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The key idea of Bayesian optimization is replacing an expensive target function with a cheap surrogate model. By selection of an acquisition function for Bayesian optimization, we trade off between exploration and exploitation. The…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-20 Leonid Matyushin , Alexey Zaytsev , Oleg Alenkin , Andrey Ustuzhanin

Many applications, including provenance and some analyses of social networks, require path-based queries over graph-structured data. When these graphs contain sensitive information, paths may be broken, resulting in uninformative query…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2011-06-20 Barbara Blaustein , Adriane Chapman , Len Seligman , M. David Allen , Arnon Rosenthal

Composite likelihoods are increasingly used in applications where the full likelihood is analytically unknown or computationally prohibitive. Although the maximum composite likelihood estimator has frequentist properties akin to those of…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-07-08 Mathieu Ribatet , Daniel Cooley , Anthony C. Davison

Maximum likelihood estimation is a common method of estimating the parameters of the probability distribution from a given sample. This paper aims to introduce the maximum likelihood estimation in the framework of sublinear expectation. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-16 Xinpeng Li , Yue Liu , Jiaquan Lu

In this dissertation, we focus on several important problems in structured prediction. In structured prediction, the label has a rich intrinsic substructure, and the loss varies with respect to the predicted label and the true label pair.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-18 Heejin Choi

This article proposes an artificial data generating algorithm that is simple and easy to customize. The fundamental concept is to perform random permutation of Monte Carlo generated random numbers which conform to the unconditional…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-02-17 A. Christian Silva , Fernando F. Ferreira

Bayesian learning provides a unified skeleton to solve the electrophysiological source imaging task. From this perspective, existing source imaging algorithms utilize the Gaussian assumption for the observation noise to build the likelihood…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-07 Yuanhao Li , Badong Chen , Zhongxu Hu , Keita Suzuki , Wenjun Bai , Yasuharu Koike , Okito Yamashita

In image segmentation, there is often more than one plausible solution for a given input. In medical imaging, for example, experts will often disagree about the exact location of object boundaries. Estimating this inherent uncertainty and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-12-23 Miguel Monteiro , Loïc Le Folgoc , Daniel Coelho de Castro , Nick Pawlowski , Bernardo Marques , Konstantinos Kamnitsas , Mark van der Wilk , Ben Glocker

Graphs are widely used for describing systems made up of many interacting components and for understanding the structure of their interactions. Various statistical models exist, which describe this structure as the result of a combination…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-28 Louis Duvivier , Rémy Cazabet , Céline Robardet

Our work introduces an approach for estimating the contribution of attachment mechanisms to the formation of growing networks. We present a generic model in which growth is driven by the continuous attachment of new nodes according to…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-20 Jan Medina , Jorge Finke , Camilo Rocha

Bayesian optimization is a highly efficient approach to optimizing objective functions which are expensive to query. These objectives are typically represented by Gaussian process (GP) surrogate models which are easy to optimize and support…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-09 Yucen Lily Li , Tim G. J. Rudner , Andrew Gordon Wilson

Variety of machine learning problems can be formulated as an optimization task for some (surrogate) loss function. Calculation of loss function can be viewed in terms of stochastic computation graphs (SCG). We use this formalism to analyze…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-12-18 Eugene Golikov , Vlad Zhukov , Maksim Kretov

In the node classification task, it is natural to presume that densely connected nodes tend to exhibit similar attributes. Given this, it is crucial to first define what constitutes a dense connection and to develop a reliable mathematical…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-01-03 Eunho Koo , Tongseok Lim

We address the challenge of inferring causal effects in social network data. This results in challenges due to interference -- where a unit's outcome is affected by neighbors' treatments -- and network-induced confounding factors. While…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-20 Seyedeh Baharan Khatami , Harsh Parikh , Haowei Chen , Sudeepa Roy , Babak Salimi

Graphical Gaussian models have proven to be useful tools for exploring network structures based on multivariate data. Applications to studies of gene expression have generated substantial interest in these models, and resulting recent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-08-12 Michael A. Finegold , Mathias Drton

Providing theoretical guarantees for parameter estimation in exponential random graph models is a largely open problem. While maximum likelihood estimation has theoretical guarantees in principle, verifying the assumptions for these…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-26 Adrian Fischer , Gesine Reinert , Wenkai Xu

Selective inference methods are developed for group lasso estimators for use with a wide class of distributions and loss functions. The method includes the use of exponential family distributions, as well as quasi-likelihood modeling for…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-28 Yiling Huang , Sarah Pirenne , Snigdha Panigrahi , Gerda Claeskens

Bayesian Optimization is a popular tool for tuning algorithms in automatic machine learning (AutoML) systems. Current state-of-the-art methods leverage Random Forests or Gaussian processes to build a surrogate model that predicts algorithm…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-08 Jeroen van Hoof , Joaquin Vanschoren

In this paper we show how to efficiently produce unbiased estimates of subgraph frequencies from a probability sample of egocentric networks (i.e., focal nodes, their neighbors, and the induced subgraphs of ties among their neighbors). A…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-10-29 Minas Gjoka , Emily Smith , Carter T. Butts

The problem of clock offset estimation in a two way timing message exchange regime is considered when the likelihood function of the observation time stamps is Gaussian, exponential or log-normally distributed. A parametrized solution to…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2012-02-01 Aitzaz Ahmad , Davide Zennaro , Erchin Serpedin , Lorenzo Vangelista