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We consider the forecast aggregation problem in repeated settings, where the forecasts are done on a binary event. At each period multiple experts provide forecasts about an event. The goal of the aggregator is to aggregate those forecasts…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-02-21 Yakov Babichenko , Dan Garber

One of the significant challenges of deep neural networks is that the complex nature of the network prevents human comprehension of the outcome of the network. Consequently, the applicability of complex machine learning models is limited in…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-06-22 Shailja Thakur , Sebastian Fischmeister

Unsupervised anomaly detection is a challenging problem due to the diversity of data distributions and the lack of labels. Ensemble methods are often adopted to mitigate these challenges by combining multiple detectors, which can reduce…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-27 Jordan Levy , Paul Saves , Moncef Garouani , Nicolas Verstaevel , Benoit Gaudou

Ensemble learning is a standard approach to building machine learning systems that capture complex phenomena in real-world data. An important aspect of these systems is the complete and valid quantification of model uncertainty. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-12 Jeremiah Zhe Liu , John Paisley , Marianthi-Anna Kioumourtzoglou , Brent Coull

Bayesian entity resolution merges together multiple, noisy databases and returns the minimal collection of unique individuals represented, together with their true, latent record values. Bayesian methods allow flexible generative models…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-20 Tamara Broderick , Rebecca C. Steorts

Conventional approximations to Bayesian inference rely on either approximations by statistics such as mean and covariance or by point particles. Recent advances such as the ensemble Gaussian mixture filter have generalized these notions to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-10 Andrey A Popov

Understanding specifically where a model focuses on within an image is critical for human interpretability of the decision-making process. Deep learning-based solutions are prone to learning coincidental correlations in training datasets,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Aidan Boyd , Mohamed Trabelsi , Huseyin Uzunalioglu , Dan Kushnir

Sparse functional data frequently arise in real-world applications, posing significant challenges for accurate classification. To address this, we propose a novel classification method that integrates functional principal component analysis…

Computation · Statistics 2025-03-17 Ahmad Talafha

In many machine learning tasks, models are trained to predict structure data such as graphs. For example, in natural language processing, it is very common to parse texts into dependency trees or abstract meaning representation (AMR)…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-01-25 Hoang Thanh Lam , Gabriele Picco , Yufang Hou , Young-Suk Lee , Lam M. Nguyen , Dzung T. Phan , Vanessa López , Ramon Fernandez Astudillo

We present an efficient, principled, and interpretable technique for inferring module assignments and for identifying the optimal number of modules in a given network. We show how several existing methods for finding modules can be…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-06-23 Jake M. Hofman , Chris H. Wiggins

Image analysis and machine learning algorithms operating on multi-gigapixel whole-slide images (WSIs) often process a large number of tiles (sub-images) and require aggregating predictions from the tiles in order to predict WSI-level…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-11-03 Mohsin Bilal , Robert Jewsbury , Ruoyu Wang , Hammam M. AlGhamdi , Amina Asif , Mark Eastwood , Nasir Rajpoot

Human annotations are vital to supervised learning, yet annotators often disagree on the correct label, especially as annotation tasks increase in complexity. A strategy to improve label quality is to ask multiple annotators to label the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-22 Alexander Braylan , Madalyn Marabella , Omar Alonso , Matthew Lease

Gradient-based saliency methods are widely used to interpret deep neural networks, yet they often produce noisy and unstable explanations that poorly align with semantically meaningful input features. We argue that a fundamental cause of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-29 Ali Karkehabadi , Jamshid Hassanpour , Houman Homayoun , Avesta Sasan

We consider a Bayesian forecast aggregation model where $n$ experts, after observing private signals about an unknown binary event, report their posterior beliefs about the event to a principal, who then aggregates the reports into a single…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-11 Tao Lin , Yiling Chen

Recent work uncovered potential flaws in \eg attribution or heatmap based saliency methods. A typical flaw is a confirmations bias, where the scores are compared to human expectation. Since measuring the quality of saliency methods is hard…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-27 Leonid Schwenke , Martin Atzmueller

We study the problem of eliciting and aggregating probabilistic information from multiple agents. In order to successfully aggregate the predictions of agents, the principal needs to elicit some notion of confidence from agents, capturing…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2014-10-03 Rafael M. Frongillo , Yiling Chen , Ian A. Kash

This research introduces a novel methodology for optimizing Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) by synergistically integrating them with traditional machine learning algorithms such as Random Forests (RF), Gradient Boosting (GB), and Support…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-10 Peiwen Tan

Aggregating estimators using exponential weights depending on their risk appears optimal in expectation but not in probability. We use here a slight overpenalization to obtain oracle inequality in probability for such an explicit…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-02-01 Lucie Montuelle , Erwan Le Pennec

We address unsupervised dependency parsing by building an ensemble of diverse existing models through post hoc aggregation of their output dependency parse structures. We observe that these ensembles often suffer from low robustness against…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-04-22 Behzad Shayegh , Hobie H. -B. Lee , Xiaodan Zhu , Jackie Chi Kit Cheung , Lili Mou

Saliency map estimation in computer vision aims to estimate the locations where people gaze in images. Since people tend to look at objects in images, the parameters of the model pretrained on ImageNet for image classification are useful…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-07-30 Taiki Oyama , Takao Yamanaka