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Nonparametric estimation of a mixing distribution based on data coming from a mixture model is a challenging problem. Beyond estimation, there is interest in uncertainty quantification, e.g., confidence intervals for features of the mixing…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-14 Vaidehi Dixit , Ryan Martin

This paper introduces a new algorithm for numerically computing equilibrium (i.e. stationary) distributions for Markov chains and Markov jump processes with either a very large finite state space or a countably infinite state space. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-31 Alex Infanger , Peter W. Glynn

We present a quantum algorithm to estimate parameters at the quantum metrology limit using deterministic quantum computation with one bit. When the interactions occurring in a quantum system are described by a Hamiltonian $H= \theta H_0$,…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2008-07-03 Rolando D. Somma , Sergio Boixo

This paper presents an extremum seeking control algorithm with an adaptive step-size that adjusts the aggressiveness of the controller based on the quality of the gradient estimate. The adaptive step-size ensures that the integral-action…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-12-21 Claus Danielson , Scott A. Bortoff , Ankush Chakrabarty

This paper develops necessary and sufficient conditions for the preservation of asymptotic convergence rates of deterministically and stochastically perturbed ordinary differential equations with regularly varying nonlinearity close to…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2014-09-04 John A. D. Appleby , Denis D. Patterson

In stochastic systems, numerically sampling the relevant trajectories for the estimation of the large deviation statistics of time-extensive observables requires overcoming their exponential (in space and time) scarcity. The optimal way to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-01-14 Tom H. E. Oakes , Adam Moss , Juan P. Garrahan

In this paper, we consider the chance constrained based uncertain portfolio optimization problem in which the uncertain parameters are stochastic in nature. The primary goal of the work is to formulate the uncertain problem into a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-09 Pulak Swain , Akshay Kumar Ojha

The accurate estimation of quantum observables is a critical task in science. With progress on the hardware, measuring a quantum system will become increasingly demanding, particularly for variational protocols that require extensive…

This paper presents a distributed estimator for a deterministic parametric physical field sensed by a homogeneous sensor network and develops a new transformed expression for the Cramer-Rao lower bound (CRLB) on the variance of distributed…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-06-17 Salvatore Talarico , Natalia A. Schmid , Marwan Alkhweldi , Matthew C. Valenti

Switching dynamical systems provide a powerful, interpretable modeling framework for inference in time-series data in, e.g., the natural sciences or engineering applications. Since many areas, such as biology or discrete-event systems, are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-30 Lukas Köhs , Bastian Alt , Heinz Koeppl

In this paper we consider the problem of parameter inference for Markov jump process (MJP) representations of stochastic kinetic models. Since transition probabilities are intractable for most processes of interest yet forward simulation is…

Computation · Statistics 2014-09-16 Andrew Golightly , Darren J. Wilkinson

We introduce a new approach for decoupling trends (drift) and changepoints (shifts) in time series. Our locally adaptive model-based approach for robustly decoupling combines Bayesian trend filtering and machine learning based…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-09 Haoxuan Wu , Toryn L. J. Schafer , Sean Ryan , David S. Matteson

We introduce a method to perform imaginary time evolution in a controllable quantum system using measurements and conditional unitary operations. By performing a sequence of weak measurements based on the desired Hamiltonian constructed by…

We formulate a method of performing non-perturbative calculations in quantum field theory, based upon a derivative expansion of the exact renormalization group. We then proceed to apply this method to the calculation of critical exponents…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2007-05-23 Michael D. Turner

We study asymptotic error distributions associated with standard approximation scheme for one-dimensional stochastic differential equations driven by fractional Brownian motions. This problem was studied by, for instance, Gradinaru-Nourdin…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-27 Shigeki Aida , Nobuaki Naganuma

We study batched bandit experiments and consider the problem of inference conditional on the realized stopping time, assignment probabilities, and target parameter, where all of these may be chosen adaptively using information up to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-21 Jiafeng Chen , Isaiah Andrews

A pivotal task in quantum metrology, and quantum parameter estimation in general, is to de- sign schemes that achieve the highest precision with given resources. Standard models of quantum metrology usually assume the dynamics is fixed, the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2017-07-18 Jing Liu , Haidong Yuan

A heuristic formula for 5-point approximation of the first derivative of an unknown function whose values are measured with an error at unequally spaced points is proposed. The derivative at a given point is calculated using the effective…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-09-14 Emmanuil Beygelzimer , Yan Beygelzimer

In bandit with distribution shifts, one aims to automatically adapt to unknown changes in reward distribution, and restart exploration when necessary. While this problem has been studied for many years, a recent breakthrough of Auer et al.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-17 Joe Suk , Samory Kpotufe

Path integrals have played a fundamental role in emphasizing the profound analogies between Quantum Field Theory (QFT), and Classical as well as Quantum Statistical Physics. Ideas coming from Statistical Physics have then led to a deeper…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2007-05-23 Jean Zinn-Justin