cotter

We develop asymptotic approximations that can be applied to sequential estimation and inference problems, adaptive randomized controlled trials, and related settings. In batched adaptive settings where the decision at one stage can affect…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-25 Keisuke Hirano , Jack R. Porter

Stochastic port-Hamiltonian systems represent open dynamical systems with dissipation, inputs, and stochastic forcing in an energy based form. We introduce stochastic port-Hamiltonian neural networks, SPH-NNs, which parameterize the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-12 Luca Di Persio , Matthias Ehrhardt , Youness Outaleb

This paper studies the performative prediction problem which optimizes a stochastic loss function with data distribution that depends on the decision variable. We consider a setting where the agent(s) provides samples adapted to the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-10-05 Qiang Li , Hoi-To Wai

We consider adaptive decision-making problems where an agent optimizes a cumulative performance objective by repeatedly choosing among a finite set of options. Compared to the classical prediction-with-expert-advice set-up, we consider…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-10 Michael Muehlebach

This paper provides a general identification approach for a wide range of nonlinear panel data models, including binary choice, ordered response, and other types of limited dependent variable models. Our approach accommodates dynamic models…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-09 Wayne Yuan Gao , Rui Wang

The assurance of real-time properties is prone to context variability. Providing such assurance at design time would require to check all the possible context and system variations or to predict which one will be actually used. Both cases…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2018-04-04 Arthur Rodrigues , Ricardo Diniz Caldas , Genaína Nunes Rodrigues , Thomas Vogel , Patrizio Pelliccione

Likelihood-based inference in stochastic non-linear dynamical systems, such as those found in chemical reaction networks and biological clock systems, is inherently complex and has largely been limited to small and unrealistically simple…

Computation · Statistics 2024-07-08 Ben Swallow , David A. Rand , Giorgos Minas

This paper introduces two novel nonlinear stochastic attitude estimators developed on the Special Orthogonal Group \mathbb{SO}\left(3\right) with the tracking error of the normalized Euclidean distance meeting predefined transient and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-06-23 Hashim A. Hashim

This paper considers the linear-quadratic dual control problem where the system parameters need to be identified and the control objective needs to be optimized in the meantime. Contrary to existing works on data-driven linear-quadratic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-11-22 Yiwen Lu , Yilin Mo

We address the reachability problem for continuous-time stochastic dynamic systems. Our objective is to present a unified framework that characterizes the reachable set of a dynamic system in the presence of both stochastic disturbances and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-04 Saber Jafarpour , Zishun Liu , Yongxin Chen

To ensure the performance of online service systems, their status is closely monitored with various software and system metrics. Performance anomalies represent the performance degradation issues (e.g., slow response) of the service…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2022-05-10 Zhuangbin Chen , Jinyang Liu , Yuxin Su , Hongyu Zhang , Xiao Ling , Yongqiang Yang , Michael R. Lyu

This work studies the synthesis of active perception policies for predictive safety monitoring in partially observable stochastic systems. Operating under strict sensing and communication budgets, the proposed monitor dynamically schedules…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-25 Sumukha Udupa , Jie Fu

Performative prediction is an emerging paradigm in machine learning that addresses scenarios where the model's prediction may induce a shift in the distribution of the data it aims to predict. Current works in this field often rely on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Guangzheng Zhong , Yang Liu , Jiming Liu

System identification is of special interest in science and engineering. This article is concerned with a system identification problem arising in stochastic dynamic systems, where the aim is to estimate the parameters of a system along…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-27 Christos Merkatas , Simo Särkkä