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Related papers: Optimal tail comparison under convex majorization

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The well-known "Janson's inequality" gives Poisson-like upper bounds for the lower tail probability \Pr(X \le (1-\eps)\E X) when X is the sum of dependent indicator random variables of a special form. We show that, for large deviations,…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-12 Svante Janson , Lutz Warnke

Let $S$ and $X$ be independent random variables, assuming values in the set of non-negative integers, and suppose further that both $\mathbb{E}(S)$ and $\mathbb{E}(X)$ are integers satisfying $\mathbb{E}(S)\ge \mathbb{E}(X)$. We establish a…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-31 Robbert Fokkink , Symeon Papavassiliou , Christos Pelekis

We give a sufficient condition for the exponential decay of the tail probability of a non-negative random variable. We consider the Laplace-Stieltjes transform of the probability distribution function of the random variable. We present a…

Complex Variables · Mathematics 2016-11-15 Kenji Nakagawa

We give exponential upper bounds for $P(S \le k)$, in particular $P(S=0)$, where $S$ is a sum of indicator random variables that are positively associated. These bounds allow, in particular, a comparison with the independent case. We give…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-22 Matthias Löwe , Franck Vermet

Let $X$ be an integrable discrete random variable over $\{0, 1, 2, \ldots\}$ with $\mathbb{P}(X = i + 1) \leq \mathbb{P}(X = i)$ for all $i$. Then for any integer $a \geq 1$, $\mathbb{P}(X \leq a) \leq \mathbb{E}[X] / (2a - 1)$. Let $W$ be…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-12 Mark Huber

We re-examine a lower-tail upper bound for the random variable $$X=\prod_{i=1}^{\infty}\min\left\{\sum_{k=1}^iE_k,1\right\},$$ where $E_1,E_2,\ldots\stackrel{iid}\sim\text{Exp}(1)$. This bound has found use in root-finding and seed-finding…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-21 Sam Justice , N. D. Shyamalkumar

Consider the continuous greedy paths model: given a $d$-dimensional Poisson point process with positive marks interpreted as masses, let $\mathrm P(\ell)$ denote the maximum mass gathered by a path of length $\ell$ starting from the origin.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-04 Julien Verges

Let $K \subset \mathbb{R}^n$ be a centered convex body of volume one. We prove that there exist absolute constants $c,C > 0$ and an orthonormal set of vectors $\Theta \subset S^{n-1}$ with size $\left|\Theta\right| \ge 9n/10$ such that, if…

Metric Geometry · Mathematics 2026-05-12 Brayden Letwin , Dan Mikulincer

Let $X$ be a centered random vector in a finite dimensional real inner product space $\mathcal{E}$. For a subset $C$ of the ambient vector space $V$ of $\mathcal{E}$ and $x,\,y\in V$, write $x\preceq_C y$ if $y-x\in C$. When $C$ is a closed…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-10 Nicola Apollonio

We show that any pair $X, Y$ of independent, non-compactly supported random variables on $[0,\infty)$ satisfies $\liminf_{m\to\infty} \mathbb{P}(\min(X,Y) >m \,| \,X+Y> 2m) =0$. We conjecture multi-variate and weighted generalizations of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-05 Naomi Dvora Feldheim , Ohad Noy Feldheim

A random variable $\xi$ has a {\it light-tailed} distribution (for short: is light-tailed) if it possesses a finite exponential moment, $\E \exp (\lambda \xi) <\infty$ for some $\lambda >0$, and has a {\it heavy-tailed} distribution (is…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-09 Sergey Foss , Anton Tarasenko , Georgiy Krivtsov

In this paper we give an improved upper bound, as compared to the one given in [3] for the number of extreme points of the convex set of all G-invariant probability measures on X*Y with given marginals of full support.

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2010-03-17 M. G. Nadkarni , K. Gowri Navada

A random variable $\xi$ has a {\it light-tailed} distribution (for short: is light-tailed) if it possesses a finite exponential moment, $\E \exp (\lambda \xi) <\infty$ for some $\lambda >0$, and has a {\it heavy-tailed} distribution (is…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-09 Sergey Foss , Michael Scheutzow , Anton Tarasenko

The Shapley-Folkman theorem shows that Minkowski averages of uniformly bounded sets tend to be convex when the number of terms in the sum becomes much larger than the ambient dimension. In optimization, Aubin and Ekeland [1976] show that…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-07-02 Thomas Kerdreux , Igor Colin , Alexandre d'Aspremont

Chebyshev's inequality provides an upper bound on the tail probability of a random variable based on its mean and variance. While tight, the inequality has been criticized for only being attained by pathological distributions that abuse the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-10-16 Ernst Roos , Ruud Brekelmans , Wouter van Eekelen , Dick den Hertog , Johan van Leeuwaarden

Let ($X,Y)$ be a random vector with distribution function $F(x,y),$ and $(X_{1},Y_{1}),(X_{2},Y_{2}),...,(X_{n},Y_{n})$ are independent copies of ($X,Y).$ Let $X_{i:n}$ be the $i$th order statistics constructed from the sample…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-09-08 Ismihan Bairamov

Let $\xi_1, \xi_2, \dots$ be i.i.d. non-negative random variables whose tail varies regularly with index $-1$, let $S_n$ be the sum and $M_n$ the largest of the first $n$ values. We clarify for which sequences $x_n\to\infty$ we have…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-11 Matthias Birkner , Linglong Yuan

We consider the problem of finding the optimal upper bound for the tail probability of a sum of $k$ nonnegative, independent and identically distributed random variables with given mean $x$. For $k=1$ the answer is given by Markov's…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-12 Tomasz Łuczak , Katarzyna Mieczkowska , Matas Šileikis

In this paper, we will give a sufficient condition for a non-negative random variable $X$ to be heavy tailed by investigating the Laplace-Stieltjes transform of the probability distribution function. We focus on the relation between the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-02 Kenji Nakagawa

Existing theory for multivariate extreme values focuses upon characterizations of the distributional tails when all components of a random vector, standardized to identical margins, grow at the same rate. In this paper, we consider the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-20 J. L. Wadsworth , J. A. Tawn
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